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Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos prediction & odds

Leones Negros UdeG

20:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 20:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Odds 1X2

1Leones Negros UdeG1.22XDraw6.922Tepatitlan de Morelos9.60

Estadio Jalisco

Leones Negros UdeGvsTepatitlan de Morelos

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Primera A
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 20:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio Jalisco
Capacity: 56,713
City: Guadalajara

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Leones Negros UdeG77%1.22

Draw14%6.92

Tepatitlan de Morelos10%9.60

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.8%

Leones Negros UdeG1.2277%Draw6.9214%Tepatitlan de Morelos9.6010%

Total goals 2.5margin 7.1%

Over 2.51.2774%Under 2.53.5326%

Asian handicapmargin 5.4%

Leones Negros UdeG -21.9648%Tepatitlan de Morelos +21.8452%

More markets (1)

1st-half resultmargin 8.5%

Leones Negros UdeG1.5261%Draw3.2928%Tepatitlan de Morelos8.1011%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0Leones Negros UdeG wins

2Draws

0Tepatitlan de Morelos wins

Last matches: Leones Negros UdeG

Copa MXLeones Negros UdeGMonterrey12L
Copa MXCafetaleros de ChiapasLeones Negros UdeG10L
Copa MXLeones Negros UdeGCafetaleros de Chiapas01L
Copa MXMonterreyLeones Negros UdeG21L
25.10.26Primera AMineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UdeG02W

Last matches: Tepatitlan de Morelos

24.10.26Primera ATepatitlan de MorelosCancun04L
18.10.26Primera ATepatitlan de Morelos30L
13.10.26Primera ATapatioTepatitlan de Morelos41L
10.10.26Primera ATepatitlan de MorelosAtlético Morelia11D
03.10.26Primera ATepatitlan de MorelosJaiba Brava31W

Head-to-head matches

15.02.26Primera ALeones Negros UdeGTepatitlan de Morelos00D
07.09.25Primera ATepatitlan de MorelosLeones Negros UdeG11D

1.00Avg goals50%Both scored0%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2025: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0Leones Negros wins

2Draws

0Tepatitlan de Morelos wins

1:1Goals (Leones Negros : Tepatitlan de Morelos)

1.00Goals per match

50%BTTS

50%Over 1.5

0%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Leones Negros at home: 0-1-00:0 goals in 1 games
Tepatitlan de Morelos at home: 0-1-01:1 goals in 1 games

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
15 Feb 2026	Primera A	Leones Negros	0–0	Tepatitlan de Morelos
7 Sept 2025	Primera A	Tepatitlan de Morelos	1–1	Leones Negros

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Leones Negros UdeG1W 0D 4L · goals 4–6

L01.01Copa MXHMonterrey1–2
L01.01Copa MXACafetaleros de Chiapas0–1
L01.01Copa MXHCafetaleros de Chiapas0–1
L01.01Copa MXAMonterrey1–2
W25.10Primera AAMineros de Zacatecas2–0

Tepatitlan de Morelos1W 1D 3L · goals 5–13

L24.10Primera AHCancun0–4
L18.10Primera AA0–3
L13.10Primera AATapatio1–4
D10.10Primera AHAtlético Morelia1–1
W03.10Primera AHJaiba Brava3–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Leones Negros UdeGTepatitlan de Morelos

1.4Goals scored per game0.9

1.5Goals conceded per game3.1

60%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

1Clean sheets0

30%Failed to score50%

1-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-0-4

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera A: Apertura

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Atletico La Paz	14	+15	27	WDWLW
2	Leones Negros	14	+12	27	WLDWW
3	Atl. Morelia	14	+9	26	WLDDL
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	-5	14	LWWDL
16	Tepatitlan de Morelos	14	-31	7	LLLDW

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About this match

Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos preview

Leones Negros UdeG host Tepatitlan de Morelos in the Primera A on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 20:00.

Form · last 5 matches

Leones Negros UdeGLLLLW4 scored · 6 conceded

Tepatitlan de MorelosLLLDW5 scored · 13 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Leones Negros UdeGTepatitlan de Morelos

1.4Goals scored per game0.9

1.5Goals conceded per game3.1

60%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

1Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

0Leones Negros UdeG wins

2Draws

0Tepatitlan de Morelos wins

2 meetings · 1.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Leones Negros UdeG2nd27 pts · 14 played

Tepatitlan de Morelos16th7 pts · 14 played

Leones Negros UdeG lead by 20 pts

Read the full match preview

Estadio Jalisco hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Leones Negros UdeG the favourite at 1.22 (77% implied), with the draw at 6.92 (14%).

Leones Negros UdeG come into the game with LLLLW in their last 5 (4 scored, 6 conceded), while Tepatitlan de Morelos have LLLDW (5 scored, 13 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Leones Negros UdeG's recent games and 80% of Tepatitlan de Morelos's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 50%.

Per game, Leones Negros UdeG average 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Tepatitlan de Morelos 0.9 and 3.1 (clean sheets: 0).

Head-to-head over 2 previous meetings: Leones Negros UdeG 0 wins, Tepatitlan de Morelos 0 wins, draws 2.

Those 2 games averaged 1.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-15) ended Leones Negros UdeG 0–0 Tepatitlan de Morelos.

In the table, Leones Negros UdeG are 2nd (27 pts from 14 games) and Tepatitlan de Morelos are 16th (7 pts from 14).

Nito explains: Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos mean?

The best prices are 1.22 for a Leones Negros UdeG win, 6.92 for a draw and 9.60 for a Tepatitlan de Morelos win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.22 returns 12.20 if Leones Negros UdeG win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 6.8% removed) that is 77% Leones Negros UdeG, 14% draw and 10% Tepatitlan de Morelos.

How often do Leones Negros UdeG and Tepatitlan de Morelos matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Leones Negros UdeG's last 10 matches and 50% of Tepatitlan de Morelos's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Leones Negros UdeG reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Tepatitlan de Morelos in 80% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 1.0 goals (0% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Leones Negros UdeG, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (4 scored, 6 conceded). Tepatitlan de Morelos, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (5 scored, 13 conceded).

Where do Leones Negros UdeG and Tepatitlan de Morelos stand in the table?

Leones Negros UdeG are 2nd with 27 points from 14 games. Tepatitlan de Morelos are 16th with 7 points from 14 games. The gap between them is 20 points.

Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos: questions & answers

Who will win Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos?

Bookmaker odds imply Leones Negros UdeG 77%, draw 14%, Tepatitlan de Morelos 10%.

Will both teams score in Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Leones Negros UdeG's matches and 50% of Tepatitlan de Morelos's.

What are the odds for Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos?

Odds: Leones Negros UdeG 1.22, draw 6.92, Tepatitlan de Morelos 9.60.

When is the Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos kick-off?

Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 20:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio Jalisco.

What is the head-to-head record between Leones Negros UdeG and Tepatitlan de Morelos?

2 meetings: Leones Negros UdeG 0 wins, 2 draws, Tepatitlan de Morelos 0 wins. Those 2 games averaged 1.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

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Leones Negros UdeG vs Tepatitlan de Morelos prediction & odds

Leones Negros UdeG

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds