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Baltika vs Akron Togliatti prediction & odds

Baltika

16:30
Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 16:30

Akron Togliatti

Odds 1X2
1Baltika1.76XDraw3.652Akron Togliatti5.04
Rostec Arena
BaltikavsAkron TogliattiNito’s pick1.71

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
1.71

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Premier League
Kick-off
Stadium
Rostec Arena
Capacity
35,212
City
Kaliningrad

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.565%Confidence1.71Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.71 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+7 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 40% of Baltika's last 5 and 40% of Akron Togliatti's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Baltika matches 2.3, Akron Togliatti matches 2.9
  • Their 11 meetings average 1.9 goals; both teams scored in 27%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Baltika
Confidence61%
Indicative price1.76

Baltika to win: our confidence is 61%, 4 points above the 57% the best price of 1.76 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence
Confidence65%
Indicative price1.71

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 65%, 7 points above the 58% the best price of 1.71 implies.

Asian handicap -0.75Akron Togliatti +0.75High confidence
Confidence65%
Indicative price1.89

We rate Asian handicap: Akron Togliatti +0.75 at 65% — the price of 1.89 implies only 53%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Baltika55%1.76
Draw26%3.65
Akron Togliatti19%5.04

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.1%
Baltika1.7655%Draw3.6526%Akron Togliatti5.0419%
Total goals 2.5margin 5.2%
Over 2.52.1444%Under 2.51.7156%
1st-half resultmargin 5.8%
Baltika2.3740%Draw2.2243%Akron Togliatti5.4018%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Baltika vs Akron Togliatti preview

Premier League fixture: Baltika welcome Akron Togliatti on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (16:30 kick-off).