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Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction & odds

Santos Laguna

01:00

Kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 01:00

Necaxa

Odds 1X2

1Santos Laguna1.85Nito’s pickXDraw4.122Necaxa3.97

Estadio Corona

Santos LagunavsNecaxa

Nito’s pick1.85

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Santos Laguna

1.85

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga MX
Kick-off: Mon 2 Nov 01:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio Corona
Capacity: 28,914
City: Torreón

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Santos Laguna60%Confidence1.85Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.85 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+6 pts)
Santos Laguna won 2 of their last 5 (goals 8–3); Necaxa won 0 (goals 3–5)
In the table Santos Laguna are 10th with 19 pts, Necaxa 17th with 10 pts
In 36 meetings Santos Laguna won 11, Necaxa won 14, 11 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Santos Laguna52%1.85

Draw23%4.12

Necaxa24%3.97

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

Santos Laguna1.8552%Draw4.1223%Necaxa3.9724%

Double chance

Santos Laguna or Draw1.20Santos Laguna or Necaxa1.16Draw or Necaxa1.95

Total goals 2.5margin 5.2%

Over 2.51.4765%Under 2.52.6935%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.1%

Santos Laguna -0.752.0248%Necaxa +0.751.8352%

1st-half resultmargin 5.7%

Santos Laguna2.2642%Draw2.6436%Necaxa4.2422%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Santos Laguna1.9350%Necaxa1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

11Santos Laguna wins

11Draws

14Necaxa wins

Last matches: Santos Laguna

Copa por MéxicoAtlasSantos Laguna00D
Copa MXSantos LagunaGuadalajara20W
Copa MXCorrecaminos UATSantos Laguna04W
Copa MXGuadalajaraSantos Laguna21L
Copa MXSantos LagunaCorrecaminos UAT11D

Last matches: Necaxa

Copa por MéxicoCruz AzulNecaxa00D

Santos Laguna vs Necaxa: head-to-head record

36 meetings since 2003: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

11Santos Laguna wins

11Draws

14Necaxa wins

56:66Goals (Santos Laguna : Necaxa)

3.39Goals per match

81%BTTS

89%Over 1.5

69%Over 2.5

44%Over 3.5

Santos Laguna at home: 6-8-431:32 goals in 18 games
Necaxa at home: 10-3-534:25 goals in 18 games
Santos Laguna's biggest win: 0–3Necaxa 0–3 Santos Laguna, 24 Jul 2021
Necaxa's biggest win: 4–1Necaxa 4–1 Santos Laguna, 1 Nov 2025

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
11 Jan 2026	Liga MX	Santos Laguna	1–3	Necaxa
1 Nov 2025	Liga MX	Necaxa	4–1

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Santos Laguna2W 2D 1L · goals 8–3

D01.01Copa por MéxicoAAtlas0–0
W01.01Copa MXHGuadalajara2–0
W01.01Copa MXACorrecaminos UAT4–0
L01.01Copa MXAGuadalajara1–2
D01.01Copa MXHCorrecaminos UAT1–1

Necaxa0W 3D 2L · goals 3–5

D01.01Copa por MéxicoACruz Azul0–0
L01.01Copa MXACelaya0–1
L01.01Copa MXADorados1–2
D01.01Copa MXHCelaya0–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Santos LagunaNecaxa

1.9Goals scored per game0.9

0.8Goals conceded per game1.6

40%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

6Clean sheets2

10%Failed to score50%

4-1-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-2-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Santos LagunaNecaxa

Liga MX 2025/2026 · 33 gamesLiga MX 2026/2027 · 9 games

1.2Goals scored1.1

2.0Goals conceded1.8

4.3Corners5.7

10.6Shots14.2

44%Possession50%

2.8Yellow cards2.1

15%Clean sheets0%

24%Failed to score11%

7-2-7Home / away record (W-D-L)0-2-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
9	Queretaro	13	-1	20	LLLWW
10	Santos Laguna	14	0	19	LWWWW
11	Atl. San Luis	14	-3	19	WWDLW
16	Atlante	14	-6	14	LWLLW
17	Necaxa	14	-11	10	DLLDL
18	Juarez	14	-24

Comments

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About this match

Santos Laguna vs Necaxa preview

On Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 01:00, Santos Laguna take on Necaxa in the Liga MX.

Form · last 5 matches

Santos LagunaDWWLD8 scored · 3 conceded

NecaxaDLLDD3 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Santos LagunaNecaxa

1.9Goals scored per game0.9

0.8Goals conceded per game1.6

40%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

6Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

11Santos Laguna wins

11Draws

14Necaxa wins

36 meetings · 3.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 81%

What's at stake

Santos Laguna10th19 pts · 14 played

Nito explains: Santos Laguna vs Necaxa

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa mean?

The best prices are 1.85 for a Santos Laguna win, 4.12 for a draw and 3.97 for a Necaxa win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.85 returns 18.50 if Santos Laguna win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.5% removed) that is 52% Santos Laguna, 23% draw and 24% Necaxa.

What does Nito's pick "Santos Laguna to win" mean?

It wins only if Santos Laguna win; a draw or a Necaxa win loses. At 1.85, the price implies a 54% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Santos Laguna and Necaxa matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Santos Laguna's last 10 matches and 50% of Necaxa's last 10. In their 36 recorded meetings it was 81%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Santos Laguna reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Necaxa in 40% of their last 10. Their 36 meetings averaged 3.4 goals (69% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Santos Laguna, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (8 scored, 3 conceded). Necaxa, last 5: 0 W · 3 D · 2 L (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Santos Laguna and Necaxa stand in the table?

Santos Laguna are 10th with 19 points from 14 games. Necaxa are 17th with 10 points from 14 games. The gap between them is 9 points.

Santos Laguna vs Necaxa: questions & answers

Who will win Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?

Our pick is Santos Laguna to win with 60% confidence (best price 1.85). Bookmaker odds imply Santos Laguna 52%, draw 23%, Necaxa 24%.

Will both teams score in Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?

Both teams scored in 81% of their 36 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Santos Laguna's matches and 50% of Necaxa's.

What are the odds for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?

Odds: Santos Laguna 1.85, draw 4.12, Necaxa 3.97. Our pick Santos Laguna to win is available at 1.85.

When is the Santos Laguna vs Necaxa kick-off?

Santos Laguna vs Necaxa kicks off on Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 01:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio Corona.

What is the head-to-head record between Santos Laguna and Necaxa?

36 meetings: Santos Laguna 11 wins, 11 draws, Necaxa 14 wins. Those 36 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 81% of them.

Other Liga MX matches on 2 Nov

03:10Cruz AzulClub Leon

All Liga MX fixtures

Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction & odds

Santos Laguna

Necaxa

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds