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Mensajero vs Panaderia prediction & odds

Mensajero

14:30

Kick-off Sun 17 Jan, 14:30

Panaderia

Estadio Silvestre Carrillo

MensajerovsPanaderia

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Tercera
Kick-off: Sun 17 Jan 14:30 EET
Stadium: Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Capacity: 6,000
City: Santa Cruz de la Palma (La Palma)

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

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Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

No odds published yet — prices appear closer to kick-off

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

3Mensajero wins

1Draws

10Panaderia wins

Last matches: Mensajero

21.10.26TerceraPanaderiaMensajero50L
17.10.26TerceraLas Palmas CMensajero22D
11.10.26TerceraMensajeroSan Bartolome22D
03.10.26TerceraMensajero12W
27.09.26TerceraMensajeroSan Miguel10W

Last matches: Panaderia

24.10.26TerceraPanaderia11D
21.10.26TerceraPanaderiaMensajero50W
17.10.26TerceraPanaderiaSan Miguel41W
10.10.26TerceraPanaderia34W
03.10.26TerceraPanaderia52W

Head-to-head matches

21.10.26TerceraPanaderiaMensajero50L
21.02.26TerceraPanaderiaMensajero32L
12.10.25TerceraMensajeroPanaderia20W
09.03.25Tercera - Group 1MensajeroPanaderia23L
26.10.24Tercera - Group 1PanaderiaMensajero20L
02.04.23Tercera - Group 1MensajeroPanaderia30W

3.36Avg goals50%Both scored64%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Mensajero vs Panaderia: head-to-head record

14 meetings since 2017: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

3Mensajero wins

1Draws

10Panaderia wins

17:30Goals (Mensajero : Panaderia)

3.36Goals per match

50%BTTS

93%Over 1.5

64%Over 2.5

43%Over 3.5

Mensajero at home: 3-1-311:12 goals in 7 games
Panaderia at home: 7-0-018:6 goals in 7 games
Mensajero's biggest win: 3–0Mensajero 3–0 Panaderia, 2 Apr 2023
Panaderia's biggest win: 5–0Panaderia 5–0 Mensajero, 21 Oct 2026

Meetings (14 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Oct 2026	Tercera	Panaderia	5–0	Mensajero
21 Feb 2026	Tercera	Panaderia	3–2	Mensajero
12 Oct 2025	Tercera	Mensajero	2–0	Panaderia
9 Mar 2025	Tercera - Group 1	Mensajero	2–3	Panaderia
26 Oct 2024	Tercera - Group 1	Panaderia	2–0	Mensajero
2 Apr 2023	Tercera - Group 1	Mensajero	3–0	Panaderia
3 Dec 2022	Tercera - Group 1	Panaderia	2–1	Mensajero
30 May 2021	Tercera - Group 1	Panaderia	2–1	Mensajero
8 May 2021	Tercera - Group 1	Mensajero	1–1	Panaderia
27 Oct 2019	Tercera - Group 1	Mensajero	0–5	Panaderia
27 Jan 2019	Tercera - Group 1	Mensajero	3–1	Panaderia
8 Sept 2018	Tercera - Group 1	Panaderia	3–2	Mensajero
13 May 2018	Tercera - Group 1	Panaderia	1–0	Mensajero
23 Dec 2017	Tercera - Group 1	Mensajero	0–2	Panaderia

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Mensajero2W 2D 1L · goals 7–10

L21.10TerceraAPanaderia0–5
D17.10TerceraALas Palmas C2–2
D11.10TerceraHSan Bartolome2–2
W03.10TerceraA2–1
W27.09TerceraHSan Miguel1–0

Panaderia4W 1D 0L · goals 19–7

D24.10TerceraA1–1
W21.10TerceraHMensajero5–0
W17.10TerceraHSan Miguel4–1
W10.10TerceraA4–3
W03.10TerceraH5–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

MensajeroPanaderia

1.0Goals scored per game2.6

1.5Goals conceded per game1.6

40%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets1

30%Failed to score20%

3-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Tercera: Group 12

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	San Fernando	8	+15	19	DWWWW
2	Panaderia	8	+11	17	DWWWW
3	San Miguel	8	+10	16	WWLWW
8	Yaiza	8	+2	13	WWDWL
9	Mensajero	8	-3	12	DLDDW
10	Los Llanos	8	+1	10	LLWLW

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About this match

Mensajero vs Panaderia preview

On Sun, 17 Jan 2027 at 14:30, Mensajero take on Panaderia in the Tercera.

Form · last 5 matches

MensajeroLDDWW7 scored · 10 conceded

PanaderiaDWWWW19 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

MensajeroPanaderia

1.0Goals scored per game2.6

1.5Goals conceded per game1.6

40%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

3Mensajero wins

1Draws

10Panaderia wins

14 meetings · 3.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Mensajero9th12 pts · 8 played

Panaderia2nd17 pts · 8 played

Panaderia lead by 5 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio Silvestre Carrillo.

Recent form over the last 5: Mensajero LDDWW (goals 7–10), Panaderia DWWWW (goals 19–7).

Both teams scored in 40% of Mensajero's recent games and 70% of Panaderia's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 70% respectively.

Per game, Mensajero average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Panaderia 2.6 and 1.6 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 14 head-to-head games the record reads 3–1–10 (wins–draws–losses) from Mensajero's side.

Those 14 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-10-21) ended Panaderia 5–0 Mensajero.

Mensajero sit 9th on 12 pts after 8 games, Panaderia 2nd on 17 pts.

Nito explains: Mensajero vs Panaderia

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

How often do Mensajero and Panaderia matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Mensajero's last 10 matches and 70% of Panaderia's last 10. In their 14 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Mensajero reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Panaderia in 70% of their last 10. Their 14 meetings averaged 3.4 goals (64% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDDWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Mensajero, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (7 scored, 10 conceded). Panaderia, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (19 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Mensajero and Panaderia stand in the table?

Mensajero are 9th with 12 points from 8 games. Panaderia are 2nd with 17 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 5 points.

Mensajero vs Panaderia: questions & answers

Will both teams score in Mensajero vs Panaderia?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 14 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Mensajero's matches and 70% of Panaderia's.

When is the Mensajero vs Panaderia kick-off?

Mensajero vs Panaderia kicks off on Sun, 17 Jan 2027 at 14:30 (GMT+2) at Estadio Silvestre Carrillo.

What is the head-to-head record between Mensajero and Panaderia?

14 meetings: Mensajero 3 wins, 1 draws, Panaderia 10 wins. Those 14 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Mensajero vs Panaderia prediction & odds

Mensajero

Panaderia

Match information

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All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Odds comparison

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