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Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz prediction & odds

Wolfsberger AC

15:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 15:30

Sturm Graz

Odds 1X2

1Wolfsberger AC4.67XDraw4.352Sturm Graz1.68Nito’s pick

Lavanttal Arena

Wolfsberger ACvsSturm Graz

Nito’s pick1.68

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Sturm Graz

1.68

67%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 67% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Austrian Bundesliga
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 15:30 EET
Stadium: Lavanttal Arena
Capacity: 9,000
City: Wolfsberg

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Sturm Graz67%Confidence1.68Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.68 means bookmakers give it 60%; Nito's confidence is 67% (+7 pts)
Sturm Graz won 2 of their last 5 (goals 11–9); Wolfsberger AC won 0 (goals 1–11)
In the table Sturm Graz are 4th with 18 pts, Wolfsberger AC 12th with 5 pts
In 50 meetings Sturm Graz won 21, Wolfsberger AC won 21, 8 were drawn

Best price 1.68 means bookmakers give it 60%; Nito's confidence is 67% (+7 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 67% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Sturm GrazHigh confidence

Confidence67%

Indicative price1.68

Sturm Graz to win: our confidence is 67%, 7 points above the 60% the best price of 1.68 implies.

Asian handicap +0.75Sturm Graz -0.75

Confidence63%

Indicative price1.82

Asian handicap: Sturm Graz -0.75: our confidence is 63%, 8 points above the 55% the best price of 1.82 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Wolfsberger AC21%4.67

Draw22%4.35

Sturm Graz57%1.68

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.9%

Wolfsberger AC4.6721%Draw4.3522%Sturm Graz1.6857%

Double chance

Wolfsberger AC or Draw2.20Wolfsberger AC or Sturm Graz1.16Draw or Sturm Graz1.15

Total goals 2.5margin 4.9%

Over 2.51.5661%Under 2.52.4539%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.0%

Wolfsberger AC +0.752.0447%Sturm Graz -0.751.8253%

1st-half resultmargin 5.7%

Wolfsberger AC4.8919%Draw2.5837%Sturm Graz2.1544%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Wolfsberger AC1.9350%Sturm Graz1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

21Wolfsberger AC wins

8Draws

21Sturm Graz wins

Last matches: Wolfsberger AC

27.10.26Austria CupHertha WelsWolfsberger AC10L
24.10.26Austrian BundesligaHartbergWolfsberger AC10L
18.10.26Austrian BundesligaWolfsberger ACTirol02L
11.10.26Austrian BundesligaAltachWolfsberger AC30L
20.09.26Austrian BundesligaRiedWolfsberger AC41L

Last matches: Sturm Graz

29.10.26Austria CupA. LustenauSturm Graz32L
25.10.26Austrian BundesligaSturm GrazRied22D
22.10.26Europa LeagueSturm GrazMarseille10W
18.10.26Austrian BundesligaSturm GrazGrazer AK61W
15.10.26Europa LeagueBournemouthSturm Graz30L

Head-to-head matches

01.03.26Austrian BundesligaWolfsberger ACSturm Graz22D
26.10.25Austrian BundesligaSturm GrazWolfsberger AC13W
24.05.25BundesligaSturm GrazWolfsberger AC11D
30.03.25BundesligaWolfsberger ACSturm Graz11D
15.02.25BundesligaWolfsberger ACSturm Graz30W
22.09.24BundesligaSturm GrazWolfsberger AC03W

2.76Avg goals48%Both scored58%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2012: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

21Wolfsberger AC wins

8Draws

21Sturm Graz wins

65:73Goals (Wolfsberger AC : Sturm Graz)

2.76Goals per match

48%BTTS

82%Over 1.5

58%Over 2.5

28%Over 3.5

Wolfsberger AC at home: 8-7-1025:32 goals in 25 games
Sturm Graz at home: 11-1-1341:40 goals in 25 games
Wolfsberger AC's biggest win: 0–4Sturm Graz 0–4 Wolfsberger AC, 2 Nov 2019
Sturm Graz's biggest win: 4–0Sturm Graz 4–0 Wolfsberger AC, 3 Mar 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
1 Mar 2026	Austrian Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	2–2	Sturm Graz
26 Oct 2025	Austrian Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	1–3	Wolfsberger AC
24 May 2025	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	1–1	Wolfsberger AC
30 Mar 2025	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1–1	Sturm Graz
15 Feb 2025	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	3–0	Sturm Graz
22 Sept 2024	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	0–3	Wolfsberger AC
3 Mar 2024	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	4–0	Wolfsberger AC
8 Oct 2023	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1–2	Sturm Graz
16 Oct 2022	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	3–2	Wolfsberger AC
23 Jul 2022	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1–1	Sturm Graz
15 May 2022	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	1–4	Wolfsberger AC
3 Apr 2022	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	0–2	Sturm Graz
31 Oct 2021	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	0–3	Wolfsberger AC
1 Aug 2021	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1–4	Sturm Graz
22 May 2021	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1–3	Sturm Graz
21 Apr 2021	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	0–1	Wolfsberger AC
21 Feb 2021	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	1–2	Wolfsberger AC
17 Jan 2021	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	0–0	Sturm Graz
24 Jun 2020	Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	2–0	Sturm Graz
3 Jun 2020	Bundesliga	Sturm Graz	1–2	Wolfsberger AC

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Wolfsberger AC0W 0D 5L · goals 1–11

L27.10Austria CupAHertha Wels0–1
L24.10Austrian BundesligaAHartberg0–1
L18.10Austrian BundesligaHTirol0–2
L11.10Austrian BundesligaAAltach0–3
L20.09Austrian BundesligaARied1–4

Sturm Graz2W 1D 2L · goals 11–9

L29.10Austria CupAA. Lustenau2–3
D25.10Austrian BundesligaHRied2–2
W22.10Europa LeagueHMarseille1–0
W18.10Austrian BundesligaHGrazer AK6–1
L15.10Europa LeagueABournemouth0–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz

0.5Goals scored per game1.9

2.1Goals conceded per game1.4

40%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

1Clean sheets3

60%Failed to score30%

0-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-0-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz

Bundesliga 2025/2026 · 33 gamesBundesliga 2026/2027 · 5 games

1.3Goals scored1.0

1.3Goals conceded1.6

4.2Corners7.4

11.0Shots15.4

50%Possession48%

2.1Yellow cards2.2

27%Clean sheets20%

24%Failed to score20%

6-6-4Home / away record (W-D-L)0-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	LASK	10	+12	19	LWLDL
4	Sturm Graz	10	+6	18	DWWLW
5	Ried	10	+1	15	DWWWD
11	Austria Vienna	10	-10	7	LLLDW
12	Wolfsberger AC	10	-12	5	LLLLL

Comments

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About this match

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz preview

Austrian Bundesliga fixture: Wolfsberger AC welcome Sturm Graz on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (15:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Wolfsberger ACLLLLL1 scored · 11 conceded

Sturm GrazLDWWL11 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz

0.5Goals scored per game1.9

2.1Goals conceded per game1.4

40%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

1Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

21Wolfsberger AC wins

8Draws

21Sturm Graz wins

50 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 48%

What's at stake

Wolfsberger AC12th5 pts · 10 played

Sturm Graz4th18 pts · 10 played

Sturm Graz lead by 13 pts

Our pick

Sturm Graz to winSturm Graz67%Confidence1.68Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Lavanttal Arena hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Sturm Graz the favourite at 1.68 (57% implied), with the draw at 4.35 (22%).

Sturm Graz to win is our top pick for this game (67% confidence, best price 1.68).

We also have Asian handicap: Sturm Graz -0.75 (63%, 1.82).

Wolfsberger AC come into the game with LLLLL in their last 5 (1 scored, 11 conceded), while Sturm Graz have LDWWL (11 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Wolfsberger AC's recent games and 70% of Sturm Graz's, with both teams scoring in 40% and 50%.

Per game, Wolfsberger AC average 0.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Sturm Graz 1.9 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Wolfsberger AC 21 wins, Sturm Graz 21 wins, draws 8.

Those 50 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-01) ended Wolfsberger AC 2–2 Sturm Graz.

In the table, Wolfsberger AC are 12th (5 pts from 10 games) and Sturm Graz are 4th (18 pts from 10).

Nito explains: Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz mean?

The best prices are 4.67 for a Wolfsberger AC win, 4.35 for a draw and 1.68 for a Sturm Graz win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 4.67 returns 46.70 if Wolfsberger AC win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.9% removed) that is 21% Wolfsberger AC, 22% draw and 57% Sturm Graz.

What does Nito's pick "Sturm Graz to win" mean?

It wins only if Sturm Graz win; a draw or a Wolfsberger AC win loses. At 1.68, the price implies a 60% chance; Nito's data rates it at 67%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Wolfsberger AC's last 10 matches and 50% of Sturm Graz's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 48%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Wolfsberger AC reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Sturm Graz in 70% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (58% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLLLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Wolfsberger AC, last 5: 0 W · 0 D · 5 L (1 scored, 11 conceded). Sturm Graz, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (11 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz stand in the table?

Wolfsberger AC are 12th with 5 points from 10 games. Sturm Graz are 4th with 18 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 13 points.

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: questions & answers

Who will win Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Our pick is Sturm Graz to win with 67% confidence (best price 1.68). Bookmaker odds imply Wolfsberger AC 21%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 57%.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Both teams scored in 48% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Wolfsberger AC's matches and 50% of Sturm Graz's.

What are the odds for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Odds: Wolfsberger AC 4.67, draw 4.35, Sturm Graz 1.68. Our pick Sturm Graz to win is available at 1.68.

When is the Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz kick-off?

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 15:30 (GMT+2) at Lavanttal Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz?

50 meetings: Wolfsberger AC 21 wins, 8 draws, Sturm Graz 21 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.

Other Austrian Bundesliga matches on 1 Nov

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Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz prediction & odds

Wolfsberger AC

Sturm Graz

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds