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Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction & odds

Newcastle Jets

06:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 06:00

Wellington Phoenix

Odds 1X2

1Newcastle Jets2.15XDraw3.912Wellington Phoenix3.25

Newcastle JetsvsWellington Phoenix

Nito’s pick1.81

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Wellington Phoenix

1.81

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: A-League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 06:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Wellington Phoenix60%Confidence1.81Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.81 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+5 pts)
Wellington Phoenix won 3 of their last 5 (goals 6–8); Newcastle Jets won 0 (goals 7–18)
In the table Wellington Phoenix are 1st with 6 pts, Newcastle Jets 7th with 2 pts
In 50 meetings Wellington Phoenix won 25, Newcastle Jets won 17, 8 were drawn

Best price 1.81 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+5 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Wellington Phoenix

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.81

Double chance: Draw or Wellington Phoenix: our confidence is 60%, 5 points above the 55% the best price of 1.81 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.52

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 60%, 20 points above the 40% the best price of 2.52 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Newcastle Jets45%2.15

Draw25%3.91

Wellington Phoenix30%3.25

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.9%

Newcastle Jets2.1545%Draw3.9125%Wellington Phoenix3.2530%

Double chance

Newcastle Jets or Draw1.26Newcastle Jets or Wellington Phoenix1.20Draw or Wellington Phoenix1.81

Total goals 2.5margin 3.8%

Over 2.51.5662%Under 2.52.5238%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.7%

Newcastle Jets -0.251.8852%Wellington Phoenix +0.252.0248%

1st-half resultmargin 3.8%

Newcastle Jets2.6436%Draw2.5737%Wellington Phoenix3.7026%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Newcastle Jets1.9450%Wellington Phoenix1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

17Newcastle Jets wins

8Draws

25Wellington Phoenix wins

Last matches: Newcastle Jets

27.10.26AFC Champions LeagueKyotoNewcastle Jets52L
24.10.26A-LeagueNewcastle JetsMacarthur FC11D
17.10.26A-LeagueCentral Coast MarinersNewcastle Jets22D
13.10.26AFC Champions LeagueNewcastle JetsGamba13L
15.09.26AFC Champions LeagueKashimaNewcastle Jets71L

Last matches: Wellington Phoenix

25.10.26A-LeagueWellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners20W
18.10.26A-LeagueWellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory21W
24.04.26A-LeagueMacarthur FCWellington Phoenix40L
18.04.26A-LeagueWellington PhoenixWS Wanderers21W
12.04.26A-LeagueMelbourne CityWellington Phoenix20L

Head-to-head matches

23.01.26A-LeagueNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix41W
14.12.25A-LeagueWellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets13W
06.04.25A-LeagueNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix12L
28.12.24A-LeagueWellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets21L
19.04.24A-LeagueNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix11D
27.01.24A-LeagueNewcastle JetsWellington Phoenix12L

3.26Avg goals58%Both scored72%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2008: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

17Newcastle Jets wins

8Draws

25Wellington Phoenix wins

76:87Goals (Newcastle Jets : Wellington Phoenix)

3.26Goals per match

58%BTTS

88%Over 1.5

72%Over 2.5

42%Over 3.5

Newcastle Jets at home: 11-4-949:33 goals in 24 games
Wellington Phoenix at home: 16-4-654:27 goals in 26 games
Newcastle Jets's biggest win: 5–0Newcastle Jets 5–0 Wellington Phoenix, 22 Mar 2014
Wellington Phoenix's biggest win: 5–0Wellington Phoenix 5–0 Newcastle Jets, 26 Mar 2017

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
23 Jan 2026	A-League	Newcastle Jets	4–1	Wellington Phoenix
14 Dec 2025	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	1–3	Newcastle Jets
6 Apr 2025	A-League	Newcastle Jets	1–2	Wellington Phoenix
28 Dec 2024	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	2–1	Newcastle Jets
19 Apr 2024	A-League	Newcastle Jets	1–1	Wellington Phoenix
27 Jan 2024	A-League	Newcastle Jets	1–2	Wellington Phoenix
9 Dec 2023	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	0–3	Newcastle Jets
4 Mar 2023	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	2–1	Newcastle Jets
22 Oct 2022	A-League	Newcastle Jets	3–1	Wellington Phoenix
18 Mar 2022	A-League	Newcastle Jets	4–0	Wellington Phoenix
9 Mar 2022	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	3–2	Newcastle Jets
10 Dec 2021	A-League	Newcastle Jets	4–0	Wellington Phoenix
28 Feb 2021	A-League	Newcastle Jets	0–2	Wellington Phoenix
24 Jan 2021	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	1–2	Newcastle Jets
13 Aug 2020	A-League	Newcastle Jets	3–0	Wellington Phoenix
24 Jan 2020	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	2–1	Newcastle Jets
30 Mar 2019	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	4–1	Newcastle Jets
7 Feb 2019	A-League	Newcastle Jets	1–1	Wellington Phoenix
21 Oct 2018	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	2–1	Newcastle Jets
17 Mar 2018	A-League	Wellington Phoenix	0–1	Newcastle Jets

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Newcastle Jets0W 2D 3L · goals 7–18

L27.10AFC Champions LeagueAKyoto2–5
D24.10A-LeagueHMacarthur FC1–1
D17.10A-LeagueACentral Coast Mariners2–2
L13.10AFC Champions LeagueHGamba1–3
L15.09AFC Champions LeagueAKashima1–7

Wellington Phoenix3W 0D 2L · goals 6–8

W25.10A-LeagueHCentral Coast Mariners2–0
W18.10A-LeagueHMelbourne Victory2–1
L24.04A-LeagueAMacarthur FC0–4
W18.04A-LeagueHWS Wanderers2–1
L12.04A-LeagueAMelbourne City0–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix

1.7Goals scored per game1.2

2.6Goals conceded per game1.1

90%Both teams scored40%

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets3

0%Failed to score30%

1-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · A-League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Wellington Phoenix	2	+3	6	WW
2	WS Wanderers	2	+3	4	WD
6	Auckland FC	2	-1	3	LW
7	Newcastle Jets	2	0	2	DD
8	Melbourne Victory	2	-1	1	DL

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Newcastle Jets

✕A. BadolatoInactive
✕A. BridesonInactive
✕O. CockleInactive
✕M. CooperFoot Injury
✕O. FryerKnee Injury
✕O. GonzalezInactive
✕W. KennedyAnkle Injury
✕A. NassiepInactive
✕C. PrestwidgeInactive
✕A. ReidInactive
✕K. WalsheInactive

Wellington Phoenix

✕F. ConchieInactive
✕I. HughesInactive
✕J. SmithInactive

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix preview

Newcastle Jets host Wellington Phoenix in the A-League on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 06:00.

Form · last 5 matches

Newcastle JetsLDDLL7 scored · 18 conceded

Wellington PhoenixWWLWL6 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix

1.7Goals scored per game1.2

2.6Goals conceded per game1.1

90%Both teams scored40%

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

17Newcastle Jets wins

8Draws

25Wellington Phoenix wins

50 meetings · 3.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 58%

What's at stake

Newcastle Jets7th2 pts · 2 played

Wellington Phoenix1st6 pts · 2 played

Wellington Phoenix lead by 4 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Wellington Phoenix60%Confidence1.81Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Newcastle Jets the favourite at 2.15 (45% implied), with the draw at 3.91 (25%).

The selection we rate highest is Double chance: Draw or Wellington Phoenix: 60% confidence, priced at 1.81.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.52).

Newcastle Jets come into the game with LDDLL in their last 5 (7 scored, 18 conceded), while Wellington Phoenix have WWLWL (6 scored, 8 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 80% of Newcastle Jets's recent games and 40% of Wellington Phoenix's, with both teams scoring in 90% and 40%.

Per game, Newcastle Jets average 1.7 goals scored and 2.6 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Wellington Phoenix 1.2 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Newcastle Jets 17 wins, Wellington Phoenix 25 wins, draws 8.

Those 50 games averaged 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-23) ended Newcastle Jets 4–1 Wellington Phoenix.

In the table, Newcastle Jets are 7th (2 pts from 2 games) and Wellington Phoenix are 1st (6 pts from 2).

Nito explains: Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix mean?

The best prices are 2.15 for a Newcastle Jets win, 3.91 for a draw and 3.25 for a Wellington Phoenix win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.15 returns 21.50 if Newcastle Jets win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.9% removed) that is 45% Newcastle Jets, 25% draw and 30% Wellington Phoenix.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Wellington Phoenix" mean?

It wins if Wellington Phoenix win or draw; it loses only if Newcastle Jets win. At 1.81, the price implies a 55% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 90% of Newcastle Jets's last 10 matches and 40% of Wellington Phoenix's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 58%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Newcastle Jets reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Wellington Phoenix in 40% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 3.3 goals (72% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDDLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Newcastle Jets, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (7 scored, 18 conceded). Wellington Phoenix, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (6 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix stand in the table?

Newcastle Jets are 7th with 2 points from 2 games. Wellington Phoenix are 1st with 6 points from 2 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: questions & answers

Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Wellington Phoenix with 60% confidence (best price 1.81). Bookmaker odds imply Newcastle Jets 45%, draw 25%, Wellington Phoenix 30%.

Will both teams score in Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?

Both teams scored in 58% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 90% of Newcastle Jets's matches and 40% of Wellington Phoenix's.

What are the odds for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?

Odds: Newcastle Jets 2.15, draw 3.91, Wellington Phoenix 3.25. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Wellington Phoenix is available at 1.81.

When is the Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix kick-off?

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 06:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix?

50 meetings: Newcastle Jets 17 wins, 8 draws, Wellington Phoenix 25 wins. Those 50 games averaged 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

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Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction & odds

Newcastle Jets

Wellington Phoenix

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds