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Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction & odds

Vélez Sarsfield

00:15

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 00:15

San Lorenzo

Odds 1X2

1Vélez Sarsfield1.96XDraw3.332San Lorenzo4.39

Estadio José Amalfitani

Vélez SarsfieldvsSan Lorenzo

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Primera Division
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 00:15 EET
Stadium: Estadio José Amalfitani
Capacity: 49,747
City: Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Vélez Sarsfield49%1.96

Draw29%3.33

San Lorenzo22%4.39

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.8%

Vélez Sarsfield1.9649%Draw3.3329%San Lorenzo4.3922%

Double chance

Vélez Sarsfield or Draw1.13Vélez Sarsfield or San Lorenzo1.23Draw or San Lorenzo1.84

Total goals 2.5margin 4.8%

Over 2.52.4140%Under 2.51.5860%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.4%

Vélez Sarsfield -0.51.9649%San Lorenzo +0.51.9151%

1st-half resultmargin 17.1%

Vélez Sarsfield2.4535%Draw1.8845%San Lorenzo4.3320%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Vélez Sarsfield1.9649%San Lorenzo1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

16Vélez Sarsfield wins

13Draws

16San Lorenzo wins

Last matches: Vélez Sarsfield

26.10.26Primera DivisionCentral Córdoba SdEVélez Sarsfield05W
17.10.26Primera DivisionVélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza10W
12.10.26Primera DivisionLanúsVélez Sarsfield20L
05.10.26Primera DivisionVélez SarsfieldPlatense22D
21.09.26Primera DivisionVélez SarsfieldTigre32W

Last matches: San Lorenzo

24.10.26Primera DivisionSan LorenzoNewell's Old Boys00D
18.10.26Primera DivisionEstudiantesSan Lorenzo12W
11.10.26Primera DivisionSan LorenzoDep. Riestra10W
03.10.26Primera DivisionDefensa y JusticiaSan Lorenzo30L
20.09.26Primera DivisionSan LorenzoBoca02L

Head-to-head matches

20.04.26Primera DivisionSan LorenzoVélez Sarsfield00D
07.08.25Primera DivisionSan LorenzoVélez Sarsfield10L
08.02.25Primera DivisionVélez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo00D
14.09.24Primera DivisionSan LorenzoVélez Sarsfield01W
07.08.24CupSan LorenzoVélez Sarsfield13W
29.04.23Primera DivisionVélez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo00D

2.04Avg goals38%Both scored33%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo: head-to-head record

45 meetings since 1999: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

16Vélez Sarsfield wins

13Draws

16San Lorenzo wins

47:45Goals (Vélez Sarsfield : San Lorenzo)

2.04Goals per match

38%BTTS

58%Over 1.5

33%Over 2.5

18%Over 3.5

Vélez Sarsfield at home: 9-9-424:17 goals in 22 games
San Lorenzo at home: 12-4-728:23 goals in 23 games
Vélez Sarsfield's biggest win: 1–3San Lorenzo 1–3 Vélez Sarsfield, 7 Aug 2024
San Lorenzo's biggest win: 4–1San Lorenzo 4–1 Vélez Sarsfield, 5 Dec 2003

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
20 Apr 2026	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	0–0	Vélez Sarsfield
7 Aug 2025	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	1–0	Vélez Sarsfield
8 Feb 2025	Primera Division	Vélez Sarsfield	0–0	San Lorenzo
14 Sept 2024	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	0–1	Vélez Sarsfield
7 Aug 2024	Cup	San Lorenzo	1–3	Vélez Sarsfield
29 Apr 2023	Primera Division	Vélez Sarsfield	0–0	San Lorenzo
8 Oct 2022	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	1–0	Vélez Sarsfield
7 Nov 2021	Primera Division	Vélez Sarsfield	2–1	San Lorenzo
9 Feb 2020	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	1–0	Vélez Sarsfield
13 Nov 2018	Primera Division	Vélez Sarsfield	0–0	San Lorenzo
17 Apr 2018	Primera Division	Vélez Sarsfield	2–2	San Lorenzo
17 Sept 2016	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	2–1	Vélez Sarsfield
20 Feb 2016	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	3–2	Vélez Sarsfield
2 May 2015	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	1–0	Vélez Sarsfield
5 Dec 2014	Primera Division	Vélez Sarsfield	0–2	San Lorenzo
19 May 2014	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	2–3	Vélez Sarsfield
15 Dec 2013	Primera Division	Vélez Sarsfield	0–0	San Lorenzo
6 Apr 2013	Primera Division	Vélez Sarsfield	1–1	San Lorenzo
22 Sept 2012	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	1–2	Vélez Sarsfield
1 Apr 2012	Primera Division	San Lorenzo	0–2	Vélez Sarsfield

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Vélez Sarsfield3W 1D 1L · goals 11–6

W26.10Primera DivisionACentral Córdoba SdE5–0
W17.10Primera DivisionHGimnasia Mendoza1–0
L12.10Primera DivisionALanús0–2
D05.10Primera DivisionHPlatense2–2
W21.09Primera DivisionHTigre3–2

San Lorenzo2W 1D 2L · goals 3–6

D24.10Primera DivisionHNewell's Old Boys0–0
W18.10Primera DivisionAEstudiantes2–1
W11.10Primera DivisionHDep. Riestra1–0
L03.10Primera DivisionADefensa y Justicia0–3
L20.09Primera DivisionHBoca0–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Vélez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo

1.6Goals scored per game0.6

1.0Goals conceded per game0.8

50%Both teams scored20%

40%Over 2.5 goals20%

4Clean sheets5

20%Failed to score50%

3-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-2-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Vélez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo

Primera División 2026 · 16 gamesPrimera División 2025 · 36 games

1.0Goals scored0.9

0.6Goals conceded0.7

4.7Corners4.3

12.6Shots10.4

55%Possession47%

2.3Yellow cards3.0

44%Clean sheets47%

25%Failed to score36%

4-3-2Home / away record (W-D-L)6-7-5

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Group A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Instituto	14	+11	32	WWDWW
2	Velez Sarsfield	14	+10	27	WWLDW
3	Boca Juniors	14	+8	27	WWDWW
8	Independiente	14	-2	19	LDDLW
9	San Lorenzo	14	-5	18	DWWLL
10	Union de Santa Fe	14	-2	17	WDLLL

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About this match

Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo preview

Vélez Sarsfield host San Lorenzo in the Primera Division on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 00:15.

Form · last 5 matches

Vélez SarsfieldWWLDW11 scored · 6 conceded

San LorenzoDWWLL3 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Vélez SarsfieldSan Lorenzo

1.6Goals scored per game0.6

1.0Goals conceded per game0.8

50%Both teams scored20%

40%Over 2.5 goals20%

4Clean sheets5

Head-to-head in numbers

16Vélez Sarsfield wins

13Draws

16San Lorenzo wins

45 meetings · 2.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 38%

What's at stake

Vélez Sarsfield2nd27 pts · 14 played

San Lorenzo9th18 pts · 14 played

Vélez Sarsfield lead by 9 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio José Amalfitani.

The best available prices are 1.96 on Vélez Sarsfield, 3.33 on the draw and 4.39 on San Lorenzo, which is roughly 49%, 29% and 22% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Recent form over the last 5: Vélez Sarsfield WWLDW (goals 11–6), San Lorenzo DWWLL (goals 3–6).

Both teams scored in 50% of Vélez Sarsfield's recent games and 20% of San Lorenzo's; over 2.5 goals landed in 40% and 20% respectively.

Per game, Vélez Sarsfield average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (clean sheets: 4), San Lorenzo 0.6 and 0.8 (clean sheets: 5).

Across 45 head-to-head games the record reads 16–13–16 (wins–draws–losses) from Vélez Sarsfield's side.

Those 45 games averaged 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-20) ended San Lorenzo 0–0 Vélez Sarsfield.

Vélez Sarsfield sit 2nd on 27 pts after 14 games, San Lorenzo 9th on 18 pts.

Nito explains: Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo mean?

The best prices are 1.96 for a Vélez Sarsfield win, 3.33 for a draw and 4.39 for a San Lorenzo win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.96 returns 19.60 if Vélez Sarsfield win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.8% removed) that is 49% Vélez Sarsfield, 29% draw and 22% San Lorenzo.

How often do Vélez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Vélez Sarsfield's last 10 matches and 20% of San Lorenzo's last 10. In their 45 recorded meetings it was 38%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Vélez Sarsfield reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, San Lorenzo in 20% of their last 10. Their 45 meetings averaged 2.0 goals (33% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Vélez Sarsfield, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (11 scored, 6 conceded). San Lorenzo, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (3 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Vélez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo stand in the table?

Vélez Sarsfield are 2nd with 27 points from 14 games. San Lorenzo are 9th with 18 points from 14 games. The gap between them is 9 points.

Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo: questions & answers

Who will win Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Bookmaker odds imply Vélez Sarsfield 49%, draw 29%, San Lorenzo 22%.

Will both teams score in Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Both teams scored in 38% of their 45 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Vélez Sarsfield's matches and 20% of San Lorenzo's.

What are the odds for Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo?

Odds: Vélez Sarsfield 1.96, draw 3.33, San Lorenzo 4.39.

When is the Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo kick-off?

Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 00:15 (GMT+2) at Estadio José Amalfitani.

What is the head-to-head record between Vélez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo?

45 meetings: Vélez Sarsfield 16 wins, 13 draws, San Lorenzo 16 wins. Those 45 games averaged 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.

Other Primera Division matches on 1 Nov

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Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction & odds

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San Lorenzo

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

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