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Leones del Norte vs Libertad FC result, stats & H2H

Leones del Norte

4–1
FT

Libertad FC

25/10/2026 18:30 · Estadio Olímpico de Ibarra

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half1 - 1
1-0M. Caramuto31′
38′1-1V. Branda
N. Monserrat45′
2nd half3 - 0
46′C. Orejuela
2-1M. Caramuto58′
3-1P. Madero61′
73′C. Valencia
E. Griffa73′
73′G. J. Cortez Casierra
74′E. Caicedo
85′M. Lucas
87′D. Coronel
J. Arellano88′
B. Kreiman88′
C. Velez90′
M. Caicedo90′
G. Padilla90′
4-1J. Anangono90′

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreNo
1.92Lost

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Liga Pro
Kick-off
Stadium
Estadio Olímpico de Ibarra
Capacity
17,260

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreNo65%Confidence1.92lost

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.92 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+13 pts)
  • Both teams scored in 50% of Leones del Norte's last 5 and 50% of Libertad FC's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Leones del Norte matches 2.6, Libertad FC matches 2.7
  • Their 4 meetings average 3.5 goals; both teams scored in 75%

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence
Confidence65%
Price1.92Lost

We rate Both teams to score: No at 65% — the price of 1.92 implies only 52%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
Confidence64%
Price1.81Lost

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 64% — the price of 1.81 implies only 55%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

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About this match

Leones del Norte vs Libertad FC preview

Leones del Norte and Libertad FC met in the Liga Pro on Sun, 25 Oct 2026, and the match finished 4–1.