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Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction & odds

Northern Ireland

21:45

Kick-off Sat 14 Nov, 21:45

Ukraine

Odds 1X2

1Northern Ireland2.32XDraw3.302Ukraine3.15

Windsor Park

Northern IrelandvsUkraine

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: UEFA Nations League
Kick-off: Sat 14 Nov 21:45 EET
Stadium: Windsor Park
Capacity: 18,614
City: Belfast

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Northern Ireland41%2.32

Draw29%3.30

Ukraine30%3.15

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.2%

Northern Ireland2.3241%Draw3.3029%Ukraine3.1530%

Double chance

Northern Ireland or Draw1.25Northern Ireland or Ukraine1.21Draw or Ukraine1.39

1st-half resultmargin 18.1%

Northern Ireland2.7231%Draw1.9144%Ukraine3.4525%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Northern Ireland1.9649%Ukraine1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2Northern Ireland wins

2Draws

3Ukraine wins

Last matches: Northern Ireland

05.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueNorthern IrelandGeorgia00D
02.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueUkraineNorthern Ireland03W
28.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueNorthern IrelandHungary00D
25.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueGeorgiaNorthern Ireland01W
08.06.26FriendliesFranceNorthern Ireland31L

Last matches: Ukraine

05.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueUkraineHungary12L
02.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueUkraineNorthern Ireland03L
28.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueGeorgiaUkraine00D
25.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueHungaryUkraine01W
07.06.26FriendliesDenmarkUkraine21L

Head-to-head matches

02.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueUkraineNorthern Ireland03W
03.06.21FriendlyUkraineNorthern Ireland10L
16.06.16European ChampionshipUkraineNorthern Ireland02W
05.09.03European ChampionshipUkraineNorthern Ireland00D
15.10.02European ChampionshipNorthern IrelandUkraine00D
01.04.97WC Qualifying EuropeUkraineNorthern Ireland21L

1.43Avg goals14%Both scored29%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine: head-to-head record

7 meetings since 1996: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2Northern Ireland wins

2Draws

3Ukraine wins

6:4Goals (Northern Ireland : Ukraine)

1.43Goals per match

14%BTTS

43%Over 1.5

29%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Northern Ireland at home: 0-1-10:1 goals in 2 games
Ukraine at home: 2-1-23:6 goals in 5 games
Northern Ireland's biggest win: 0–3Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland, 2 Oct 2026
Ukraine's biggest win: 1–0Ukraine 1–0 Northern Ireland, 3 Jun 2021

Meetings (7 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
2 Oct 2026	UEFA Nations League	Ukraine	0–3	Northern Ireland
3 Jun 2021	Friendly	Ukraine	1–0	Northern Ireland
16 Jun 2016	European Championship	Ukraine	0–2	Northern Ireland
5 Sept 2003	European Championship	Ukraine	0–0	Northern Ireland
15 Oct 2002	European Championship	Northern Ireland	0–0	Ukraine
1 Apr 1997	WC Qualifying Europe	Ukraine	2–1	Northern Ireland
30 Aug 1996	WC Qualifying Europe	Northern Ireland	0–1	Ukraine

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Northern Ireland2W 2D 1L · goals 5–3

D05.10UEFA Nations LeagueHGeorgia0–0
W02.10UEFA Nations LeagueAUkraine3–0
D28.09UEFA Nations LeagueHHungary0–0
W25.09UEFA Nations LeagueAGeorgia1–0
L08.06FriendliesAFrance1–3

Ukraine1W 1D 3L · goals 3–7

L05.10UEFA Nations LeagueHHungary1–2
L02.10UEFA Nations LeagueHNorthern Ireland0–3
D28.09UEFA Nations LeagueAGeorgia0–0
W25.09UEFA Nations LeagueAHungary1–0
L07.06FriendliesADenmark1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Northern IrelandUkraine

0.8Goals scored per game0.9

0.7Goals conceded per game1.4

20%Both teams scored30%

20%Over 2.5 goals50%

6Clean sheets5

40%Failed to score30%

2-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Group 2

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Northern Ireland	4	+4	8	DWDW
2	Hungary	4	+1	7	WWDL
3	Ukraine	4	-3	4	LLDW
4	Georgia	4	-2	2	DLDL

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About this match

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine preview

Northern Ireland host Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League on Sat, 14 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 21:45.

Form · last 5 matches

Northern IrelandDWDWL5 scored · 3 conceded

UkraineLLDWL3 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Northern IrelandUkraine

0.8Goals scored per game0.9

0.7Goals conceded per game1.4

20%Both teams scored30%

20%Over 2.5 goals50%

6Clean sheets5

Head-to-head in numbers

2Northern Ireland wins

2Draws

3Ukraine wins

7 meetings · 1.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 14%

What's at stake

Northern Ireland1st8 pts · 4 played

Ukraine3rd4 pts · 4 played

Northern Ireland lead by 4 pts

Read the full match preview

Windsor Park hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Northern Ireland the favourite at 2.32 (41% implied), with the draw at 3.30 (29%).

Northern Ireland come into the game with DWDWL in their last 5 (5 scored, 3 conceded), while Ukraine have LLDWL (3 scored, 7 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 20% of Northern Ireland's recent games and 50% of Ukraine's, with both teams scoring in 20% and 30%.

Per game, Northern Ireland average 0.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (clean sheets: 6), Ukraine 0.9 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 5).

Head-to-head over 7 previous meetings: Northern Ireland 2 wins, Ukraine 3 wins, draws 2.

Those 7 games averaged 1.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.

The last meeting (2026-10-02) ended Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland.

In the table, Northern Ireland are 1st (8 pts from 4 games) and Ukraine are 3rd (4 pts from 4).

Nito explains: Northern Ireland vs Ukraine

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine mean?

The best prices are 2.32 for a Northern Ireland win, 3.30 for a draw and 3.15 for a Ukraine win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.32 returns 23.20 if Northern Ireland win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.2% removed) that is 41% Northern Ireland, 29% draw and 30% Ukraine.

How often do Northern Ireland and Ukraine matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 20% of Northern Ireland's last 10 matches and 30% of Ukraine's last 10. In their 7 recorded meetings it was 14%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Northern Ireland reached that in 20% of their last 10 matches, Ukraine in 50% of their last 10. Their 7 meetings averaged 1.4 goals (29% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWDWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Northern Ireland, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (5 scored, 3 conceded). Ukraine, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (3 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Northern Ireland and Ukraine stand in the table?

Northern Ireland are 1st with 8 points from 4 games. Ukraine are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine: questions & answers

Who will win Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Bookmaker odds imply Northern Ireland 41%, draw 29%, Ukraine 30%.

Will both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Both teams scored in 14% of their 7 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 20% of Northern Ireland's matches and 30% of Ukraine's.

What are the odds for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Odds: Northern Ireland 2.32, draw 3.30, Ukraine 3.15.

When is the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine kick-off?

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine kicks off on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 at 21:45 (GMT+2) at Windsor Park.

What is the head-to-head record between Northern Ireland and Ukraine?

7 meetings: Northern Ireland 2 wins, 2 draws, Ukraine 3 wins. Those 7 games averaged 1.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction & odds

Northern Ireland

Ukraine

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds