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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction & odds

RB Leipzig

22:00

Kick-off Wed 4 Nov, 22:00

Manchester City

Odds 1X2

1RB Leipzig5.20XDraw4.802Manchester City1.55

Red Bull Arena

RB LeipzigvsManchester City

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: UEFA Champions League
Kick-off: Wed 4 Nov 22:00 EET
Stadium: Red Bull Arena
Capacity: 47,800
City: Leipzig

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

RB Leipzig18%5.20

Draw20%4.80

Manchester City62%1.55

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.6%

RB Leipzig5.2018%Draw4.8020%Manchester City1.5562%

Double chance

RB Leipzig or Draw2.36RB Leipzig or Manchester City1.15Draw or Manchester City1.13

1st-half resultmargin 14.9%

RB Leipzig4.0222%Draw2.4735%Manchester City2.0243%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

RB Leipzig1.9450%Manchester City1.9450%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1RB Leipzig wins

1Draws

4Manchester City wins

Last matches: RB Leipzig

27.10.26DFB-PokalRW EssenRB Leipzig12W
24.10.26BundesligaRB LeipzigElversberg40W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueReal MadridRB Leipzig41L
17.10.26BundesligaBayern MunichRB Leipzig61L
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueRB LeipzigPSV10W

Last matches: Manchester City

28.10.26EFL CupManchester CityBrighton22D
24.10.26Premier LeagueAston VillaManchester City21L
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueManchester CityAEK Athens51W
17.10.26Premier LeagueManchester CityIpswich32W
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueManchester CityPSG24L

Head-to-head matches

28.11.23UEFA Champions LeagueManchester CityRB Leipzig32L
04.10.23UEFA Champions LeagueRB LeipzigManchester City13L
14.03.23UEFA Champions LeagueManchester CityRB Leipzig70L
22.02.23UEFA Champions LeagueRB LeipzigManchester City11D
07.12.21UEFA Champions LeagueRB LeipzigManchester City21W
15.09.21UEFA Champions LeagueManchester CityRB Leipzig63L

5.00Avg goals83%Both scored83%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: head-to-head record

6 meetings since 2021: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1RB Leipzig wins

1Draws

4Manchester City wins

9:21Goals (RB Leipzig : Manchester City)

5.00Goals per match

83%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

83%Over 2.5

67%Over 3.5

RB Leipzig at home: 1-1-14:5 goals in 3 games
Manchester City at home: 3-0-016:5 goals in 3 games
RB Leipzig's biggest win: 2–1RB Leipzig 2–1 Manchester City, 7 Dec 2021
Manchester City's biggest win: 7–0Manchester City 7–0 RB Leipzig, 14 Mar 2023

Meetings (6 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
28 Nov 2023	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City	3–2	RB Leipzig
4 Oct 2023	UEFA Champions League	RB Leipzig	1–3	Manchester City
14 Mar 2023	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City	7–0	RB Leipzig
22 Feb 2023	UEFA Champions League	RB Leipzig	1–1	Manchester City
7 Dec 2021	UEFA Champions League	RB Leipzig	2–1	Manchester City
15 Sept 2021	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City	6–3	RB Leipzig

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

RB Leipzig3W 0D 2L · goals 9–11

W27.10DFB-PokalARW Essen2–1
W24.10BundesligaHElversberg4–0
L21.10UEFA Champions LeagueAReal Madrid1–4
L17.10BundesligaABayern Munich1–6
W13.10UEFA Champions LeagueHPSV1–0

Manchester City2W 1D 2L · goals 13–11

D28.10EFL CupHBrighton2–2
L24.10Premier LeagueAAston Villa1–2
W20.10UEFA Champions LeagueHAEK Athens5–1
W17.10Premier LeagueHIpswich3–2
L14.10UEFA Champions LeagueHPSG2–4

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

RB LeipzigManchester City

2.2Goals scored per game2.9

2.0Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals80%

4Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score0%

4-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

RB LeipzigManchester City

Bundesliga 2026/2027 · 4 gamesUEFA Champions League 2025/2026 · 10 games

2.3Goals scored1.6

1.3Goals conceded1.4

6.8Corners6.3

18.8Shots15.6

57%Possession58%

1.3Yellow cards1.7

50%Clean sheets30%

25%Failed to score20%

2-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)2-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · UEFA Champions League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
9	Como	3	+5	6	WLW
10	Manchester City	3	+4	6	WLW
11	Club Brugge KV	3	+3	6	WWL
29	AEK Athens	3	-5	3	LLW
30	RB Leipzig	3	-5	3	LWL
31	Fenerbahce	3	-6	2	DLD

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About this match

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City preview

RB Leipzig host Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League on Wed, 4 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 22:00.

Form · last 5 matches

RB LeipzigWWLLW9 scored · 11 conceded

Manchester CityDLWWL13 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

RB LeipzigManchester City

2.2Goals scored per game2.9

2.0Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals80%

4Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

1RB Leipzig wins

1Draws

4Manchester City wins

6 meetings · 5.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 83%

What's at stake

RB Leipzig30th3 pts · 3 played

Manchester City10th6 pts · 3 played

Manchester City lead by 3 pts

Read the full match preview

Red Bull Arena hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Manchester City the favourite at 1.55 (62% implied), with the draw at 4.80 (20%).

RB Leipzig come into the game with WWLLW in their last 5 (9 scored, 11 conceded), while Manchester City have DLWWL (13 scored, 11 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 80% of RB Leipzig's recent games and 80% of Manchester City's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 60%.

Per game, RB Leipzig average 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Manchester City 2.9 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 6 previous meetings: RB Leipzig 1 wins, Manchester City 4 wins, draws 1.

Those 6 games averaged 5.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.

The last meeting (2023-11-28) ended Manchester City 3–2 RB Leipzig.

In the table, RB Leipzig are 30th (3 pts from 3 games) and Manchester City are 10th (6 pts from 3).

Nito explains: RB Leipzig vs Manchester City

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City mean?

The best prices are 5.20 for a RB Leipzig win, 4.80 for a draw and 1.55 for a Manchester City win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 5.20 returns 52.00 if RB Leipzig win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.6% removed) that is 18% RB Leipzig, 20% draw and 62% Manchester City.

How often do RB Leipzig and Manchester City matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of RB Leipzig's last 10 matches and 60% of Manchester City's last 10. In their 6 recorded meetings it was 83%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. RB Leipzig reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Manchester City in 80% of their last 10. Their 6 meetings averaged 5.0 goals (83% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. RB Leipzig, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (9 scored, 11 conceded). Manchester City, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (13 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do RB Leipzig and Manchester City stand in the table?

RB Leipzig are 30th with 3 points from 3 games. Manchester City are 10th with 6 points from 3 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: questions & answers

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Bookmaker odds imply RB Leipzig 18%, draw 20%, Manchester City 62%.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Both teams scored in 83% of their 6 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of RB Leipzig's matches and 60% of Manchester City's.

What are the odds for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Odds: RB Leipzig 5.20, draw 4.80, Manchester City 1.55.

When is the RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kick-off?

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kicks off on Wed, 4 Nov 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2) at Red Bull Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Manchester City?

6 meetings: RB Leipzig 1 wins, 1 draws, Manchester City 4 wins. Those 6 games averaged 5.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.

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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction & odds

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Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

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