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Varberg vs Ljungskile prediction & odds

Varberg

14:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 14:00

Ljungskile

Odds 1X2

1Varberg2.02XDraw3.582Ljungskile3.51

VarbergvsLjungskile

Nito’s pick2.07

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.07

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Superettan
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 14:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence2.07Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.07 means bookmakers give it 48%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+12 pts)
3+ goals in 50% of Varberg's last 5 and 30% of Ljungskile's
Goals per game in the last 5: Varberg matches 2.8, Ljungskile matches 2.2
Their 13 meetings average 3.0 goals; both teams scored in 54%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Varberg47%2.02

Draw26%3.58

Ljungskile27%3.51

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.9%

Varberg2.0247%Draw3.5826%Ljungskile3.5127%

Double chance

Varberg or Draw1.21Varberg or Ljungskile1.21Draw or Ljungskile1.83

Total goals 2.5margin 5.5%

Over 2.51.7554%Under 2.52.0746%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.8%

Varberg -0.52.0247%Ljungskile +0.51.8153%

1st-half resultmargin 6.9%

Varberg2.5537%Draw2.3440%Ljungskile4.0123%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Varberg1.9450%Ljungskile1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

5Varberg wins

3Draws

5Ljungskile wins

Last matches: Varberg

27.10.26SuperettanLandskronaVarberg11D
19.10.26SuperettanVarbergHelsingborg00D
10.10.26SuperettanOstersundVarberg11D
19.09.26SuperettanVarbergBrage32W
14.09.26SuperettanNorrbyVarberg12W

Last matches: Ljungskile

25.10.26SuperettanHelsingborgLjungskile11D

Varberg vs Ljungskile: head-to-head record

13 meetings since 2012: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

5Varberg wins

3Draws

5Ljungskile wins

18:21Goals (Varberg : Ljungskile)

3.00Goals per match

54%BTTS

92%Over 1.5

62%Over 2.5

46%Over 3.5

Varberg at home: 2-1-37:12 goals in 6 games
Ljungskile at home: 2-2-39:11 goals in 7 games
Varberg's biggest win: 0–4Ljungskile 0–4 Varberg, 31 Aug 2022
Ljungskile's biggest win: 0–4Varberg 0–4 Ljungskile, 23 Sept 2013

Meetings (13 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
30 May 2026	Superettan	Ljungskile	1–3	Varberg
14 Mar 2026	Club Friendlies	Varberg	0–2

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Varberg2W 3D 0L · goals 7–5

D27.10SuperettanALandskrona1–1
D19.10SuperettanHHelsingborg0–0
D10.10SuperettanAOstersund1–1
W19.09SuperettanHBrage3–2
W14.09SuperettanANorrby2–1

Ljungskile1W 2D 2L · goals 6–7

D25.10SuperettanAHelsingborg1–1
W17.10SuperettanHBrage2–0
D11.10SuperettanAOrebro1–1
L20.09SuperettanASundsvall2–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

VarbergLjungskile

1.7Goals scored per game1.1

1.1Goals conceded per game1.1

70%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

2Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score30%

2-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-4-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

VarbergLjungskile

Play-offs 1/2 2025 · 18 gamesPlay-offs 1/2 2026 · 6 games

1.3Goals scored1.3

1.6Goals conceded0.8

5.3Corners5.0

12.2Shots13.2

45%Possession46%

1.9Yellow cards2.2

28%Clean sheets33%

17%Failed to score33%

4-1-2Home / away record (W-D-L)0-3-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Superettan

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	Ostersund	28	+12	48	WDDDW
4	Varberg	28	+11	47	DDDWW
5	Landskrona	28	+13	44	DLWWW
11	Varnamo	28	-13	32	LWLWL
12	Ljungskile	28	-5	30	DWDLL
13	Orebro	28	-11	29

Comments

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About this match

Varberg vs Ljungskile preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 14:00, Varberg take on Ljungskile in the Superettan.

Form · last 5 matches

VarbergDDDWW7 scored · 5 conceded

LjungskileDWDLL6 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

VarbergLjungskile

1.7Goals scored per game1.1

1.1Goals conceded per game1.1

70%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

2Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

5Varberg wins

3Draws

5Ljungskile wins

13 meetings · 3.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 54%

What's at stake

Varberg4th47 pts · 28 played

Nito explains: Varberg vs Ljungskile

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Varberg vs Ljungskile mean?

The best prices are 2.02 for a Varberg win, 3.58 for a draw and 3.51 for a Ljungskile win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.02 returns 20.20 if Varberg win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.9% removed) that is 47% Varberg, 26% draw and 27% Ljungskile.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 2.07, the price implies a 48% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Varberg and Ljungskile matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Varberg's last 10 matches and 50% of Ljungskile's last 10. In their 13 recorded meetings it was 54%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Varberg reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Ljungskile in 30% of their last 10. Their 13 meetings averaged 3.0 goals (62% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DDDWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Varberg, last 5: 2 W · 3 D · 0 L (7 scored, 5 conceded). Ljungskile, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (6 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Varberg and Ljungskile stand in the table?

Varberg are 4th with 47 points from 28 games. Ljungskile are 12th with 30 points from 28 games. The gap between them is 17 points.

Varberg vs Ljungskile: questions & answers

Who will win Varberg vs Ljungskile?

Bookmaker odds imply Varberg 47%, draw 26%, Ljungskile 27%.

Will both teams score in Varberg vs Ljungskile?

Both teams scored in 54% of their 13 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Varberg's matches and 50% of Ljungskile's.

What are the odds for Varberg vs Ljungskile?

Odds: Varberg 2.02, draw 3.58, Ljungskile 3.51. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.07.

When is the Varberg vs Ljungskile kick-off?

Varberg vs Ljungskile kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 14:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Varberg and Ljungskile?

13 meetings: Varberg 5 wins, 3 draws, Ljungskile 5 wins. Those 13 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.

Varberg vs Ljungskile prediction & odds

Varberg

Ljungskile

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds