Home / Paraguay: Copa De Primera - Clausura / Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion

Copa De Primera - ClausuraUpcoming

Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion prediction & odds

Sp. Luqueno

00:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 00:30

Nacional Asuncion

Odds 1X2

1Sp. Luqueno3.87XDraw3.692Nacional Asuncion1.92Nito’s pick

Sp. LuquenovsNacional Asuncion

Nito’s pick1.92

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Nacional Asuncion

1.92

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Copa De Primera - Clausura
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 00:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Nacional Asuncion60%Confidence1.92Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.92 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+8 pts)
Nacional Asuncion won 2 of their last 5 (goals 6–5); Sp. Luqueno won 1 (goals 5–11)
In the table Nacional Asuncion are 2nd with 68 pts, Sp. Luqueno 10th with 36 pts
In 50 meetings Nacional Asuncion won 18, Sp. Luqueno won 15, 17 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Nacional Asuncion

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.92

We rate Nacional Asuncion to win at 60% — the price of 1.92 implies only 52%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.85

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 1.85 implies only 54%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Sp. Luqueno25%3.87

Draw26%3.69

Nacional Asuncion50%1.92

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.0%

Sp. Luqueno3.8725%Draw3.6926%Nacional Asuncion1.9250%

Double chance

Sp. Luqueno or Draw1.85Sp. Luqueno or Nacional Asuncion1.20Draw or Nacional Asuncion1.16

Total goals 2.5margin 4.8%

Over 2.51.9748%Under 2.51.8552%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.2%

Sp. Luqueno +0.51.9250%Nacional Asuncion -0.51.9250%

1st-half resultmargin 6.2%

Sp. Luqueno4.5321%Draw2.2542%Nacional Asuncion2.5237%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Sp. Luqueno1.9449%Nacional Asuncion1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

15Sp. Luqueno wins

17Draws

18Nacional Asuncion wins

Last matches: Sp. Luqueno

28.10.26Copa ParaguaySp. LuquenoRecoleta02L
23.10.26Primera DivisionLibertadSp. Luqueno10L
18.10.26Primera DivisionSp. LuquenoSan Lorenzo32W
10.10.26Primera DivisionSp. LuquenoCerro Porteno03L
05.10.26Primera DivisionSportivo TrinidenseSp. Luqueno32L

Last matches: Nacional Asuncion

24.10.26Primera DivisionNacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense01L
17.10.26Primera DivisionGuaraniNacional Asuncion02W
12.10.26Primera DivisionNacional AsuncionRecoleta10W
06.10.26Primera DivisionOlimpia AsuncionNacional Asuncion11D
30.09.26Copa ParaguayIndependiente FBCNacional Asuncion32L

Head-to-head matches

24.08.26Primera DivisionNacional AsuncionSp. Luqueno20L
27.03.26Primera DivisionNacional AsuncionSp. Luqueno32L
27.01.26Primera DivisionSp. LuquenoNacional Asuncion12L
12.10.25AperturaNacional AsuncionSp. Luqueno11D
29.07.25AperturaSp. LuquenoNacional Asuncion21W
17.05.25AperturaNacional AsuncionSp. Luqueno40L

2.60Avg goals66%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2012: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

15Sp. Luqueno wins

17Draws

18Nacional Asuncion wins

60:70Goals (Sp. Luqueno : Nacional Asuncion)

2.60Goals per match

66%BTTS

78%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

24%Over 3.5

Sp. Luqueno at home: 8-8-936:40 goals in 25 games
Nacional Asuncion at home: 9-9-730:24 goals in 25 games
Sp. Luqueno's biggest win: 2–5Nacional Asuncion 2–5 Sp. Luqueno, 22 May 2015
Nacional Asuncion's biggest win: 4–0Nacional Asuncion 4–0 Sp. Luqueno, 17 May 2025

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Aug 2026	Primera Division	Nacional Asuncion	2–0	Sp. Luqueno
27 Mar 2026	Primera Division	Nacional Asuncion	3–2	Sp. Luqueno
27 Jan 2026	Primera Division	Sp. Luqueno	1–2	Nacional Asuncion
12 Oct 2025	Apertura	Nacional Asuncion	1–1	Sp. Luqueno
29 Jul 2025	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	2–1	Nacional Asuncion
17 May 2025	Apertura	Nacional Asuncion	4–0	Sp. Luqueno
10 Mar 2025	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	2–1	Nacional Asuncion
21 Oct 2024	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	2–2	Nacional Asuncion
13 Aug 2024	Apertura	Nacional Asuncion	1–0	Sp. Luqueno
4 May 2024	Apertura	Nacional Asuncion	0–1	Sp. Luqueno
11 Feb 2024	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	2–0	Nacional Asuncion
1 Dec 2023	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	1–1	Nacional Asuncion
15 Sept 2023	Apertura	Nacional Asuncion	2–1	Sp. Luqueno
22 May 2023	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	0–1	Nacional Asuncion
18 Mar 2023	Apertura	Nacional Asuncion	0–1	Sp. Luqueno
16 Oct 2021	Apertura	Nacional Asuncion	0–0	Sp. Luqueno
31 Jul 2021	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	2–1	Nacional Asuncion
17 Apr 2021	Apertura	Nacional Asuncion	1–0	Sp. Luqueno
14 Feb 2021	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	0–3	Nacional Asuncion
8 Nov 2020	Apertura	Sp. Luqueno	1–3	Nacional Asuncion

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Sp. Luqueno1W 0D 4L · goals 5–11

L28.10Copa ParaguayHRecoleta0–2
L23.10Primera DivisionALibertad0–1
W18.10Primera DivisionHSan Lorenzo3–2
L10.10Primera DivisionHCerro Porteno0–3
L05.10Primera DivisionASportivo Trinidense2–3

Nacional Asuncion2W 1D 2L · goals 6–5

L24.10Primera DivisionHSportivo Trinidense0–1
W17.10Primera DivisionAGuarani2–0
W12.10Primera DivisionHRecoleta1–0
D06.10Primera DivisionAOlimpia Asuncion1–1
L30.09Copa ParaguayAIndependiente FBC2–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Sp. LuquenoNacional Asuncion

0.9Goals scored per game1.4

1.8Goals conceded per game0.7

40%Both teams scored30%

60%Over 2.5 goals30%

1Clean sheets5

50%Failed to score20%

2-0-4Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Sp. LuquenoNacional Asuncion

Division Profesional 2026 · 22 gamesDivision Profesional 2026 · 20 games

1.0Goals scored1.4

1.6Goals conceded0.8

4.1Corners4.8

11.9Shots12.0

47%Possession51%

1.9Yellow cards2.2

5%Clean sheets40%

36%Failed to score15%

3-1-7Home / away record (W-D-L)3-5-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Olimpia Asuncion	38	+36	82	WWDDW
2	Nacional Asuncion	38	+23	68	LWWDD
3	Sportivo Trinidense	38	+18	62	WWDWW
9	Recoleta	38	-9	40	DWLLD
10	Sp. Luqueno	38	-22	36	LWLLL
11	Rubio Nu	38	-23	36	LLDWD

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

18+ · No links or advertising · Comments are moderated.

No comments yet. Start the conversation.

About this match

Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion preview

Sp. Luqueno host Nacional Asuncion in the Copa De Primera - Clausura on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 00:30.

Form · last 5 matches

Sp. LuquenoLLWLL5 scored · 11 conceded

Nacional AsuncionLWWDL6 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Sp. LuquenoNacional Asuncion

0.9Goals scored per game1.4

1.8Goals conceded per game0.7

40%Both teams scored30%

60%Over 2.5 goals30%

1Clean sheets5

Head-to-head in numbers

15Sp. Luqueno wins

17Draws

18Nacional Asuncion wins

50 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 66%

What's at stake

Sp. Luqueno10th36 pts · 38 played

Nacional Asuncion2nd68 pts · 38 played

Nacional Asuncion lead by 32 pts

Our pick

Nacional Asuncion to winNacional Asuncion60%Confidence1.92Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 3.87 on Sp. Luqueno, 3.69 on the draw and 1.92 on Nacional Asuncion, which is roughly 25%, 26% and 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Nacional Asuncion to win: 60% confidence, priced at 1.92.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (60%, 1.85).

Recent form over the last 5: Sp. Luqueno LLWLL (goals 5–11), Nacional Asuncion LWWDL (goals 6–5).

Both teams scored in 40% of Sp. Luqueno's recent games and 30% of Nacional Asuncion's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 30% respectively.

Per game, Sp. Luqueno average 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Nacional Asuncion 1.4 and 0.7 (clean sheets: 5).

Across 50 head-to-head games the record reads 15–17–18 (wins–draws–losses) from Sp. Luqueno's side.

Those 50 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-24) ended Nacional Asuncion 2–0 Sp. Luqueno.

Sp. Luqueno sit 10th on 36 pts after 38 games, Nacional Asuncion 2nd on 68 pts.

Nito explains: Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion mean?

The best prices are 3.87 for a Sp. Luqueno win, 3.69 for a draw and 1.92 for a Nacional Asuncion win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.87 returns 38.70 if Sp. Luqueno win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.0% removed) that is 25% Sp. Luqueno, 26% draw and 50% Nacional Asuncion.

What does Nito's pick "Nacional Asuncion to win" mean?

It wins only if Nacional Asuncion win; a draw or a Sp. Luqueno win loses. At 1.92, the price implies a 52% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Sp. Luqueno and Nacional Asuncion matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Sp. Luqueno's last 10 matches and 30% of Nacional Asuncion's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 66%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Sp. Luqueno reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Nacional Asuncion in 30% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLWLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Sp. Luqueno, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (5 scored, 11 conceded). Nacional Asuncion, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Sp. Luqueno and Nacional Asuncion stand in the table?

Sp. Luqueno are 10th with 36 points from 38 games. Nacional Asuncion are 2nd with 68 points from 38 games. The gap between them is 32 points.

Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion: questions & answers

Who will win Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Our pick is Nacional Asuncion to win with 60% confidence (best price 1.92). Bookmaker odds imply Sp. Luqueno 25%, draw 26%, Nacional Asuncion 50%.

Will both teams score in Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Both teams scored in 66% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Sp. Luqueno's matches and 30% of Nacional Asuncion's.

What are the odds for Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Odds: Sp. Luqueno 3.87, draw 3.69, Nacional Asuncion 1.92. Our pick Nacional Asuncion to win is available at 1.92.

When is the Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion kick-off?

Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 00:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Sp. Luqueno and Nacional Asuncion?

50 meetings: Sp. Luqueno 15 wins, 17 draws, Nacional Asuncion 18 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.

Other Copa De Primera - Clausura matches on 1 Nov

All Copa De Primera - Clausura fixtures

Sp. Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion prediction & odds

Sp. Luqueno

Nacional Asuncion

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds