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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens prediction & odds

Panathinaikos

19:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 19:30

AEK Athens

Odds 1X2

1Panathinaikos2.27XDraw3.452AEK Athens3.26

Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis

PanathinaikosvsAEK Athens

Nito’s pick1.50

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or AEK Athens

1.50

68%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Super League Greece
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 19:30 EET
Stadium: Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis
Capacity: 16,620
City: Athína (Athens)

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or AEK Athens68%Confidence1.50Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.50 means bookmakers give it 67%; Nito's confidence is 68% (+1 pts)
AEK Athens won 2 of their last 5 (goals 11–11); Panathinaikos won 5 (goals 15–4)
In the table AEK Athens are 4th with 14 pts, Panathinaikos 1st with 18 pts
In 50 meetings AEK Athens won 17, Panathinaikos won 17, 16 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Panathinaikos42%2.27

Draw28%3.45

AEK Athens30%3.26

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.7%

Panathinaikos2.2742%Draw3.4528%AEK Athens3.2630%

Double chance

Panathinaikos or Draw1.31Panathinaikos or AEK Athens1.23Draw or AEK Athens1.50

Total goals 2.5margin 5.4%

Over 2.51.7953%Under 2.52.0247%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.5%

Panathinaikos -0.251.9449%AEK Athens +0.251.8951%

1st-half resultmargin 6.0%

Panathinaikos2.7834%Draw2.3241%AEK Athens3.7125%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Panathinaikos1.9549%AEK Athens1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

17Panathinaikos wins

16Draws

17AEK Athens wins

Last matches: Panathinaikos

28.10.26Greek CupPanathinaikosAris21W
25.10.26Super League GreeceVolosPanathinaikos01W
22.10.26Conference LeagueKairat AlmatyPanathinaikos15W
18.10.26Super League GreecePanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis51W
15.10.26Conference LeaguePanathinaikosBorac Banja Luka21W

Last matches: AEK Athens

28.10.26Greek CupPAOKAEK Athens

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2009: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

17Panathinaikos wins

16Draws

17AEK Athens wins

50:55Goals (Panathinaikos : AEK Athens)

2.10Goals per match

42%BTTS

62%Over 1.5

38%Over 2.5

18%Over 3.5

Panathinaikos at home: 11-10-432:21 goals in 25 games
AEK Athens at home: 13-6-634:18 goals in 25 games
Panathinaikos's biggest win: 3–0Panathinaikos 3–0 AEK Athens, 27 Feb 2022
AEK Athens's biggest win: 4–0AEK Athens 4–0 Panathinaikos, 18 Jan 2026

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Super League Greece	AEK Athens	2–1	Panathinaikos
3 May 2026	Super League Greece	Panathinaikos

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Panathinaikos5W 0D 0L · goals 15–4

W28.10Greek CupHAris2–1
W25.10Super League GreeceAVolos1–0
W22.10Conference LeagueAKairat Almaty5–1
W18.10Super League GreeceHAsteras Tripolis5–1
W15.10Conference LeagueHBorac Banja Luka2–1

AEK Athens2W 0D 3L · goals 11–11

L28.10Greek CupAPAOK1–3
W24.10Super League GreeceHPanetolikos5–0
L20.10UEFA Champions LeagueAManchester City1–5
L14.10UEFA Champions LeagueAShakhtar Donetsk

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

PanathinaikosAEK Athens

2.4Goals scored per game2.8

0.6Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

4Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score0%

5-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

PanathinaikosAEK Athens

Super League 2026/2027 · 3 gamesSuper League 2026/2027 · 5 games

2.0Goals scored2.6

0.3Goals conceded0.6

5.3Corners3.8

18.0Shots17.2

65%Possession61%

2.7Yellow cards1.8

67%Clean sheets40%

0%Failed to score0%

1-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-2-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Super League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Panathinaikos	7	+13	18	WLWWW
2	Olympiacos Piraeus	7	+5	16	WWWLD
3	PAOK	7	+6	15	WLWWL
4	AEK Athens	6	+13	14	WWDWD
5	Aris	7	-3	13	WWDLL

Comments

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About this match

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens preview

Panathinaikos host AEK Athens in the Super League Greece on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 19:30.

Form · last 5 matches

PanathinaikosWWWWW15 scored · 4 conceded

AEK AthensLWLLW11 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

PanathinaikosAEK Athens

2.4Goals scored per game2.8

0.6Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

4Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

17Panathinaikos wins

16Draws

17AEK Athens wins

50 meetings · 2.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 42%

What's at stake

Panathinaikos1st18 pts · 7 played

Nito explains: Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens mean?

The best prices are 2.27 for a Panathinaikos win, 3.45 for a draw and 3.26 for a AEK Athens win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.27 returns 22.70 if Panathinaikos win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.7% removed) that is 42% Panathinaikos, 28% draw and 30% AEK Athens.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or AEK Athens" mean?

It wins if AEK Athens win or draw; it loses only if Panathinaikos win. At 1.50, the price implies a 67% chance; Nito's data rates it at 68%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Panathinaikos and AEK Athens matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Panathinaikos's last 10 matches and 60% of AEK Athens's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 42%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Panathinaikos reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, AEK Athens in 80% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.1 goals (38% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Panathinaikos, last 5: 5 W · 0 D · 0 L (15 scored, 4 conceded). AEK Athens, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (11 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do Panathinaikos and AEK Athens stand in the table?

Panathinaikos are 1st with 18 points from 7 games. AEK Athens are 4th with 14 points from 6 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens: questions & answers

Who will win Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or AEK Athens with 68% confidence (best price 1.50). Bookmaker odds imply Panathinaikos 42%, draw 28%, AEK Athens 30%.

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?

Both teams scored in 42% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Panathinaikos's matches and 60% of AEK Athens's.

What are the odds for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?

Odds: Panathinaikos 2.27, draw 3.45, AEK Athens 3.26. Our pick Double chance: Draw or AEK Athens is available at 1.50.

When is the Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens kick-off?

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 19:30 (GMT+2) at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis.

What is the head-to-head record between Panathinaikos and AEK Athens?

50 meetings: Panathinaikos 17 wins, 16 draws, AEK Athens 17 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.

Other Super League Greece matches on 1 Nov

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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens prediction & odds

Panathinaikos

AEK Athens

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds