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Melbourne City vs Sydney FC prediction & odds

Melbourne City

08:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 08:00

Sydney FC

Odds 1X2

1Melbourne City2.03XDraw3.712Sydney FC3.65

Melbourne CityvsSydney FC

Nito’s pick1.93

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.93

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: A-League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 08:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.565%Confidence1.93Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.93 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+13 pts)
3+ goals in 50% of Melbourne City's last 5 and 40% of Sydney FC's
Goals per game in the last 5: Melbourne City matches 2.6, Sydney FC matches 2.6
Their 45 meetings average 2.7 goals; both teams scored in 56%

Best price 1.93 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+13 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.93

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 65% — the price of 1.93 implies only 52%.

Asian handicap -0.5Sydney FC +0.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.95

We rate Asian handicap: Sydney FC +0.5 at 60% — the price of 1.95 implies only 51%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Melbourne City48%2.03

Draw26%3.71

Sydney FC26%3.65

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.6%

Melbourne City2.0348%Draw3.7126%Sydney FC3.6526%

Double chance

Melbourne City or Draw1.22Melbourne City or Sydney FC1.23Draw or Sydney FC1.81

1st-half resultmargin 4.5%

Melbourne City2.6636%Draw2.2942%Sydney FC4.3022%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Melbourne City1.9549%Sydney FC1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

18Melbourne City wins

14Draws

13Sydney FC wins

Last matches: Melbourne City

24.10.26A-LeagueMelbourne VictoryMelbourne City11D
17.10.26A-LeagueAuckland FCMelbourne City31L
25.09.26Club FriendliesOakleighMelbourne City00D
11.08.26FFA CupLionsMelbourne City20L
07.08.26Club FriendliesMelbourne CityPalermo02L

Last matches: Sydney FC

25.10.26A-LeagueSydney FCAdelaide United21W
16.10.26A-LeagueSydney FCWS Wanderers00D
09.09.26FFA CupSydney FCMelbourne Victory02L
18.08.26FFA CupSD RaidersSydney FC01W
09.08.26FFA CupBrisbane RoarSydney FC24W

Head-to-head matches

17.03.26A-LeagueSydney FCMelbourne City01W
03.01.26A-LeagueMelbourne CitySydney FC00D
03.05.25A-LeagueMelbourne CitySydney FC51W
29.03.25A-LeagueSydney FCMelbourne City23W
24.02.24A-LeagueSydney FCMelbourne City11D
03.11.23A-LeagueMelbourne CitySydney FC20W

2.73Avg goals56%Both scored56%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC: head-to-head record

45 meetings since 2010: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

18Melbourne City wins

14Draws

13Sydney FC wins

68:55Goals (Melbourne City : Sydney FC)

2.73Goals per match

56%BTTS

82%Over 1.5

56%Over 2.5

33%Over 3.5

Melbourne City at home: 11-6-643:30 goals in 23 games
Sydney FC at home: 7-8-725:25 goals in 22 games
Melbourne City's biggest win: 5–1Melbourne City 5–1 Sydney FC, 3 May 2025
Sydney FC's biggest win: 0–4Melbourne City 0–4 Sydney FC, 10 Feb 2018

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
17 Mar 2026	A-League	Sydney FC	0–1	Melbourne City
3 Jan 2026	A-League	Melbourne City	0–0	Sydney FC
3 May 2025	A-League	Melbourne City	5–1	Sydney FC
29 Mar 2025	A-League	Sydney FC	2–3	Melbourne City
24 Feb 2024	A-League	Sydney FC	1–1	Melbourne City
3 Nov 2023	A-League	Melbourne City	2–0	Sydney FC
19 May 2023	A-League	Melbourne City	4–0	Sydney FC
12 May 2023	A-League	Sydney FC	1–1	Melbourne City
25 Feb 2023	A-League	Melbourne City	3–2	Sydney FC
10 Dec 2022	A-League	Sydney FC	2–1	Melbourne City
6 Apr 2022	A-League	Melbourne City	4–0	Sydney FC
26 Feb 2022	A-League	Sydney FC	1–2	Melbourne City
27 Jun 2021	A-League	Melbourne City	3–1	Sydney FC
10 Apr 2021	A-League	Sydney FC	1–1	Melbourne City
23 Feb 2021	A-League	Melbourne City	3–2	Sydney FC
30 Aug 2020	A-League	Sydney FC	0–0	Melbourne City
1 Aug 2020	A-League	Melbourne City	2–0	Sydney FC
29 Dec 2019	A-League	Sydney FC	2–1	Melbourne City
17 Mar 2019	A-League	Sydney FC	0–2	Melbourne City
3 Feb 2019	A-League	Sydney FC	2–0	Melbourne City

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Melbourne City0W 2D 3L · goals 2–8

D24.10A-LeagueAMelbourne Victory1–1
L17.10A-LeagueAAuckland FC1–3
D25.09Club FriendliesAOakleigh0–0
L11.08FFA CupALions0–2
L07.08Club FriendliesHPalermo0–2

Sydney FC3W 1D 1L · goals 7–5

W25.10A-LeagueHAdelaide United2–1
D16.10A-LeagueHWS Wanderers0–0
L09.09FFA CupHMelbourne Victory0–2
W18.08FFA CupASD Raiders1–0
W09.08FFA CupABrisbane Roar4–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Melbourne CitySydney FC

1.2Goals scored per game1.6

1.4Goals conceded per game1.0

50%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

3Clean sheets2

30%Failed to score30%

1-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-1-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Melbourne CitySydney FC

A-League 2025/2026 · 27 gamesA-League 2025/2026 · 30 games

1.2Goals scored1.3

1.3Goals conceded0.9

5.7Corners4.7

13.1Shots14.9

54%Possession54%

1.8Yellow cards1.8

33%Clean sheets43%

26%Failed to score30%

6-1-6Home / away record (W-D-L)9-1-6

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · A-League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	Macarthur FC	2	+1	4	DW
4	Sydney FC	2	+1	4	WD
5	Brisbane Roar	1	+1	3	W
9	Central Coast Mariners	2	-2	1	LD
10	Melbourne City	2	-2	1	DL
11	Adelaide United	1	-1	0	L

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Melbourne City

✕R. KalmsKnee Injury
✕A. LopaneMuscle Injury
✕Matheus RossettoLeg Injury
✕B. MazzeoAnkle Injury

Sydney FC

✕J. FarrellGroin Injury
✕G. HoefslootWrist Injury
✕J. HollmanKnock
✕A. WalateeAnkle Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC preview

A-League fixture: Melbourne City welcome Sydney FC on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (08:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Melbourne CityDLDLL2 scored · 8 conceded

Sydney FCWDLWW7 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Melbourne CitySydney FC

1.2Goals scored per game1.6

1.4Goals conceded per game1.0

50%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

3Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

18Melbourne City wins

14Draws

13Sydney FC wins

45 meetings · 2.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 56%

What's at stake

Melbourne City10th1 pts · 2 played

Sydney FC4th4 pts · 2 played

Sydney FC lead by 3 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.565%Confidence1.93Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 2.03 on Melbourne City, 3.71 on the draw and 3.65 on Sydney FC, which is roughly 48%, 26% and 26% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals with 65% confidence at a best price of 1.93.

We also have Asian handicap: Sydney FC +0.5 (60%, 1.95).

Recent form over the last 5: Melbourne City DLDLL (goals 2–8), Sydney FC WDLWW (goals 7–5).

Both teams scored in 50% of Melbourne City's recent games and 60% of Sydney FC's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 40% respectively.

Per game, Melbourne City average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Sydney FC 1.6 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 45 head-to-head games the record reads 18–14–13 (wins–draws–losses) from Melbourne City's side.

Those 45 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-17) ended Sydney FC 0–1 Melbourne City.

Melbourne City sit 10th on 1 pts after 2 games, Sydney FC 4th on 4 pts.

Nito explains: Melbourne City vs Sydney FC

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Melbourne City vs Sydney FC mean?

The best prices are 2.03 for a Melbourne City win, 3.71 for a draw and 3.65 for a Sydney FC win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.03 returns 20.30 if Melbourne City win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.6% removed) that is 48% Melbourne City, 26% draw and 26% Sydney FC.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.93, the price implies a 52% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Melbourne City and Sydney FC matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Melbourne City's last 10 matches and 60% of Sydney FC's last 10. In their 45 recorded meetings it was 56%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Melbourne City reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Sydney FC in 40% of their last 10. Their 45 meetings averaged 2.7 goals (56% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLDLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Melbourne City, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (2 scored, 8 conceded). Sydney FC, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (7 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Melbourne City and Sydney FC stand in the table?

Melbourne City are 10th with 1 points from 2 games. Sydney FC are 4th with 4 points from 2 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC: questions & answers

Who will win Melbourne City vs Sydney FC?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Sydney FC +0.5 with 60% confidence (best price 1.95). Bookmaker odds imply Melbourne City 48%, draw 26%, Sydney FC 26%.

Will both teams score in Melbourne City vs Sydney FC?

Both teams scored in 56% of their 45 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Melbourne City's matches and 60% of Sydney FC's.

What are the odds for Melbourne City vs Sydney FC?

Odds: Melbourne City 2.03, draw 3.71, Sydney FC 3.65. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.93.

When is the Melbourne City vs Sydney FC kick-off?

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 08:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Melbourne City and Sydney FC?

45 meetings: Melbourne City 18 wins, 14 draws, Sydney FC 13 wins. Those 45 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

Other A-League matches on 31 Oct

All A-League fixtures

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC prediction & odds

Melbourne City

Sydney FC

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds