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Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction & odds

Valencia

18:00

Kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 18:00

Real Madrid

Odds 1X2

1Valencia7.20XDraw5.832Real Madrid1.37

Estadio de Mestalla

ValenciavsReal Madrid

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: La Liga
Kick-off: Sun 8 Nov 18:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio de Mestalla
Capacity: 55,000
City: Valencia

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Valencia13%7.20

Draw16%5.83

Real Madrid70%1.37

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.0%

Valencia7.2013%Draw5.8316%Real Madrid1.3770%

Double chance

Valencia or Draw2.97Valencia or Real Madrid1.11Draw or Real Madrid1.07

Total goals 2.5margin 6.4%

Over 2.51.3968%Under 2.52.9032%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.9%

Valencia +1.51.9250%Real Madrid -1.51.9350%

1st-half resultmargin 4.5%

Valencia6.9114%Draw2.9532%Real Madrid1.7854%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Valencia1.9450%Real Madrid1.9450%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

10Valencia wins

12Draws

28Real Madrid wins

Last matches: Valencia

24.10.26La LigaValenciaVillarreal12L
17.10.26La LigaValenciaAth Bilbao00D
11.10.26La LigaRacing SantanderValencia22D
20.09.26La LigaValenciaReal Sociedad23L
15.09.26La LigaAlavesValencia01W

Last matches: Real Madrid

International Champions CupReal MadridArsenal22D
25.10.26La LigaBarcelonaReal Madrid12W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueReal MadridRB Leipzig41W
18.10.26La LigaReal MadridSevilla41W
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueAS RomaReal Madrid34W

Head-to-head matches

08.02.26La LigaValenciaReal Madrid02L
01.11.25La LigaReal MadridValencia40L
05.04.25PrimeraReal MadridValencia12W
03.01.25PrimeraValenciaReal Madrid12L
02.03.24PrimeraValenciaReal Madrid22D
11.11.23PrimeraReal MadridValencia51L

3.22Avg goals64%Both scored62%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Valencia vs Real Madrid: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2003: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

10Valencia wins

12Draws

28Real Madrid wins

59:102Goals (Valencia : Real Madrid)

3.22Goals per match

64%BTTS

88%Over 1.5

62%Over 2.5

38%Over 3.5

Valencia at home: 7-6-1237:49 goals in 25 games
Real Madrid at home: 16-6-353:22 goals in 25 games
Valencia's biggest win: 4–1Valencia 4–1 Real Madrid, 8 Nov 2020
Real Madrid's biggest win: 0–5Valencia 0–5 Real Madrid, 20 Jan 2013

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
8 Feb 2026	La Liga	Valencia	0–2	Real Madrid
1 Nov 2025	La Liga	Real Madrid	4–0	Valencia
5 Apr 2025	Primera	Real Madrid	1–2	Valencia
3 Jan 2025	Primera	Valencia	1–2	Real Madrid
2 Mar 2024	Primera	Valencia	2–2	Real Madrid
11 Nov 2023	Primera	Real Madrid	5–1	Valencia
21 May 2023	Primera	Valencia	1–0	Real Madrid
2 Feb 2023	Primera	Real Madrid	2–0	Valencia
8 Jan 2022	Primera	Real Madrid	4–1	Valencia
19 Sept 2021	Primera	Valencia	1–2	Real Madrid
14 Feb 2021	Primera	Real Madrid	2–0	Valencia
8 Nov 2020	Primera	Valencia	4–1	Real Madrid
18 Jun 2020	Primera	Real Madrid	3–0	Valencia
15 Dec 2019	Primera	Valencia	1–1	Real Madrid
3 Apr 2019	Primera	Valencia	2–1	Real Madrid
1 Dec 2018	Primera	Real Madrid	2–0	Valencia
27 Jan 2018	Primera	Valencia	1–4	Real Madrid
27 Aug 2017	Primera	Real Madrid	2–2	Valencia
29 Apr 2017	Primera	Real Madrid	2–1	Valencia
22 Feb 2017	Primera	Valencia	2–1	Real Madrid

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Valencia1W 2D 2L · goals 6–7

L24.10La LigaHVillarreal1–2
D17.10La LigaHAth Bilbao0–0
D11.10La LigaARacing Santander2–2
L20.09La LigaHReal Sociedad2–3
W15.09La LigaAAlaves1–0

Real Madrid4W 1D 0L · goals 16–8

D01.01International Champions CupHArsenal2–2
W25.10La LigaABarcelona2–1
W21.10UEFA Champions LeagueHRB Leipzig4–1
W18.10La LigaHSevilla4–1
W14.10UEFA Champions LeagueAAS Roma4–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ValenciaReal Madrid

0.7Goals scored per game2.7

1.7Goals conceded per game1.4

40%Both teams scored90%

50%Over 2.5 goals90%

3Clean sheets1

50%Failed to score0%

0-2-4Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

ValenciaReal Madrid

La Liga 2026/2027 · 7 gamesLa Liga 2026/2027 · 7 games

0.6Goals scored2.6

1.9Goals conceded1.1

4.4Corners6.9

10.6Shots18.9

47%Possession52%

2.0Yellow cards1.7

29%Clean sheets14%

57%Failed to score14%

0-1-3Home / away record (W-D-L)2-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera División

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Atl. Madrid	10	+12	25	WWWWW
3	Real Madrid	10	+15	24	WWWLW
4	Betis	10	+2	20	DLWDW
18	Espanyol	10	-2	8	LLDLL
19	Valencia	10	-10	6	LDDLW
20	Malaga	10	-12	5	DLDLL

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About this match

Valencia vs Real Madrid preview

La Liga fixture: Valencia welcome Real Madrid on Sun, 8 Nov 2026 (18:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

ValenciaLDDLW6 scored · 7 conceded

Real MadridDWWWW16 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ValenciaReal Madrid

0.7Goals scored per game2.7

1.7Goals conceded per game1.4

40%Both teams scored90%

50%Over 2.5 goals90%

3Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

10Valencia wins

12Draws

28Real Madrid wins

50 meetings · 3.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 64%

What's at stake

Valencia19th6 pts · 10 played

Real Madrid3rd24 pts · 10 played

Real Madrid lead by 18 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio de Mestalla.

The best available prices are 7.20 on Valencia, 5.83 on the draw and 1.37 on Real Madrid, which is roughly 13%, 16% and 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Recent form over the last 5: Valencia LDDLW (goals 6–7), Real Madrid DWWWW (goals 16–8).

Both teams scored in 40% of Valencia's recent games and 90% of Real Madrid's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 90% respectively.

Per game, Valencia average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Real Madrid 2.7 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 50 head-to-head games the record reads 10–12–28 (wins–draws–losses) from Valencia's side.

Those 50 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-08) ended Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid.

Valencia sit 19th on 6 pts after 10 games, Real Madrid 3rd on 24 pts.

Nito explains: Valencia vs Real Madrid

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Valencia vs Real Madrid mean?

The best prices are 7.20 for a Valencia win, 5.83 for a draw and 1.37 for a Real Madrid win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 7.20 returns 72.00 if Valencia win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.0% removed) that is 13% Valencia, 16% draw and 70% Real Madrid.

How often do Valencia and Real Madrid matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Valencia's last 10 matches and 90% of Real Madrid's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 64%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Valencia reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Real Madrid in 90% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 3.2 goals (62% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDDLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Valencia, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (6 scored, 7 conceded). Real Madrid, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (16 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Valencia and Real Madrid stand in the table?

Valencia are 19th with 6 points from 10 games. Real Madrid are 3rd with 24 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 18 points.

Valencia vs Real Madrid: questions & answers

Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Bookmaker odds imply Valencia 13%, draw 16%, Real Madrid 70%.

Will both teams score in Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Both teams scored in 64% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Valencia's matches and 90% of Real Madrid's.

What are the odds for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Odds: Valencia 7.20, draw 5.83, Real Madrid 1.37.

When is the Valencia vs Real Madrid kick-off?

Valencia vs Real Madrid kicks off on Sun, 8 Nov 2026 at 18:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio de Mestalla.

What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Real Madrid?

50 meetings: Valencia 10 wins, 12 draws, Real Madrid 28 wins. Those 50 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.

Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction & odds

Valencia

Real Madrid

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

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