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PSV vs Willem II prediction & odds

PSV

19:45

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 19:45

Willem II

Odds 1X2

1PSV1.08XDraw15.222Willem II23.00

PSVvsWillem II

Nito’s pick1.55

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap -2.5PSV -2.5

1.55

78%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 78% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Eredivisie
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 19:45 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap -2.5PSV -2.578%Confidence1.55Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.55 means bookmakers give it 65%; Nito's confidence is 78% (+13 pts)
PSV won 2 of their last 5 (goals 5–4); Willem II won 1 (goals 8–16)
In the table PSV are 3rd with 20 pts, Willem II 18th with 2 pts
In 50 meetings PSV won 36, Willem II won 7, 7 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 78% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.87

We rate Both teams to score: No at 70% — the price of 1.87 implies only 53%.

Total goals 3.5Over 3.5High confidence

Confidence75%

Indicative price1.31

Over 3.5 goals: our confidence is 75% at a best price of 1.31.

Asian handicap -2.5PSV -2.5High confidence

Confidence78%

Indicative price1.55

We rate Asian handicap: PSV -2.5 at 78% — the price of 1.55 implies only 65%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

PSV89%1.08

Draw6%15.22

Willem II4%23.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

PSV1.0889%Draw15.226%Willem II23.004%

Total goals 4.5margin 4.6%

Over 4.51.8352%Under 4.52.0048%

Asian handicapmargin 4.2%

PSV -31.8851%Willem II +31.9649%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 6.7%

PSV1.2873%Draw4.7320%Willem II13.527%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

PSV1.9350%Willem II1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

36PSV wins

7Draws

7Willem II wins

Last matches: PSV

25.10.26EredivisiePSVFeyenoord11D
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueFC PortoPSV01W
17.10.26EredivisieDen HaagPSV21L
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueRB LeipzigPSV10L
09.10.26EredivisiePSVHeerenveen20W

Last matches: Willem II

27.10.26KNVB CupHelmondWillem II34W
24.10.26EredivisieWillem IICambuur16L
17.10.26EredivisieSparta RotterdamWillem II32L
11.10.26EredivisieUtrechtWillem II31L
19.09.26EredivisieWillem IISittard01L

Head-to-head matches

08.02.25EredivisiePSVWillem II11D
28.09.24EredivisieWillem IIPSV02W
01.05.22EredivisiePSVWillem II42W
25.09.21EredivisieWillem IIPSV21L
09.05.21EredivisieWillem IIPSV02W
08.11.20EredivisiePSVWillem II30W

3.46Avg goals52%Both scored72%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

PSV vs Willem II: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1997: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

36PSV wins

7Draws

7Willem II wins

125:48Goals (PSV : Willem II)

3.46Goals per match

52%BTTS

86%Over 1.5

72%Over 2.5

48%Over 3.5

PSV at home: 23-2-081:16 goals in 25 games
Willem II at home: 7-5-1332:44 goals in 25 games
PSV's biggest win: 6–0PSV 6–0 Willem II, 23 Apr 2002
Willem II's biggest win: 5–0Willem II 5–0 PSV, 10 Mar 2018

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
8 Feb 2025	Eredivisie	PSV	1–1	Willem II
28 Sept 2024	Eredivisie	Willem II	0–2	PSV
1 May 2022	Eredivisie	PSV	4–2	Willem II
25 Sept 2021	Eredivisie	Willem II	2–1	PSV
9 May 2021	Eredivisie	Willem II	0–2	PSV
8 Nov 2020	Eredivisie	PSV	3–0	Willem II
8 Feb 2020	Eredivisie	PSV	3–0	Willem II
10 Nov 2019	Eredivisie	Willem II	2–1	PSV
25 Apr 2019	Eredivisie	Willem II	0–3	PSV
1 Sept 2018	Eredivisie	PSV	6–1	Willem II
10 Mar 2018	Eredivisie	Willem II	5–0	PSV
30 Sept 2017	Eredivisie	PSV	4–0	Willem II
9 Apr 2017	Eredivisie	PSV	5–0	Willem II
19 Nov 2016	Eredivisie	Willem II	0–0	PSV
9 Apr 2016	Eredivisie	PSV	2–0	Willem II
21 Nov 2015	Eredivisie	Willem II	2–2	PSV
31 Jan 2015	Eredivisie	PSV	2–1	Willem II
10 Aug 2014	Eredivisie	Willem II	1–3	PSV
6 Apr 2013	Eredivisie	Willem II	1–3	PSV
20 Oct 2012	Eredivisie	PSV	3–2	Willem II

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

PSV2W 1D 2L · goals 5–4

D25.10EredivisieHFeyenoord1–1
W20.10UEFA Champions LeagueAFC Porto1–0
L17.10EredivisieADen Haag1–2
L13.10UEFA Champions LeagueARB Leipzig0–1
W09.10EredivisieHHeerenveen2–0

Willem II1W 0D 4L · goals 8–16

W27.10KNVB CupAHelmond4–3
L24.10EredivisieHCambuur1–6
L17.10EredivisieASparta Rotterdam2–3
L11.10EredivisieAUtrecht1–3
L19.09EredivisieHSittard0–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

PSVWillem II

2.1Goals scored per game1.3

1.1Goals conceded per game3.1

70%Both teams scored80%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

2Clean sheets0

10%Failed to score20%

2-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

PSVWillem II

Eredivisie 2025/2026 · 34 gamesEredivisie 2026/2027 · 7 games

3.0Goals scored0.9

1.3Goals conceded2.9

7.2Corners4.0

17.6Shots11.9

60%Possession38%

1.4Yellow cards1.1

21%Clean sheets0%

3%Failed to score29%

13-2-2Home / away record (W-D-L)0-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eredivisie

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Ajax	10	+16	21	WWDDW
3	PSV	10	+15	20	DLWLW
4	Twente	10	+9	20	WLDWW
17	Den Haag	10	-10	6	LWDDL
18	Willem II	10	-22	2	LLLLL

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

PSV

✕A. NagaloInjury
✕A. PleaSurgery
✕J. SchoutenKnee Injury
✕P. WannerFoot Injury
?S. LammersLacking Match Fitness
?R. PepiInjury

Willem II

✕J. HoogmaKnee Injury
✕A. LachkarGroin Injury
✕J. SloryRed Card

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

PSV vs Willem II preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 19:45, PSV take on Willem II in the Eredivisie.

Form · last 5 matches

PSVDWLLW5 scored · 4 conceded

Willem IIWLLLL8 scored · 16 conceded

Key facts · last 5

PSVWillem II

2.1Goals scored per game1.3

1.1Goals conceded per game3.1

70%Both teams scored80%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

2Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

36PSV wins

7Draws

7Willem II wins

50 meetings · 3.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 52%

What's at stake

PSV3rd20 pts · 10 played

Willem II18th2 pts · 10 played

PSV lead by 18 pts

Our pick

Asian handicapPSV -2.578%Confidence1.55Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.08 on PSV, 15.22 on the draw and 23.00 on Willem II, which is roughly 89%, 6% and 4% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Asian handicap: PSV -2.5 is our top pick for this game (78% confidence, best price 1.55).

We also have Over 3.5 goals (75%, 1.31) and Both teams to score: No (70%, 1.87).

Recent form over the last 5: PSV DWLLW (goals 5–4), Willem II WLLLL (goals 8–16).

Both teams scored in 70% of PSV's recent games and 80% of Willem II's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 80% respectively.

Per game, PSV average 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Willem II 1.3 and 3.1 (clean sheets: 0).

Across 50 head-to-head games the record reads 36–7–7 (wins–draws–losses) from PSV's side.

Those 50 games averaged 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.

The last meeting (2025-02-08) ended PSV 1–1 Willem II.

PSV sit 3rd on 20 pts after 10 games, Willem II 18th on 2 pts.

Nito explains: PSV vs Willem II

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for PSV vs Willem II mean?

The best prices are 1.08 for a PSV win, 15.22 for a draw and 23.00 for a Willem II win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.08 returns 10.80 if PSV win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.5% removed) that is 89% PSV, 6% draw and 4% Willem II.

What does Nito's pick "Asian handicap: PSV -2.5" mean?

Asian handicap: -2.5 goals are added to PSV's final score, and the bet wins if PSV are still ahead after that. At 1.55, the price implies a 65% chance; Nito's data rates it at 78%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do PSV and Willem II matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of PSV's last 10 matches and 80% of Willem II's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 52%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. PSV reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Willem II in 80% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 3.5 goals (72% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. PSV, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (5 scored, 4 conceded). Willem II, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (8 scored, 16 conceded).

Where do PSV and Willem II stand in the table?

PSV are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games. Willem II are 18th with 2 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 18 points.

PSV vs Willem II: questions & answers

Who will win PSV vs Willem II?

Our pick is Asian handicap: PSV -2.5 with 78% confidence (best price 1.55). Bookmaker odds imply PSV 89%, draw 6%, Willem II 4%.

Will both teams score in PSV vs Willem II?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (70% confidence, 1.87). Both teams scored in 52% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of PSV's matches and 80% of Willem II's.

What are the odds for PSV vs Willem II?

Odds: PSV 1.08, draw 15.22, Willem II 23.00. Our pick Asian handicap: PSV -2.5 is available at 1.55.

When is the PSV vs Willem II kick-off?

PSV vs Willem II kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between PSV and Willem II?

50 meetings: PSV 36 wins, 7 draws, Willem II 7 wins. Those 50 games averaged 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.

Other Eredivisie matches on 31 Oct

All Eredivisie fixtures

PSV vs Willem II prediction & odds

PSV

Willem II

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds