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Valladolid vs Leganes prediction & odds

Valladolid

19:30

Kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 19:30

Leganes

Odds 1X2

1Valladolid1.83XDraw3.832Leganes4.30

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

ValladolidvsLeganes

Nito’s pick1.84

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.84

63%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Spanish Second Division
Kick-off: Mon 2 Nov 19:30 EET
Stadium: Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity: 27,618
City: Valladolid

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.563%Confidence1.84Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.84 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+9 pts)
3+ goals in 60% of Valladolid's last 5 and 30% of Leganes's
Goals per game in the last 5: Valladolid matches 3.0, Leganes matches 2.1
Their 18 meetings average 2.4 goals; both teams scored in 39%

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Valladolid53%1.83

Draw25%3.83

Leganes22%4.30

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.0%

Valladolid1.8353%Draw3.8325%Leganes4.3022%

Double chance

Valladolid or Draw1.14Valladolid or Leganes1.21Draw or Leganes1.99

1st-half resultmargin 16.8%

Valladolid2.3237%Draw2.0642%Leganes3.9822%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Valladolid1.9549%Leganes1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

5Valladolid wins

5Draws

8Leganes wins

Last matches: Valladolid

29.10.26Spanish CupCovadongaValladolid01W
23.10.26Spanish Second DivisionGranada CFValladolid21L
18.10.26Spanish Second DivisionValladolidEldense23L
12.10.26Spanish Second DivisionValladolidAlbacete50W
04.10.26Spanish Second DivisionLas PalmasValladolid22D

Last matches: Leganes

24.10.26Spanish Second DivisionLeganesMallorca

Valladolid vs Leganes: head-to-head record

18 meetings since 2014: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

5Valladolid wins

5Draws

8Leganes wins

17:26Goals (Valladolid : Leganes)

2.39Goals per match

39%BTTS

67%Over 1.5

44%Over 2.5

22%Over 3.5

Valladolid at home: 3-4-213:12 goals in 9 games
Leganes at home: 6-1-214:4 goals in 9 games
Valladolid's biggest win: 0–2Leganes 0–2 Valladolid, 17 Oct 2021
Leganes's biggest win: 4–0Leganes 4–0 Valladolid, 9 Apr 2016

Meetings (18 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Spanish Second Division	Valladolid	3–2	Leganes
11 Jan 2026	Spanish Second Division	Leganes	3–0

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Valladolid2W 1D 2L · goals 11–7

W29.10Spanish CupACovadonga1–0
L23.10Spanish Second DivisionAGranada CF1–2
L18.10Spanish Second DivisionHEldense2–3
W12.10Spanish Second DivisionHAlbacete5–0
D04.10Spanish Second DivisionALas Palmas2–2

Leganes0W 1D 4L · goals 1–11

D24.10Spanish Second DivisionHMallorca1–1
L16.10Spanish Second DivisionHCordoba0–1
L11.10Spanish Second DivisionAAlmeria0–3
L03.10Spanish Second DivisionACadiz CF

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ValladolidLeganes

1.7Goals scored per game0.6

1.3Goals conceded per game1.5

60%Both teams scored20%

60%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets3

10%Failed to score60%

3-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

ValladolidLeganes

Segunda DivisiÃ³n 2025/2026 · 41 gamesSegunda DivisiÃ³n 2025/2026 · 41 games

1.0Goals scored1.0

1.4Goals conceded1.2

5.3Corners4.6

12.4Shots11.8

49%Possession51%

2.8Yellow cards2.9

24%Clean sheets29%

41%Failed to score37%

7-5-8Home / away record (W-D-L)4-6-10

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Segunda

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
14	Las Palmas	11	-5	14	WLLDL
15	Valladolid	11	0	12	LLWDW
16	Celta Vigo B	11	-5	12	LDWLD
17	Leganes	11	-9	12	DLLLL
18	Cadiz CF	11	0	10	WLLWD

About this match

Valladolid vs Leganes preview

On Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 19:30, Valladolid take on Leganes in the Spanish Second Division.

Form · last 5 matches

ValladolidWLLWD11 scored · 7 conceded

LeganesDLLLL1 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ValladolidLeganes

1.7Goals scored per game0.6

1.3Goals conceded per game1.5

60%Both teams scored20%

60%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

5Valladolid wins

5Draws

8Leganes wins

18 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 39%

What's at stake

Valladolid15th12 pts · 11 played

Nito explains: Valladolid vs Leganes

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Valladolid vs Leganes mean?

The best prices are 1.83 for a Valladolid win, 3.83 for a draw and 4.30 for a Leganes win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.83 returns 18.30 if Valladolid win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.0% removed) that is 53% Valladolid, 25% draw and 22% Leganes.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.84, the price implies a 54% chance; Nito's data rates it at 63%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Valladolid and Leganes matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Valladolid's last 10 matches and 20% of Leganes's last 10. In their 18 recorded meetings it was 39%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Valladolid reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Leganes in 30% of their last 10. Their 18 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (44% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLLWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Valladolid, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (11 scored, 7 conceded). Leganes, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (1 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do Valladolid and Leganes stand in the table?

Valladolid are 15th with 12 points from 11 games. Leganes are 17th with 12 points from 11 games. They are level on points.

Valladolid vs Leganes: questions & answers

Who will win Valladolid vs Leganes?

Bookmaker odds imply Valladolid 53%, draw 25%, Leganes 22%.

Will both teams score in Valladolid vs Leganes?

Both teams scored in 39% of their 18 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Valladolid's matches and 20% of Leganes's.

What are the odds for Valladolid vs Leganes?

Odds: Valladolid 1.83, draw 3.83, Leganes 4.30. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.84.

When is the Valladolid vs Leganes kick-off?

Valladolid vs Leganes kicks off on Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 19:30 (GMT+2) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla.

What is the head-to-head record between Valladolid and Leganes?

18 meetings: Valladolid 5 wins, 5 draws, Leganes 8 wins. Those 18 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.

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Valladolid vs Leganes prediction & odds

Valladolid

Leganes

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds