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Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction & odds

Port Vale

14:30

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 14:30

Rochdale

Odds 1X2

1Port Vale1.71XDraw3.802Rochdale5.01

Port ValevsRochdale

Nito’s pick1.86

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.86

65%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: League Two
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 14:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.565%Confidence1.86Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.86 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+11 pts)
3+ goals in 10% of Port Vale's last 5 and 60% of Rochdale's
Goals per game in the last 5: Port Vale matches 1.9, Rochdale matches 3.3
Their 17 meetings average 2.4 goals; both teams scored in 53%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Port Vale

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.71

Port Vale to win: our confidence is 60% at a best price of 1.71.

Both teams to scoreYes

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.92

We rate Both teams to score: Yes at 60% — the price of 1.92 implies only 52%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.86

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 65% — the price of 1.86 implies only 54%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Port Vale56%1.71

Draw25%3.80

Rochdale19%5.01

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.8%

Port Vale1.7156%Draw3.8025%Rochdale5.0119%

Double chance

Port Vale or Draw1.11Port Vale or Rochdale1.20Draw or Rochdale1.97

Total goals 2.5margin 5.3%

Over 2.51.9449%Under 2.51.8651%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.8%

Port Vale -0.751.8751%Rochdale +0.751.9549%

1st-half resultmargin 7.2%

Port Vale2.2342%Draw2.2841%Rochdale5.4017%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Port Vale1.9350%Rochdale1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

6Port Vale wins

5Draws

6Rochdale wins

Last matches: Port Vale

27.10.26EFL TrophyPort ValeManchester City U2150W
24.10.26League TwoYork CityPort Vale20L
20.10.26League TwoGillinghamPort Vale11D
17.10.26League TwoPort ValeChesterfield10W
10.10.26League TwoPort ValeGrimsby10W

Last matches: Rochdale

24.10.26League TwoRochdaleAccrington05L
20.10.26League TwoRochdaleGrimsby22D
17.10.26League TwoCreweRochdale32L
10.10.26League TwoTranmereRochdale11D
06.10.26EFL TrophyHuddersfieldRochdale50L

Head-to-head matches

22.02.22League TwoRochdalePort Vale11D
05.10.21FL TrophyPort ValeRochdale10W
04.09.21League TwoPort ValeRochdale23L
04.04.17League OneRochdalePort Vale30L
16.08.16League OnePort ValeRochdale10W
23.04.16League OnePort ValeRochdale41W

2.35Avg goals53%Both scored47%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Port Vale vs Rochdale: head-to-head record

17 meetings since 2008: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

6Port Vale wins

5Draws

6Rochdale wins

20:20Goals (Port Vale : Rochdale)

2.35Goals per match

53%BTTS

59%Over 1.5

47%Over 2.5

24%Over 3.5

Port Vale at home: 6-2-216:10 goals in 10 games
Rochdale at home: 4-3-010:4 goals in 7 games
Port Vale's biggest win: 4–1Port Vale 4–1 Rochdale, 23 Apr 2016
Rochdale's biggest win: 3–0Rochdale 3–0 Port Vale, 4 Apr 2017

Meetings (17 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
22 Feb 2022	League Two	Rochdale	1–1	Port Vale
5 Oct 2021	FL Trophy	Port Vale	1–0	Rochdale
4 Sept 2021	League Two	Port Vale	2–3	Rochdale
4 Apr 2017	League One	Rochdale	3–0	Port Vale
16 Aug 2016	League One	Port Vale	1–0	Rochdale
23 Apr 2016	League One	Port Vale	4–1	Rochdale
28 Nov 2015	League One	Rochdale	2–1	Port Vale
6 Apr 2015	League One	Rochdale	1–0	Port Vale
15 Nov 2014	League One	Port Vale	1–0	Rochdale
8 Oct 2013	FL Trophy	Port Vale	0–1	Rochdale
13 Apr 2013	League Two	Rochdale	2–2	Port Vale
6 Nov 2012	League Two	Port Vale	2–2	Rochdale
31 Aug 2010	FL Trophy	Port Vale	2–1	Rochdale
26 Jan 2010	League Two	Rochdale	0–0	Port Vale
8 Aug 2009	League Two	Port Vale	1–1	Rochdale
11 Apr 2009	League Two	Rochdale	1–0	Port Vale
28 Dec 2008	League Two	Port Vale	2–1	Rochdale

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Port Vale3W 1D 1L · goals 8–3

W27.10EFL TrophyHManchester City U215–0
L24.10League TwoAYork City0–2
D20.10League TwoAGillingham1–1
W17.10League TwoHChesterfield1–0
W10.10League TwoHGrimsby1–0

Rochdale0W 2D 3L · goals 5–16

L24.10League TwoHAccrington0–5
D20.10League TwoHGrimsby2–2
L17.10League TwoACrewe2–3
D10.10League TwoATranmere1–1
L06.10EFL TrophyAHuddersfield0–5

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Port ValeRochdale

1.2Goals scored per game1.3

0.7Goals conceded per game2.0

20%Both teams scored50%

10%Over 2.5 goals60%

5Clean sheets3

30%Failed to score30%

5-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-2-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · League Two

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
16	Newport	13	0	15	LDDWD
17	Rochdale	13	-7	15	LDLDW
18	Fleetwood	13	-2	14	LLWDL
22	Rotherham	13	-6	12	DDLLL
23	Port Vale	11	-6	12	LDWWL
24	Crawley	11	-9	6	DLLDL

About this match

Port Vale vs Rochdale preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 14:30, Port Vale take on Rochdale in the League Two.

Form · last 5 matches

Port ValeWLDWW8 scored · 3 conceded

RochdaleLDLDL5 scored · 16 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Port ValeRochdale

1.2Goals scored per game1.3

0.7Goals conceded per game2.0

20%Both teams scored50%

10%Over 2.5 goals60%

5Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

6Port Vale wins

5Draws

6Rochdale wins

17 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 53%

What's at stake

Port Vale23rd12 pts · 11 played

Rochdale17th15 pts · 13 played

Rochdale lead by 3 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.565%Confidence1.86Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.71 on Port Vale, 3.80 on the draw and 5.01 on Rochdale, which is roughly 56%, 25% and 19% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Under 2.5 goals: 65% confidence, priced at 1.86.

We also have Port Vale to win (60%, 1.71) and Both teams to score: Yes (60%, 1.92).

Recent form over the last 5: Port Vale WLDWW (goals 8–3), Rochdale LDLDL (goals 5–16).

Both teams scored in 20% of Port Vale's recent games and 50% of Rochdale's; over 2.5 goals landed in 10% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Port Vale average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Rochdale 1.3 and 2.0 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 17 head-to-head games the record reads 6–5–6 (wins–draws–losses) from Port Vale's side.

Those 17 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.

The last meeting (2022-02-22) ended Rochdale 1–1 Port Vale.

Port Vale sit 23rd on 12 pts after 11 games, Rochdale 17th on 15 pts.

Nito explains: Port Vale vs Rochdale

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Port Vale vs Rochdale mean?

The best prices are 1.71 for a Port Vale win, 3.80 for a draw and 5.01 for a Rochdale win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.71 returns 17.10 if Port Vale win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.8% removed) that is 56% Port Vale, 25% draw and 19% Rochdale.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.86, the price implies a 54% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Port Vale and Rochdale matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 20% of Port Vale's last 10 matches and 50% of Rochdale's last 10. In their 17 recorded meetings it was 53%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Port Vale reached that in 10% of their last 10 matches, Rochdale in 60% of their last 10. Their 17 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (47% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLDWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Port Vale, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (8 scored, 3 conceded). Rochdale, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (5 scored, 16 conceded).

Where do Port Vale and Rochdale stand in the table?

Port Vale are 23rd with 12 points from 11 games. Rochdale are 17th with 15 points from 13 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

Port Vale vs Rochdale: questions & answers

Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?

Our pick is Port Vale to win with 60% confidence (best price 1.71). Bookmaker odds imply Port Vale 56%, draw 25%, Rochdale 19%.

Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Rochdale?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (60% confidence, 1.92). Both teams scored in 53% of their 17 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 20% of Port Vale's matches and 50% of Rochdale's.

What are the odds for Port Vale vs Rochdale?

Odds: Port Vale 1.71, draw 3.80, Rochdale 5.01. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.86.

When is the Port Vale vs Rochdale kick-off?

Port Vale vs Rochdale kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Rochdale?

17 meetings: Port Vale 6 wins, 5 draws, Rochdale 6 wins. Those 17 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.

Other League Two matches on 31 Oct

All League Two fixtures

Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction & odds

Port Vale

Rochdale

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds