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Kyoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse live score & odds

Kyoto

2–0
LIVE 74'

Shimizu S-Pulse

  • Rafael Elias 9′, 45′
    31/10/2026 07:00

    Key events

    Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

    Key events

    1st half2 - 0
    6′Y. Takahashi
    1-0Rafael Elias9′
    14′Park Seung-Wook
    Rafael Elias19′
    Souza Alex43′
    2-0Rafael Elias45′
    2nd half0 - 0
    T. Kato53′
    58′T. Fujii
    58′T. Hirato
    61′M. Brunetti
    H. Morooka65′
    M. Okugawa65′
    T. Kato73′

    Nito’s pick

    ?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

    Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

    Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
    1.76

    Do you agree with Nito's pick?

     

    Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

    Why Nito chose it →

    Match information

    Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

    Match information

    Competition
    J1 League
    Kick-off

    Our pick: why Nito chose it

    ?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

    The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

    Total goals 2.5Under 2.562%Confidence1.76Price

    Why
    ?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

    • Best price 1.76 means bookmakers give it 57%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+5 pts)
    • 3+ goals in 50% of Kyoto's last 5 and 80% of Shimizu S-Pulse's
    • Goals per game in the last 5: Kyoto matches 2.5, Shimizu S-Pulse matches 3.2
    • Their 20 meetings average 2.7 goals; both teams scored in 60%

    Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

    Win probability

    ?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

    Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

    Kyoto43%2.32
    Draw29%3.46
    Shimizu S-Pulse28%3.54

    Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

    Odds comparison

    ?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

    Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

    Odds

    No odds published yet — prices appear closer to kick-off

    Value bets · Dropping odds

    Comments

    What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

    About this match

    Kyoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse preview

    Kyoto and Shimizu S-Pulse are playing right now in the J1 League: 2–0 (LIVE 74').