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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction & odds

Real Sociedad

18:00

Kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 18:00

Rayo Vallecano

Odds 1X2

1Real Sociedad1.81XDraw3.382Rayo Vallecano3.57

Estadio Municipal de Anoeta

Real SociedadvsRayo Vallecano

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: La Liga
Kick-off: Sun 8 Nov 18:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio Municipal de Anoeta
Capacity: 40,000
City: Donostia-San Sebastián

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Real Sociedad49%1.81

Draw26%3.38

Rayo Vallecano25%3.57

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 12.8%

Real Sociedad1.8149%Draw3.3826%Rayo Vallecano3.5725%

Double chance

Real Sociedad or Draw1.18Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano1.21Draw or Rayo Vallecano2.01

1st-half resultmargin 14.8%

Real Sociedad2.3038%Draw2.2539%Rayo Vallecano3.7223%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Real Sociedad1.9550%Rayo Vallecano1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

15Real Sociedad wins

13Draws

14Rayo Vallecano wins

Last matches: Real Sociedad

25.10.26La LigaReal SociedadLevante21W
22.10.26Europa LeagueLillestromReal Sociedad06W
18.10.26La LigaMalagaReal Sociedad25W
15.10.26Europa LeagueRoyale Union SGReal Sociedad11D
11.10.26La LigaReal SociedadDep. La Coruna32W

Last matches: Rayo Vallecano

27.10.26Spanish CupRecreativo HuelvaRayo Vallecano23W
24.10.26La LigaRayo VallecanoElche03L
19.10.26La LigaGetafeRayo Vallecano11D
19.09.26La LigaOsasunaRayo Vallecano11D
15.09.26La LigaRayo VallecanoEspanyol21W

Head-to-head matches

26.04.26La LigaRayo VallecanoReal Sociedad33D
05.10.25La LigaReal SociedadRayo Vallecano01L
16.03.25PrimeraRayo VallecanoReal Sociedad22D
16.01.25CupReal SociedadRayo Vallecano31W
18.08.24PrimeraReal SociedadRayo Vallecano12L
27.01.24PrimeraReal SociedadRayo Vallecano00D

3.10Avg goals60%Both scored62%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: head-to-head record

42 meetings since 1993: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

15Real Sociedad wins

13Draws

14Rayo Vallecano wins

68:62Goals (Real Sociedad : Rayo Vallecano)

3.10Goals per match

60%BTTS

81%Over 1.5

62%Over 2.5

45%Over 3.5

Real Sociedad at home: 12-5-540:21 goals in 22 games
Rayo Vallecano at home: 9-8-341:28 goals in 20 games
Real Sociedad's biggest win: 5–0Real Sociedad 5–0 Rayo Vallecano, 19 Apr 2003
Rayo Vallecano's biggest win: 4–0Rayo Vallecano 4–0 Real Sociedad, 6 Nov 2011

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano	3–3	Real Sociedad
5 Oct 2025	La Liga	Real Sociedad	0–1	Rayo Vallecano
16 Mar 2025	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	2–2	Real Sociedad
16 Jan 2025	Cup	Real Sociedad	3–1	Rayo Vallecano
18 Aug 2024	Primera	Real Sociedad	1–2	Rayo Vallecano
27 Jan 2024	Primera	Real Sociedad	0–0	Rayo Vallecano
29 Oct 2023	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	2–2	Real Sociedad
22 Apr 2023	Primera	Real Sociedad	2–1	Rayo Vallecano
21 Jan 2023	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	0–2	Real Sociedad
1 May 2022	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	1–1	Real Sociedad
22 Aug 2021	Primera	Real Sociedad	1–0	Rayo Vallecano
20 Jan 2019	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	2–2	Real Sociedad
25 Sept 2018	Primera	Real Sociedad	2–2	Rayo Vallecano
8 May 2016	Primera	Real Sociedad	2–1	Rayo Vallecano
3 Jan 2016	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	2–2	Real Sociedad
23 May 2015	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	2–4	Real Sociedad
17 Jan 2015	Primera	Real Sociedad	0–1	Rayo Vallecano
10 Mar 2014	Primera	Real Sociedad	2–3	Rayo Vallecano
5 Oct 2013	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	1–0	Real Sociedad
14 Apr 2013	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	0–2	Real Sociedad

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Real Sociedad4W 1D 0L · goals 17–6

W25.10La LigaHLevante2–1
W22.10Europa LeagueALillestrom6–0
W18.10La LigaAMalaga5–2
D15.10Europa LeagueARoyale Union SG1–1
W11.10La LigaHDep. La Coruna3–2

Rayo Vallecano2W 2D 1L · goals 7–8

W27.10Spanish CupARecreativo Huelva3–2
L24.10La LigaHElche0–3
D19.10La LigaAGetafe1–1
D19.09La LigaAOsasuna1–1
W15.09La LigaHEspanyol2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Real SociedadRayo Vallecano

2.4Goals scored per game1.5

1.5Goals conceded per game2.2

70%Both teams scored90%

80%Over 2.5 goals70%

2Clean sheets0

20%Failed to score10%

2-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-2-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Real SociedadRayo Vallecano

La Liga 2025/2026 · 38 gamesLa Liga 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.6Goals scored1.6

1.6Goals conceded2.3

5.5Corners5.3

12.3Shots13.4

51%Possession48%

2.3Yellow cards2.4

8%Clean sheets0%

13%Failed to score0%

8-5-6Home / away record (W-D-L)0-1-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera División

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Betis	10	+2	20	DLWDW
5	Real Sociedad	10	+1	19	WWWWL
6	Sevilla	10	0	17	WLDLW
15	Elche	10	-3	10	WDDWL
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	-8	9	LDDW
17	Getafe	10	-10	9	LDLWL

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About this match

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano preview

On Sun, 8 Nov 2026 at 18:00, Real Sociedad take on Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga.

Form · last 5 matches

Real SociedadWWWDW17 scored · 6 conceded

Rayo VallecanoWLDDW7 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Real SociedadRayo Vallecano

2.4Goals scored per game1.5

1.5Goals conceded per game2.2

70%Both teams scored90%

80%Over 2.5 goals70%

2Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

15Real Sociedad wins

13Draws

14Rayo Vallecano wins

42 meetings · 3.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 60%

What's at stake

Real Sociedad5th19 pts · 10 played

Rayo Vallecano16th9 pts · 9 played

Real Sociedad lead by 10 pts

Read the full match preview

Estadio Municipal de Anoeta hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Real Sociedad the favourite at 1.81 (49% implied), with the draw at 3.38 (26%).

Real Sociedad come into the game with WWWDW in their last 5 (17 scored, 6 conceded), while Rayo Vallecano have WLDDW (7 scored, 8 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 80% of Real Sociedad's recent games and 70% of Rayo Vallecano's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 90%.

Per game, Real Sociedad average 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Rayo Vallecano 1.5 and 2.2 (clean sheets: 0).

Head-to-head over 42 previous meetings: Real Sociedad 15 wins, Rayo Vallecano 14 wins, draws 13.

Those 42 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-26) ended Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Sociedad.

In the table, Real Sociedad are 5th (19 pts from 10 games) and Rayo Vallecano are 16th (9 pts from 9).

Nito explains: Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano mean?

The best prices are 1.81 for a Real Sociedad win, 3.38 for a draw and 3.57 for a Rayo Vallecano win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.81 returns 18.10 if Real Sociedad win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 12.8% removed) that is 49% Real Sociedad, 26% draw and 25% Rayo Vallecano.

How often do Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Real Sociedad's last 10 matches and 90% of Rayo Vallecano's last 10. In their 42 recorded meetings it was 60%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Real Sociedad reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Rayo Vallecano in 70% of their last 10. Their 42 meetings averaged 3.1 goals (62% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Real Sociedad, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (17 scored, 6 conceded). Rayo Vallecano, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (7 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano stand in the table?

Real Sociedad are 5th with 19 points from 10 games. Rayo Vallecano are 16th with 9 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 10 points.

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: questions & answers

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Bookmaker odds imply Real Sociedad 49%, draw 26%, Rayo Vallecano 25%.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Both teams scored in 60% of their 42 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Real Sociedad's matches and 90% of Rayo Vallecano's.

What are the odds for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano?

Odds: Real Sociedad 1.81, draw 3.38, Rayo Vallecano 3.57.

When is the Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano kick-off?

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano kicks off on Sun, 8 Nov 2026 at 18:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio Municipal de Anoeta.

What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano?

42 meetings: Real Sociedad 15 wins, 13 draws, Rayo Vallecano 14 wins. Those 42 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction & odds

Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds