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Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar prediction & odds

Rodina Moscow

18:45

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 18:45

Krasnodar

Odds 1X2

1Rodina Moscow5.44XDraw4.232Krasnodar1.68

Rodina MoscowvsKrasnodar

Nito’s pick2.38

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.38

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 18:45 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.570%Confidence2.38Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.38 means bookmakers give it 42%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+28 pts)
3+ goals in 70% of Rodina Moscow's last 5 and 50% of Krasnodar's
Goals per game in the last 5: Rodina Moscow matches 3.3, Krasnodar matches 2.8

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)KrasnodarHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.68

We rate Krasnodar to win at 65% — the price of 1.68 implies only 60%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price2.38

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 70% — the price of 2.38 implies only 42%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Rodina Moscow19%5.03

Draw23%4.19

Krasnodar58%1.68

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 1.5%

Rodina Moscow5.4418%Draw4.2323%Krasnodar1.6859%

Total goals 2.5margin 3.7%

Over 2.51.6459%Under 2.52.3441%

Asian handicapmargin 2.5%

Rodina Moscow +11.8353%Krasnodar -12.0947%

More markets (1)

1st-half resultmargin 4.0%

Rodina Moscow5.3918%Draw2.5038%Krasnodar2.2044%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Rodina Moscow

28.10.26Russia CupOrenburgRodina Moscow21L
24.10.26Premier LeagueFakel VoronezhRodina Moscow01W
19.10.26Premier LeagueRodina MoscowOrenburg22D
15.10.26Russia CupRodina MoscowSpartak Moscow24L
11.10.26Premier LeagueCSKARodina Moscow30L

Last matches: Krasnodar

27.10.26Russia CupKrasnodarDynamo Moscow21W
24.10.26Premier LeagueKrasnodarBaltika11D
17.10.26Premier LeagueLokomotiv MoscowKrasnodar33D
13.10.26Russia CupKrasnodarFakel Voronezh02L
10.10.26Premier LeagueKrasnodarZenit23L

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Rodina Moscow1W 1D 3L · goals 6–11

L28.10Russia CupAOrenburg1–2
W24.10Premier LeagueAFakel Voronezh1–0
D19.10Premier LeagueHOrenburg2–2
L15.10Russia CupHSpartak Moscow2–4
L11.10Premier LeagueACSKA0–3

Krasnodar1W 2D 2L · goals 8–10

W27.10Russia CupHDynamo Moscow2–1
D24.10Premier LeagueHBaltika1–1
D17.10Premier LeagueALokomotiv Moscow3–3
L13.10Russia CupHFakel Voronezh0–2
L10.10Premier LeagueHZenit2–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Rodina MoscowKrasnodar

1.2Goals scored per game1.4

2.1Goals conceded per game1.4

70%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

1Clean sheets2

20%Failed to score20%

0-2-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-0

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Rodina MoscowKrasnodar

1. Division 2025/2026 · 17 gamesPlay-offs 1/2 2026/2027 · 4 games

1.3Goals scored1.5

0.9Goals conceded0.3

0.0Corners3.5

0.0Shots15.3

–Possession60%

1.7Yellow cards2.3

41%Clean sheets75%

29%Failed to score0%

2-5-1Home / away record (W-D-L)2-0-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	CSKA Moscow	12	+9	25	WLWWD
4	Krasnodar	12	+6	23	DDLDD
5	Spartak Moscow	12	+11	23	LWDWW
14	Akhmat Grozny	12	-2	11	LLDLW
15	Rodina Moscow	12	-14	9	WDLDL
16	Fakel Voronezh	12	-12	6	LWLLD

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Rodina Moscow

✕A. MeshchaninovYellow Cards
?Rodrigo BecaoInactive

Krasnodar

✕N. KrivtsovMuscle Injury
✕I. VakhaniaYellow Cards

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 18:45, Rodina Moscow take on Krasnodar in the Premier League.

Form · last 5 matches

Rodina MoscowLWDLL6 scored · 11 conceded

KrasnodarWDDLL8 scored · 10 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Rodina MoscowKrasnodar

1.2Goals scored per game1.4

2.1Goals conceded per game1.4

70%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

1Clean sheets2

What's at stake

Rodina Moscow15th9 pts · 12 played

Krasnodar4th23 pts · 12 played

Krasnodar lead by 14 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.570%Confidence2.38Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 5.03 on Rodina Moscow, 4.19 on the draw and 1.68 on Krasnodar, which is roughly 19%, 23% and 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals with 70% confidence at a best price of 2.38.

We also have Krasnodar to win (65%, 1.68).

Recent form over the last 5: Rodina Moscow LWDLL (goals 6–11), Krasnodar WDDLL (goals 8–10).

Both teams scored in 70% of Rodina Moscow's recent games and 70% of Krasnodar's; over 2.5 goals landed in 70% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Rodina Moscow average 1.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Krasnodar 1.4 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 2).

Rodina Moscow sit 15th on 9 pts after 12 games, Krasnodar 4th on 23 pts.

Nito explains: Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar mean?

The best prices are 5.03 for a Rodina Moscow win, 4.19 for a draw and 1.68 for a Krasnodar win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 5.03 returns 50.30 if Rodina Moscow win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.3% removed) that is 19% Rodina Moscow, 23% draw and 58% Krasnodar.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 2.38, the price implies a 42% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Rodina Moscow and Krasnodar matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Rodina Moscow's last 10 matches and 70% of Krasnodar's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Rodina Moscow reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Krasnodar in 50% of their last 10.

What does the form guide LWDLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Rodina Moscow, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (6 scored, 11 conceded). Krasnodar, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (8 scored, 10 conceded).

Where do Rodina Moscow and Krasnodar stand in the table?

Rodina Moscow are 15th with 9 points from 12 games. Krasnodar are 4th with 23 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 14 points.

Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar: questions & answers

Who will win Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar?

Our pick is Krasnodar to win with 65% confidence (best price 1.68). Bookmaker odds imply Rodina Moscow 19%, draw 23%, Krasnodar 58%.

Will both teams score in Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar?

In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Rodina Moscow's matches and 70% of Krasnodar's.

What are the odds for Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar?

Odds: Rodina Moscow 5.03, draw 4.19, Krasnodar 1.68. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.38.

When is the Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar kick-off?

Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (GMT+2).

Other Premier League matches on 31 Oct

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Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar prediction & odds

Rodina Moscow

Krasnodar

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds