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St. Truiden vs Leuven prediction & odds

St. Truiden

17:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 17:00

Leuven

Odds 1X2

1St. Truiden1.65Nito’s pickXDraw4.302Leuven4.87

Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium

St. TruidenvsLeuven

Nito’s pick1.65

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)St. Truiden

1.65

65%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Belgian Pro League
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 17:00 EET
Stadium: Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
Capacity: 14,600
City: Sint-Truiden (St.-Trond)

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)St. Truiden65%Confidence1.65Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.65 means bookmakers give it 61%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+4 pts)
St. Truiden won 3 of their last 5 (goals 12–8); Leuven won 2 (goals 7–4)
In the table St. Truiden are 13th with 8 pts, Leuven 16th with 6 pts
In 24 meetings St. Truiden won 10, Leuven won 6, 8 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)St. TruidenHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.65

We rate St. Truiden to win at 65% — the price of 1.65 implies only 61%.

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.16

We rate Both teams to score: No at 60% — the price of 2.16 implies only 46%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price2.38

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 62% — the price of 2.38 implies only 42%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

St. Truiden58%1.65

Draw22%4.30

Leuven20%4.87

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.4%

St. Truiden1.6558%Draw4.3022%Leuven4.8720%

Double chance

St. Truiden or Draw1.12St. Truiden or Leuven1.18Draw or Leuven2.20

Total goals 2.5margin 4.9%

Over 2.51.5960%Under 2.52.3840%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.0%

St. Truiden -0.751.8253%Leuven +0.752.0447%

1st-half resultmargin 5.6%

St. Truiden2.1245%Draw2.5737%Leuven5.1119%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

St. Truiden1.9350%Leuven1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

10St. Truiden wins

8Draws

6Leuven wins

Last matches: St. Truiden

25.10.26Belgian Pro LeagueClub Brugge KVSt. Truiden32L
22.10.26Conference LeagueMidtjyllandSt. Truiden01W
18.10.26Belgium CupSt. TruidenLommel SK41W
15.10.26Conference LeagueSt. TruidenIberia 199920W
11.10.26Belgian Pro LeagueKV MechelenSt. Truiden43L

Last matches: Leuven

24.10.26Belgian Pro LeagueLeuvenLommel SK22D
17.10.26Belgium CupLeuvenFrancs Borains10W
11.10.26Belgian Pro LeagueRoyale Union SGLeuven11D
19.09.26Belgian Pro LeagueLeuvenRAAL La Louviere20W
12.09.26Belgian Pro LeagueLeuvenCercle Brugge KSV11D

Head-to-head matches

18.01.26Belgian Pro LeagueSt. TruidenLeuven10W
23.11.25Belgian Pro LeagueLeuvenSt. Truiden12W
16.03.25Pro LeagueLeuvenSt. Truiden32L
15.09.24Pro LeagueSt. TruidenLeuven21W
17.05.24Pro LeagueSt. TruidenLeuven11D
20.04.24Pro LeagueLeuvenSt. Truiden10L

2.79Avg goals67%Both scored54%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

St. Truiden vs Leuven: head-to-head record

24 meetings since 2008: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

10St. Truiden wins

8Draws

6Leuven wins

34:33Goals (St. Truiden : Leuven)

2.79Goals per match

67%BTTS

75%Over 1.5

54%Over 2.5

42%Over 3.5

St. Truiden at home: 7-6-019:10 goals in 13 games
Leuven at home: 6-2-323:15 goals in 11 games
St. Truiden's biggest win: 2–0St. Truiden 2–0 Leuven, 20 Feb 2022
Leuven's biggest win: 4–0Leuven 4–0 St. Truiden, 22 Oct 2023

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Belgian Pro League	St. Truiden	1–0	Leuven
23 Nov 2025	Belgian Pro League	Leuven	1–2	St. Truiden
16 Mar 2025	Pro League	Leuven	3–2	St. Truiden
15 Sept 2024	Pro League	St. Truiden	2–1	Leuven
17 May 2024	Pro League	St. Truiden	1–1	Leuven
20 Apr 2024	Pro League	Leuven	1–0	St. Truiden
9 Dec 2023	Pro League	St. Truiden	1–1	Leuven
22 Oct 2023	Pro League	Leuven	4–0	St. Truiden
28 Jan 2023	Pro League	Leuven	1–1	St. Truiden
22 Oct 2022	Pro League	St. Truiden	0–0	Leuven
20 Feb 2022	Pro League	St. Truiden	2–0	Leuven
24 Oct 2021	Pro League	Leuven	4–1	St. Truiden
17 Jan 2021	Pro League	St. Truiden	3–1	Leuven
23 Nov 2020	Pro League	Leuven	2–2	St. Truiden
25 Sept 2019	Cup	St. Truiden	0–0	Leuven
19 Sept 2017	Cup	St. Truiden	1–1	Leuven
26 Dec 2015	Pro League	St. Truiden	2–2	Leuven
29 Aug 2015	Pro League	Leuven	1–0	St. Truiden
18 Jan 2015	Second Division	Leuven	2–3	St. Truiden
2 Sept 2014	Second Division	St. Truiden	3–2	Leuven

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

St. Truiden3W 0D 2L · goals 12–8

L25.10Belgian Pro LeagueAClub Brugge KV2–3
W22.10Conference LeagueAMidtjylland1–0
W18.10Belgium CupHLommel SK4–1
W15.10Conference LeagueHIberia 19992–0
L11.10Belgian Pro LeagueAKV Mechelen3–4

Leuven2W 3D 0L · goals 7–4

D24.10Belgian Pro LeagueHLommel SK2–2
W17.10Belgium CupHFrancs Borains1–0
D11.10Belgian Pro LeagueARoyale Union SG1–1
W19.09Belgian Pro LeagueHRAAL La Louviere2–0
D12.09Belgian Pro LeagueHCercle Brugge KSV1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

St. TruidenLeuven

2.0Goals scored per game0.9

1.6Goals conceded per game1.6

40%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets2

30%Failed to score30%

3-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

St. TruidenLeuven

UEFA Europa League Play-offs 2026/2027 · 8 gamesUEFA Europa League Play-offs 2025/2026 · 39 games

1.9Goals scored1.0

2.0Goals conceded1.5

5.4Corners4.8

17.3Shots12.9

56%Possession45%

2.0Yellow cards2.6

13%Clean sheets26%

38%Failed to score36%

1-1-2Home / away record (W-D-L)5-4-10

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Pro League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
12	Beveren	9	-6	10	DLLWW
13	St. Truiden	9	-2	8	LLLLW
14	RAAL La Louviere	9	-7	7	WLLWL
15	KV Mechelen	8	-8	6	WDLLD
16	Leuven	9	-8	6	DDWDL
17	Kortrijk	8	-16	3	LWLLL

About this match

St. Truiden vs Leuven preview

St. Truiden host Leuven in the Belgian Pro League on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

St. TruidenLWWWL12 scored · 8 conceded

LeuvenDWDWD7 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

St. TruidenLeuven

2.0Goals scored per game0.9

1.6Goals conceded per game1.6

40%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

10St. Truiden wins

8Draws

6Leuven wins

24 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 67%

What's at stake

St. Truiden13th8 pts · 9 played

Leuven16th6 pts · 9 played

St. Truiden lead by 2 pts

Our pick

St. Truiden to winSt. Truiden65%Confidence1.65Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium.

The best available prices are 1.65 on St. Truiden, 4.30 on the draw and 4.87 on Leuven, which is roughly 58%, 22% and 20% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

St. Truiden to win is our top pick for this game (65% confidence, best price 1.65).

We also have Under 2.5 goals (62%, 2.38) and Both teams to score: No (60%, 2.16).

Recent form over the last 5: St. Truiden LWWWL (goals 12–8), Leuven DWDWD (goals 7–4).

Both teams scored in 40% of St. Truiden's recent games and 50% of Leuven's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 50% respectively.

Per game, St. Truiden average 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Leuven 0.9 and 1.6 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 24 head-to-head games the record reads 10–8–6 (wins–draws–losses) from St. Truiden's side.

Those 24 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-18) ended St. Truiden 1–0 Leuven.

St. Truiden sit 13th on 8 pts after 9 games, Leuven 16th on 6 pts.

Nito explains: St. Truiden vs Leuven

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for St. Truiden vs Leuven mean?

The best prices are 1.65 for a St. Truiden win, 4.30 for a draw and 4.87 for a Leuven win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.65 returns 16.50 if St. Truiden win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.4% removed) that is 58% St. Truiden, 22% draw and 20% Leuven.

What does Nito's pick "St. Truiden to win" mean?

It wins only if St. Truiden win; a draw or a Leuven win loses. At 1.65, the price implies a 61% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do St. Truiden and Leuven matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of St. Truiden's last 10 matches and 50% of Leuven's last 10. In their 24 recorded meetings it was 67%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. St. Truiden reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Leuven in 50% of their last 10. Their 24 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (54% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWWWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. St. Truiden, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (12 scored, 8 conceded). Leuven, last 5: 2 W · 3 D · 0 L (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do St. Truiden and Leuven stand in the table?

St. Truiden are 13th with 8 points from 9 games. Leuven are 16th with 6 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

St. Truiden vs Leuven: questions & answers

Who will win St. Truiden vs Leuven?

Our pick is St. Truiden to win with 65% confidence (best price 1.65). Bookmaker odds imply St. Truiden 58%, draw 22%, Leuven 20%.

Will both teams score in St. Truiden vs Leuven?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (60% confidence, 2.16). Both teams scored in 67% of their 24 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of St. Truiden's matches and 50% of Leuven's.

What are the odds for St. Truiden vs Leuven?

Odds: St. Truiden 1.65, draw 4.30, Leuven 4.87. Our pick St. Truiden to win is available at 1.65.

When is the St. Truiden vs Leuven kick-off?

St. Truiden vs Leuven kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between St. Truiden and Leuven?

24 meetings: St. Truiden 10 wins, 8 draws, Leuven 6 wins. Those 24 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Other Belgian Pro League matches on 1 Nov

All Belgian Pro League fixtures

St. Truiden vs Leuven prediction & odds

St. Truiden

Leuven

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds