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Oxford City vs Leicester prediction & odds

Oxford City

21:45
Kick-off Fri 6 Nov, 21:45

Leicester

Odds 1X2
1Oxford City8.00XDraw5.602Leicester1.35Nito’s pick
Oxford CityvsLeicesterNito’s pick1.35

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Leicester
1.35

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 85% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
FA Cup
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Leicester85%Confidence1.35Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.35 means bookmakers give it 74%; Nito's confidence is 85% (+11 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 85% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)LeicesterHigh confidence
Confidence85%
Indicative price1.35

Leicester to win: our confidence is 85%, 11 points above the 74% the best price of 1.35 implies.

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence
Confidence65%
Indicative price2.05

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 65%, 16 points above the 49% the best price of 2.05 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence
Confidence70%
Indicative price2.53

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 70%, 30 points above the 40% the best price of 2.53 implies.

Total goals 3.5Under 3.5High confidence
Confidence70%
Indicative price1.61

We rate Under 3.5 goals at 70% — the price of 1.61 implies only 62%.

Asian handicap +1.5Leicester -1.5
Confidence60%
Indicative price1.96

Asian handicap: Leicester -1.5: our confidence is 60%, 9 points above the 51% the best price of 1.96 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Oxford City12%8.00
Draw17%5.60
Leicester71%1.35

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.4%
Oxford City8.0012%Draw5.6017%Leicester1.3571%
Total goals 2.5margin 6.2%
Over 2.51.5063%Under 2.52.5337%
Asian handicapmargin 4.8%
Oxford City +1.51.8651%Leicester -1.51.9649%
More markets (1)
1st-half resultmargin 7.7%
Oxford City7.1013%Draw2.7734%Leicester1.7453%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Oxford City vs Leicester preview

FA Cup fixture: Oxford City welcome Leicester on Fri, 6 Nov 2026 (21:45 kick-off).