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Peterborough vs Luton prediction & odds

Peterborough

17:00
Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Luton

Odds 1X2
1Peterborough3.35XDraw4.032Luton2.00
PeterboroughvsLutonNito’s pick2.87

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
2.87

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
League One
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence2.87Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 2.87 means bookmakers give it 35%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+25 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 60% of Peterborough's last 5 and 80% of Luton's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Peterborough matches 3.6, Luton matches 3.3
  • Their 21 meetings average 2.6 goals; both teams scored in 57%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Peterborough29%3.35
Draw24%4.03
Luton48%2.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.7%
Peterborough3.3529%Draw4.0324%Luton2.0048%
Double chance
Peterborough or Draw1.82Peterborough or Luton1.15Draw or Luton1.22
Total goals 2.5margin 5.3%
Over 2.51.4267%Under 2.52.8733%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 3.8%
Peterborough +0.51.8552%Luton -0.52.0148%
1st-half resultmargin 5.9%
Peterborough3.6326%Draw2.6536%Luton2.4638%
Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%
Peterborough1.9350%Luton1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

About this match

Peterborough vs Luton preview

League One fixture: Peterborough welcome Luton on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (17:00 kick-off).