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Barcelona vs Alaves prediction & odds

Barcelona

22:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 22:00

Alaves

Odds 1X2

1Barcelona1.12XDraw11.222Alaves20.00

BarcelonavsAlaves

Nito’s pick1.48

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap -1.75Barcelona -1.75

1.48

75%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Laliga
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 22:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap -1.75Barcelona -1.7575%Confidence1.48Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.48 means bookmakers give it 68%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+7 pts)
Barcelona won 3 of their last 5 (goals 15–9); Alaves won 0 (goals 3–6)
In the table Barcelona are 1st with 27 pts, Alaves 7th with 12 pts
In 35 meetings Barcelona won 26, Alaves won 5, 4 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.95

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 65%, 14 points above the 51% the best price of 1.95 implies.

Asian handicap -1.75Barcelona -1.75High confidence

Confidence75%

Indicative price1.48

Asian handicap: Barcelona -1.75: our confidence is 75%, 7 points above the 68% the best price of 1.48 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Barcelona87%1.12

Draw9%11.22

Alaves5%20.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.2%

Barcelona1.1287%Draw11.229%Alaves20.005%

Total goals 4margin 3.7%

Over 41.8752%Under 41.9948%

Asian handicapmargin 3.3%

Barcelona -2.752.0348%Alaves +2.751.8552%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 5.5%

Barcelona1.3570%Draw4.1623%Alaves13.607%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Barcelona1.9450%Alaves1.9450%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

26Barcelona wins

4Draws

5Alaves wins

Last matches: Barcelona

25.10.26La LigaBarcelonaReal Madrid12L
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeaguePSGBarcelona42L
17.10.26La LigaBetisBarcelona25W
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueGalatasarayBarcelona14W
10.10.26La LigaBarcelonaGetafe30W

Last matches: Alaves

23.10.26La LigaAlavesMalaga11D
18.10.26La LigaCelta VigoAlaves21L
10.10.26La LigaAlavesAtl. Madrid12L
19.09.26La LigaAth BilbaoAlaves00D
15.09.26La LigaAlavesValencia01L

Head-to-head matches

13.05.26La LigaAlavesBarcelona10L
29.11.25La LigaBarcelonaAlaves31W
02.02.25PrimeraBarcelonaAlaves10W
06.10.24PrimeraAlavesBarcelona03W
03.02.24PrimeraAlavesBarcelona13W
12.11.23PrimeraBarcelonaAlaves21W

3.23Avg goals51%Both scored60%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Barcelona vs Alaves: head-to-head record

35 meetings since 1999: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

26Barcelona wins

4Draws

5Alaves wins

86:27Goals (Barcelona : Alaves)

3.23Goals per match

51%BTTS

80%Over 1.5

60%Over 2.5

40%Over 3.5

Barcelona at home: 15-1-252:19 goals in 18 games
Alaves at home: 3-3-118:34 goals in 17 games
Barcelona's biggest win: 0–6Alaves 0–6 Barcelona, 11 Feb 2017
Alaves's biggest win: 2–0Alaves 2–0 Barcelona, 30 Nov 2001

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
13 May 2026	La Liga	Alaves	1–0	Barcelona
29 Nov 2025	La Liga	Barcelona	3–1	Alaves
2 Feb 2025	Primera	Barcelona	1–0	Alaves
6 Oct 2024	Primera	Alaves	0–3	Barcelona
3 Feb 2024	Primera	Alaves	1–3	Barcelona
12 Nov 2023	Primera	Barcelona	2–1	Alaves
23 Jan 2022	Primera	Alaves	0–1	Barcelona
30 Oct 2021	Primera	Barcelona	1–1	Alaves
13 Feb 2021	Primera	Barcelona	5–1	Alaves
31 Oct 2020	Primera	Alaves	1–1	Barcelona
19 Jul 2020	Primera	Alaves	0–5	Barcelona
21 Dec 2019	Primera	Barcelona	4–1	Alaves
23 Apr 2019	Primera	Alaves	0–2	Barcelona
18 Aug 2018	Primera	Barcelona	3–0	Alaves
28 Jan 2018	Primera	Barcelona	2–1	Alaves
26 Aug 2017	Primera	Alaves	0–2	Barcelona
27 May 2017	Cup	Barcelona	3–1	Alaves
11 Feb 2017	Primera	Alaves	0–6	Barcelona
10 Sept 2016	Primera	Barcelona	1–2	Alaves
28 Nov 2012	Cup	Barcelona	3–1	Alaves

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Barcelona3W 0D 2L · goals 15–9

L25.10La LigaHReal Madrid1–2
L20.10UEFA Champions LeagueAPSG2–4
W17.10La LigaABetis5–2
W13.10UEFA Champions LeagueAGalatasaray4–1
W10.10La LigaHGetafe3–0

Alaves0W 2D 3L · goals 3–6

D23.10La LigaHMalaga1–1
L18.10La LigaACelta Vigo1–2
L10.10La LigaHAtl. Madrid1–2
D19.09La LigaAAth Bilbao0–0
L15.09La LigaHValencia0–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BarcelonaAlaves

3.9Goals scored per game1.4

1.5Goals conceded per game1.1

80%Both teams scored60%

100%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets3

0%Failed to score20%

3-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-2-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera División

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	10	+29	27	LWWWW
2	Atl. Madrid	10	+12	25	WWWWW
6	Sevilla	10	0	17	WLDLW
7	Alaves	10	+3	12	DLLDL
8	Ath Bilbao	9	+3	12	WLDD

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Barcelona

✕R. BardghjiKnee Injury
✕A. ChristensenMuscle Injury
✕X. EspartAnkle Injury
✕D. OlmoGroin Injury
?E. GarciaMuscle Injury
?J. KoundeAnkle Injury

Alaves

✕F. GarcesSuspended
✕M. RodriguezAnkle Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

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About this match

Barcelona vs Alaves preview

Barcelona host Alaves in the Laliga on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 22:00.

Form · last 5 matches

BarcelonaLLWWW15 scored · 9 conceded

AlavesDLLDL3 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BarcelonaAlaves

3.9Goals scored per game1.4

1.5Goals conceded per game1.1

80%Both teams scored60%

100%Over 2.5 goals50%

2Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

26Barcelona wins

4Draws

5Alaves wins

35 meetings · 3.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 51%

What's at stake

Barcelona1st27 pts · 10 played

Alaves7th12 pts · 10 played

Barcelona lead by 15 pts

Our pick

Asian handicapBarcelona -1.7575%Confidence1.48Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Barcelona the favourite at 1.12 (87% implied), with the draw at 11.22 (9%).

Our strongest pick is Asian handicap: Barcelona -1.75 with 75% confidence at a best price of 1.48.

We also have Both teams to score: No (65%, 1.95).

Barcelona come into the game with LLWWW in their last 5 (15 scored, 9 conceded), while Alaves have DLLDL (3 scored, 6 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 100% of Barcelona's recent games and 50% of Alaves's, with both teams scoring in 80% and 60%.

Per game, Barcelona average 3.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Alaves 1.4 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 35 previous meetings: Barcelona 26 wins, Alaves 5 wins, draws 4.

Those 35 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-13) ended Alaves 1–0 Barcelona.

In the table, Barcelona are 1st (27 pts from 10 games) and Alaves are 7th (12 pts from 10).

Nito explains: Barcelona vs Alaves

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Barcelona vs Alaves mean?

The best prices are 1.12 for a Barcelona win, 11.22 for a draw and 20.00 for a Alaves win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.12 returns 11.20 if Barcelona win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.2% removed) that is 87% Barcelona, 9% draw and 5% Alaves.

What does Nito's pick "Asian handicap: Barcelona -1.75" mean?

Asian handicap: -1.75 goals are added to Barcelona's final score, and the bet wins if Barcelona are still ahead after that. A quarter line splits the stake over the two nearest lines. At 1.48, the price implies a 68% chance; Nito's data rates it at 75%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Barcelona and Alaves matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 80% of Barcelona's last 10 matches and 60% of Alaves's last 10. In their 35 recorded meetings it was 51%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Barcelona reached that in 100% of their last 10 matches, Alaves in 50% of their last 10. Their 35 meetings averaged 3.2 goals (60% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Barcelona, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (15 scored, 9 conceded). Alaves, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (3 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Barcelona and Alaves stand in the table?

Barcelona are 1st with 27 points from 10 games. Alaves are 7th with 12 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 15 points.

Barcelona vs Alaves: questions & answers

Who will win Barcelona vs Alaves?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Barcelona -1.75 with 75% confidence (best price 1.48). Bookmaker odds imply Barcelona 87%, draw 9%, Alaves 5%.

Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Alaves?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (65% confidence, 1.95). Both teams scored in 51% of their 35 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 80% of Barcelona's matches and 60% of Alaves's.

What are the odds for Barcelona vs Alaves?

Odds: Barcelona 1.12, draw 11.22, Alaves 20.00. Our pick Asian handicap: Barcelona -1.75 is available at 1.48.

When is the Barcelona vs Alaves kick-off?

Barcelona vs Alaves kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Alaves?

35 meetings: Barcelona 26 wins, 4 draws, Alaves 5 wins. Those 35 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.

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Barcelona vs Alaves prediction & odds

Barcelona

Alaves

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds