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St. Pauli vs Nurnberg prediction & odds

St. Pauli

14:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 14:30

Nurnberg

Odds 1X2

1St. Pauli2.20XDraw3.652Nurnberg3.18

Millerntor-Stadion

St. PaulivsNurnberg

Nito’s pick1.73

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Nurnberg

1.73

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga 2
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 14:30 EET
Stadium: Millerntor-Stadion
Capacity: 29,564
City: Hamburg

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Nurnberg65%Confidence1.73Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.73 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+7 pts)
Nurnberg won 1 of their last 5 (goals 8–11); St. Pauli won 2 (goals 5–2)
In the table Nurnberg are 2nd with 18 pts, St. Pauli 7th with 12 pts
In 38 meetings Nurnberg won 10, St. Pauli won 16, 12 were drawn

Best price 1.73 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+7 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or NurnbergHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.73

We rate Double chance: Draw or Nurnberg at 65% — the price of 1.73 implies only 58%.

Asian handicap -0.25Nurnberg +0.25

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.91

We rate Asian handicap: Nurnberg +0.25 at 60% — the price of 1.91 implies only 52%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

St. Pauli44%2.20

Draw26%3.65

Nurnberg30%3.18

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.3%

St. Pauli2.2044%Draw3.6526%Nurnberg3.1830%

Double chance

St. Pauli or Draw1.26St. Pauli or Nurnberg1.20Draw or Nurnberg1.73

1st-half resultmargin 5.4%

St. Pauli2.6935%Draw2.4439%Nurnberg3.6726%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

St. Pauli1.9450%Nurnberg1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

16St. Pauli wins

12Draws

10Nurnberg wins

Last matches: St. Pauli

23.10.26Bundesliga 2DarmstadtSt. Pauli00D
17.10.26Bundesliga 2HannoverSt. Pauli11D
11.10.26Bundesliga 2St. PauliKarlsruher SC20W
20.09.26Bundesliga 2CottbusSt. Pauli11D
12.09.26Bundesliga 2St. PauliWolfsburg10W

Last matches: Nurnberg

28.10.26DFB-PokalBayer LeverkusenNurnberg52L
24.10.26Bundesliga 2NurnbergKaiserslautern01L
16.10.26Bundesliga 2CottbusNurnberg11D
10.10.26Bundesliga 2NurnbergWolfsburg44D
19.09.26Bundesliga 2Karlsruher SCNurnberg01W

Head-to-head matches

16.03.24Bundesliga 2NurnbergSt. Pauli02W
07.10.23Bundesliga 2St. PauliNurnberg51W
29.01.23Bundesliga 2NurnbergSt. Pauli01W
16.07.22Bundesliga 2St. PauliNurnberg32W
29.04.22Bundesliga 2St. PauliNurnberg11D
28.11.21Bundesliga 2NurnbergSt. Pauli23W

2.58Avg goals45%Both scored39%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

St. Pauli vs Nurnberg: head-to-head record

38 meetings since 1988: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

16St. Pauli wins

12Draws

10Nurnberg wins

49:49Goals (St. Pauli : Nurnberg)

2.58Goals per match

45%BTTS

58%Over 1.5

39%Over 2.5

34%Over 3.5

St. Pauli at home: 8-7-424:20 goals in 19 games
Nurnberg at home: 6-5-829:25 goals in 19 games
St. Pauli's biggest win: 5–1St. Pauli 5–1 Nurnberg, 7 Oct 2023
Nurnberg's biggest win: 5–0Nurnberg 5–0 St. Pauli, 5 Mar 2011

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
16 Mar 2024	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	0–2	St. Pauli
7 Oct 2023	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	5–1	Nurnberg
29 Jan 2023	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	0–1	St. Pauli
16 Jul 2022	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	3–2	Nurnberg
29 Apr 2022	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	1–1	Nurnberg
28 Nov 2021	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	2–3	St. Pauli
14 Feb 2021	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	1–2	St. Pauli
19 Oct 2020	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	2–2	Nurnberg
17 May 2020	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	1–0	Nurnberg
6 Oct 2019	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	1–1	St. Pauli
12 Feb 2018	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	0–0	Nurnberg
11 Sept 2017	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	0–1	St. Pauli
7 Apr 2017	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	0–2	St. Pauli
31 Oct 2016	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	1–1	Nurnberg
8 May 2016	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	1–0	St. Pauli
29 Nov 2015	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	0–4	Nurnberg
17 Apr 2015	Bundesliga 2	St. Pauli	1–0	Nurnberg
1 Nov 2014	Bundesliga 2	Nurnberg	2–2	St. Pauli
5 Mar 2011	Bundesliga	Nurnberg	5–0	St. Pauli
16 Oct 2010	Bundesliga	St. Pauli	3–2	Nurnberg

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

St. Pauli2W 3D 0L · goals 5–2

D23.10Bundesliga 2ADarmstadt0–0
D17.10Bundesliga 2AHannover1–1
W11.10Bundesliga 2HKarlsruher SC2–0
D20.09Bundesliga 2ACottbus1–1
W12.09Bundesliga 2HWolfsburg1–0

Nurnberg1W 2D 2L · goals 8–11

L28.10DFB-PokalABayer Leverkusen2–5
L24.10Bundesliga 2HKaiserslautern0–1
D16.10Bundesliga 2ACottbus1–1
D10.10Bundesliga 2HWolfsburg4–4
W19.09Bundesliga 2AKarlsruher SC1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

St. PauliNurnberg

1.1Goals scored per game2.1

1.1Goals conceded per game1.8

60%Both teams scored80%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets1

20%Failed to score10%

2-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-3-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

St. PauliNurnberg

Bundesliga 2025/2026 · 37 games2. Bundesliga 2026/2027 · 6 games

0.9Goals scored2.7

1.7Goals conceded1.0

4.7Corners5.0

10.5Shots16.7

44%Possession57%

1.6Yellow cards2.2

16%Clean sheets33%

38%Failed to score0%

5-5-8Home / away record (W-D-L)2-1-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · 2. Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Hertha Berlin	9	+12	25	WDWWW
2	Nurnberg	9	+9	18	LDDWW
3	Kaiserslautern	9	+5	18	WWDWL
6	Heidenheim	9	0	15	DLDDW
7	St. Pauli	9	+2	12	DDWDW
8	VfL Osnabruck	9	-1	11	WLDDL

Comments

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About this match

St. Pauli vs Nurnberg preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 14:30, St. Pauli take on Nurnberg in the Bundesliga 2.

Form · last 5 matches

St. PauliDDWDW5 scored · 2 conceded

NurnbergLLDDW8 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

St. PauliNurnberg

1.1Goals scored per game2.1

1.1Goals conceded per game1.8

60%Both teams scored80%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

16St. Pauli wins

12Draws

10Nurnberg wins

38 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 45%

What's at stake

St. Pauli7th12 pts · 9 played

Nurnberg2nd18 pts · 9 played

Nurnberg lead by 6 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Nurnberg65%Confidence1.73Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Millerntor-Stadion.

The best available prices are 2.20 on St. Pauli, 3.65 on the draw and 3.18 on Nurnberg, which is roughly 44%, 26% and 30% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Double chance: Draw or Nurnberg with 65% confidence at a best price of 1.73.

We also have Asian handicap: Nurnberg +0.25 (60%, 1.91).

Recent form over the last 5: St. Pauli DDWDW (goals 5–2), Nurnberg LLDDW (goals 8–11).

Both teams scored in 60% of St. Pauli's recent games and 80% of Nurnberg's; over 2.5 goals landed in 30% and 60% respectively.

Per game, St. Pauli average 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Nurnberg 2.1 and 1.8 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 38 head-to-head games the record reads 16–12–10 (wins–draws–losses) from St. Pauli's side.

Those 38 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.

The last meeting (2024-03-16) ended Nurnberg 0–2 St. Pauli.

St. Pauli sit 7th on 12 pts after 9 games, Nurnberg 2nd on 18 pts.

Nito explains: St. Pauli vs Nurnberg

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for St. Pauli vs Nurnberg mean?

The best prices are 2.20 for a St. Pauli win, 3.65 for a draw and 3.18 for a Nurnberg win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.20 returns 22.00 if St. Pauli win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.3% removed) that is 44% St. Pauli, 26% draw and 30% Nurnberg.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Nurnberg" mean?

It wins if Nurnberg win or draw; it loses only if St. Pauli win. At 1.73, the price implies a 58% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do St. Pauli and Nurnberg matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of St. Pauli's last 10 matches and 80% of Nurnberg's last 10. In their 38 recorded meetings it was 45%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. St. Pauli reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Nurnberg in 60% of their last 10. Their 38 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (39% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DDWDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. St. Pauli, last 5: 2 W · 3 D · 0 L (5 scored, 2 conceded). Nurnberg, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (8 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do St. Pauli and Nurnberg stand in the table?

St. Pauli are 7th with 12 points from 9 games. Nurnberg are 2nd with 18 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

St. Pauli vs Nurnberg: questions & answers

Who will win St. Pauli vs Nurnberg?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Nurnberg with 65% confidence (best price 1.73). Bookmaker odds imply St. Pauli 44%, draw 26%, Nurnberg 30%.

Will both teams score in St. Pauli vs Nurnberg?

Both teams scored in 45% of their 38 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of St. Pauli's matches and 80% of Nurnberg's.

What are the odds for St. Pauli vs Nurnberg?

Odds: St. Pauli 2.20, draw 3.65, Nurnberg 3.18. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Nurnberg is available at 1.73.

When is the St. Pauli vs Nurnberg kick-off?

St. Pauli vs Nurnberg kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 14:30 (GMT+2) at Millerntor-Stadion.

What is the head-to-head record between St. Pauli and Nurnberg?

38 meetings: St. Pauli 16 wins, 12 draws, Nurnberg 10 wins. Those 38 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.

Other Bundesliga 2 matches on 1 Nov

All Bundesliga 2 fixtures

St. Pauli vs Nurnberg prediction & odds

St. Pauli

Nurnberg

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds