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Norrby vs Varnamo prediction & odds

Norrby

16:00
Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 16:00

Varnamo

Odds 1X2
1Norrby2.36XDraw3.612Varnamo2.81
NorrbyvsVarnamoNito’s pick1.55

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreYes
1.55

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Superettan
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreYes70%Confidence1.55Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.55 means bookmakers give it 65%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+5 pts)
  • Both teams scored in 50% of Norrby's last 5 and 70% of Varnamo's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Norrby matches 2.4, Varnamo matches 2.7
  • Their 15 meetings average 3.1 goals; both teams scored in 60%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Norrby40%2.36
Draw26%3.61
Varnamo34%2.81

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.7%
Norrby2.3640%Draw3.6126%Varnamo2.8134%
Double chance
Norrby or Draw1.39Norrby or Varnamo1.24Draw or Varnamo1.51
Total goals 2.5margin 5.9%
Over 2.51.5661%Under 2.52.3939%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 4.9%
Norrby -0.252.0447%Varnamo +0.251.7953%
1st-half resultmargin 6.7%
Norrby2.8133%Draw2.4538%Varnamo3.3028%
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%
Norrby1.9549%Varnamo1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

About this match

Norrby vs Varnamo preview

Superettan fixture: Norrby welcome Varnamo on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (16:00 kick-off).