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Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin prediction & odds

Rakow

21:30

Kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 21:30

Pogon Szczecin

Odds 1X2

1Rakow2.29XDraw3.822Pogon Szczecin2.90

zondacrypto Arena

RakowvsPogon Szczecin

Nito’s pick1.57

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Pogon Szczecin

1.57

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Ekstraklasa
Kick-off: Mon 2 Nov 21:30 EET
Stadium: zondacrypto Arena
Capacity: 5,500
City: Częstochowa

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Pogon Szczecin70%Confidence1.57Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.57 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+6 pts)
Pogon Szczecin won 4 of their last 5 (goals 10–5); Rakow won 1 (goals 7–11)
In the table Pogon Szczecin are 3rd with 24 pts, Rakow 18th with 6 pts
In 23 meetings Pogon Szczecin won 5, Rakow won 12, 6 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Pogon SzczecinHigh confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.57

Double chance: Draw or Pogon Szczecin: our confidence is 70%, 6 points above the 64% the best price of 1.57 implies.

Asian handicap 0Pogon Szczecin 0High confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price2.17

Asian handicap: Pogon Szczecin 0: our confidence is 70%, 24 points above the 46% the best price of 2.17 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Rakow42%2.29

Draw25%3.82

Pogon Szczecin33%2.90

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.3%

Rakow2.2942%Draw3.8225%Pogon Szczecin2.9033%

Double chance

Rakow or Draw1.36Rakow or Pogon Szczecin1.23Draw or Pogon Szczecin1.57

Total goals 2.5margin 5.3%

Over 2.51.5661%Under 2.52.4339%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 17.2%

Rakow2.4635%Draw2.2937%Pogon Szczecin3.0428%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Rakow1.9549%Pogon Szczecin1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

12Rakow wins

6Draws

5Pogon Szczecin wins

Last matches: Rakow

27.10.26Polish CupMotor LublinRakow11D
24.10.26EkstraklasaWislaRakow21L
16.10.26EkstraklasaWieczysta KrakowRakow12W
09.10.26EkstraklasaRakowGKS Katowice14L
19.09.26EkstraklasaKorona KielceRakow32L

Last matches: Pogon Szczecin

24.10.26EkstraklasaPogon SzczecinRadomiak Radom43W
17.10.26EkstraklasaGKS KatowicePogon Szczecin01W
11.10.26EkstraklasaPogon SzczecinKorona Kielce20W
26.09.26Club FriendliesPogon SzczecinUdinese11D
20.09.26EkstraklasaPiast GliwicePogon Szczecin12W

Head-to-head matches

08.03.26EkstraklasaRakowPogon Szczecin20W
31.08.25EkstraklasaPogon SzczecinRakow20L
19.04.25EkstraklasaPogon SzczecinRakow10L
20.10.24EkstraklasaRakowPogon Szczecin10W
11.05.24EkstraklasaRakowPogon Szczecin21W
12.11.23EkstraklasaPogon SzczecinRakow11D

1.83Avg goals39%Both scored35%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin: head-to-head record

23 meetings since 1994: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

12Rakow wins

6Draws

5Pogon Szczecin wins

26:16Goals (Rakow : Pogon Szczecin)

1.83Goals per match

39%BTTS

61%Over 1.5

35%Over 2.5

4%Over 3.5

Rakow at home: 6-3-211:5 goals in 11 games
Pogon Szczecin at home: 3-3-611:15 goals in 12 games
Rakow's biggest win: 3–0Rakow 3–0 Pogon Szczecin, 8 Sept 1994
Pogon Szczecin's biggest win: 2–0Pogon Szczecin 2–0 Rakow, 31 Aug 2025

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
8 Mar 2026	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	2–0	Pogon Szczecin
31 Aug 2025	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	2–0	Rakow
19 Apr 2025	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	1–0	Rakow
20 Oct 2024	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	1–0	Pogon Szczecin
11 May 2024	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	2–1	Pogon Szczecin
12 Nov 2023	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	1–1	Rakow
5 Mar 2023	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	0–2	Rakow
9 Nov 2022	Poland Cup	Pogon Szczecin	0–1	Rakow
31 Aug 2022	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	1–0	Pogon Szczecin
20 Apr 2022	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	1–2	Rakow
7 Nov 2021	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	0–0	Pogon Szczecin
16 May 2021	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	1–3	Rakow
29 Jan 2021	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	0–1	Pogon Szczecin
8 Mar 2020	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	0–0	Pogon Szczecin
5 Oct 2019	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	1–2	Rakow
22 Apr 2009	II Liga - East	Pogon Szczecin	1–2	Rakow
6 Sept 2008	II Liga - East	Rakow	0–0	Pogon Szczecin
6 Jun 1998	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	0–2	Pogon Szczecin
14 Nov 1997	Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	1–1	Rakow
18 May 1996	Ekstraklasa	Rakow	2–1	Pogon Szczecin

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Rakow1W 1D 3L · goals 7–11

D27.10Polish CupAMotor Lublin1–1
L24.10EkstraklasaAWisla1–2
W16.10EkstraklasaAWieczysta Krakow2–1
L09.10EkstraklasaHGKS Katowice1–4
L19.09EkstraklasaAKorona Kielce2–3

Pogon Szczecin4W 1D 0L · goals 10–5

W24.10EkstraklasaHRadomiak Radom4–3
W17.10EkstraklasaAGKS Katowice1–0
W11.10EkstraklasaHKorona Kielce2–0
D26.09Club FriendliesHUdinese1–1
W20.09EkstraklasaAPiast Gliwice2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

RakowPogon Szczecin

1.4Goals scored per game1.6

2.3Goals conceded per game1.0

90%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

0Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score10%

1-0-4Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

RakowPogon Szczecin

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 · 25 gamesEkstraklasa 2025/2026 · 27 games

1.4Goals scored1.4

1.2Goals conceded1.4

4.1Corners5.3

14.2Shots15.1

54%Possession52%

1.5Yellow cards2.0

32%Clean sheets22%

24%Failed to score15%

6-2-5Home / away record (W-D-L)3-3-8

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Ekstraklasa

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	+10	27	DDWDW
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	+10	24	WWWWW
4	Legia	12	+12	23	LDWWD
17	Radomiak Radom	12	-16	8	LLLLL
18	Rakow	12	-12	6	LWLLL

Comments

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About this match

Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin preview

Ekstraklasa fixture: Rakow welcome Pogon Szczecin on Mon, 2 Nov 2026 (21:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

RakowDLWLL7 scored · 11 conceded

Pogon SzczecinWWWDW10 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

RakowPogon Szczecin

1.4Goals scored per game1.6

2.3Goals conceded per game1.0

90%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

0Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

12Rakow wins

6Draws

5Pogon Szczecin wins

23 meetings · 1.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 39%

What's at stake

Rakow18th6 pts · 12 played

Pogon Szczecin3rd24 pts · 11 played

Pogon Szczecin lead by 18 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Pogon Szczecin70%Confidence1.57Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

zondacrypto Arena hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Rakow the favourite at 2.29 (42% implied), with the draw at 3.82 (25%).

Our strongest pick is Double chance: Draw or Pogon Szczecin with 70% confidence at a best price of 1.57.

We also have Asian handicap: Pogon Szczecin 0 (70%, 2.17).

Rakow come into the game with DLWLL in their last 5 (7 scored, 11 conceded), while Pogon Szczecin have WWWDW (10 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 80% of Rakow's recent games and 40% of Pogon Szczecin's, with both teams scoring in 90% and 60%.

Per game, Rakow average 1.4 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (clean sheets: 0), Pogon Szczecin 1.6 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 23 previous meetings: Rakow 12 wins, Pogon Szczecin 5 wins, draws 6.

Those 23 games averaged 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-08) ended Rakow 2–0 Pogon Szczecin.

In the table, Rakow are 18th (6 pts from 12 games) and Pogon Szczecin are 3rd (24 pts from 11).

Nito explains: Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin mean?

The best prices are 2.29 for a Rakow win, 3.82 for a draw and 2.90 for a Pogon Szczecin win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.29 returns 22.90 if Rakow win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.3% removed) that is 42% Rakow, 25% draw and 33% Pogon Szczecin.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Pogon Szczecin" mean?

It wins if Pogon Szczecin win or draw; it loses only if Rakow win. At 1.57, the price implies a 64% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Rakow and Pogon Szczecin matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 90% of Rakow's last 10 matches and 60% of Pogon Szczecin's last 10. In their 23 recorded meetings it was 39%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Rakow reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Pogon Szczecin in 40% of their last 10. Their 23 meetings averaged 1.8 goals (35% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLWLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Rakow, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (7 scored, 11 conceded). Pogon Szczecin, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (10 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Rakow and Pogon Szczecin stand in the table?

Rakow are 18th with 6 points from 12 games. Pogon Szczecin are 3rd with 24 points from 11 games. The gap between them is 18 points.

Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin: questions & answers

Who will win Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Pogon Szczecin with 70% confidence (best price 1.57). Bookmaker odds imply Rakow 42%, draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 33%.

Will both teams score in Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Both teams scored in 39% of their 23 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 90% of Rakow's matches and 60% of Pogon Szczecin's.

What are the odds for Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Odds: Rakow 2.29, draw 3.82, Pogon Szczecin 2.90. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Pogon Szczecin is available at 1.57.

When is the Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin kick-off?

Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin kicks off on Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 21:30 (GMT+2) at zondacrypto Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between Rakow and Pogon Szczecin?

23 meetings: Rakow 12 wins, 6 draws, Pogon Szczecin 5 wins. Those 23 games averaged 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.

Other Ekstraklasa matches on 2 Nov

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Rakow vs Pogon Szczecin prediction & odds

Rakow

Pogon Szczecin

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds