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Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave prediction & odds

Academico Viseu

20:00
Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 20:00

Rio Ave

Odds 1X2
1Academico Viseu1.95XDraw3.652Rio Ave4.00
Estádio Municipal do Fontelo
Academico ViseuvsRio AveNito’s pick1.53

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap 0Academico Viseu 0
1.53

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Primeira Liga
Kick-off
Stadium
Estádio Municipal do Fontelo
Capacity
14,368
City
Viseu

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap 0Academico Viseu 075%Confidence1.53Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.53 means bookmakers give it 65%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+10 pts)
  • Academico Viseu won 3 of their last 5 (goals 6–4); Rio Ave won 2 (goals 7–10)
  • In the table Academico Viseu are 6th with 17 pts, Rio Ave 17th with 7 pts
  • In 2 meetings Academico Viseu won 1, Rio Ave won 1, 0 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
Confidence60%
Indicative price1.97

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 1.97 implies only 51%.

Asian handicap 0Academico Viseu 0High confidence
Confidence75%
Indicative price1.53

We rate Asian handicap: Academico Viseu 0 at 75% — the price of 1.53 implies only 65%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Academico Viseu49%1.95
Draw26%3.65
Rio Ave24%4.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.7%
Academico Viseu1.9549%Draw3.6526%Rio Ave4.0024%
Double chance
Academico Viseu or Draw1.17Academico Viseu or Rio Ave1.21Draw or Rio Ave1.93
Total goals 2.5margin 4.5%
Over 2.51.8651%Under 2.51.9749%
More markets (2)
1st-half resultmargin 17.2%
Academico Viseu2.4036%Draw2.0641%Rio Ave3.7023%
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%
Academico Viseu1.9549%Rio Ave1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave preview

Academico Viseu host Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 20:00.