Home / Paraguay: Primera Division / Libertad vs Sp. Luqueno
Primera DivisionFT

Libertad vs Sp. Luqueno result, stats & H2H

Libertad

1–0
FT

Sp. Luqueno

24/10/2026 01:30

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Libertad
1.51Won

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Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Primera Division
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Libertad70%Confidence1.51won

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.51 means bookmakers give it 66%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+4 pts)
  • Libertad won 2 of their last 5 (goals 7–6); Sp. Luqueno won 2 (goals 7–11)
  • In the table Libertad are 5th with 61 pts, Sp. Luqueno 10th with 36 pts
  • In 50 meetings Libertad won 28, Sp. Luqueno won 10, 12 were drawn

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)LibertadHigh confidence
Confidence70%
Price1.51Won

We rate Libertad to win at 70% — the price of 1.51 implies only 66%.

Both teams to scoreNo
Confidence60%
Price1.86Won

We rate Both teams to score: No at 60% — the price of 1.86 implies only 54%.

Total goals 1.5Under 1.5
Confidence60%
Price3.60Won

Under 1.5 goals: our confidence is 60%, 32 points above the 28% the best price of 3.60 implies.

Asian handicap -2.5Libertad -2.5High confidence
Confidence65%
Price4.29Lost

We rate Asian handicap: Libertad -2.5 at 65% — the price of 4.29 implies only 23%.

Asian handicap -1.5Libertad -1.5
Confidence60%
Price2.38Lost

Asian handicap: Libertad -1.5: our confidence is 60%, 18 points above the 42% the best price of 2.38 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

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About this match

Libertad vs Sp. Luqueno preview

Libertad and Sp. Luqueno met in the Primera Division on Sat, 24 Oct 2026, and the match finished 1–0.