Home / Japan: J2-League / Albirex vs Sagan

J2-LeagueFT

Albirex vs Sagan result, stats & H2H

Albirex

2–1

Sagan

21/10/2026 13:00 · Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex2–1Sagan

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

No events yet.

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap +0.5Albirex +0.5

1.87Won

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: J2-League
Kick-off: Wed 21 Oct 13:00 EEST
Stadium: Denka Big Swan Stadium
Capacity: 41,684
City: Niigata

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap +0.5Albirex +0.565%Confidence1.87won

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.87 means bookmakers give it 53%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+12 pts)
Albirex won 2 of their last 5 (goals 6–9); Sagan won 4 (goals 7–4)
In the table Albirex are 2nd with 26 pts, Sagan 10th with 17 pts
In 21 meetings Albirex won 12, Sagan won 8, 1 were drawn

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Asian handicap +0.25Albirex +0.25

Confidence60%

Price2.18Won

We rate Asian handicap: Albirex +0.25 at 60% — the price of 2.18 implies only 46%.

Asian handicap +0.5Albirex +0.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Price1.87Won

We rate Asian handicap: Albirex +0.5 at 65% — the price of 1.87 implies only 53%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Closing odds

	Albirex	Draw	Sagan
1X2	3.42 3.38	3.22 3.20	1.99 2.01

Last pre-match price before kick-off (bold) and the opening price (grey), recorded by Tipnito.

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

12Albirex wins

1Draws

8Sagan wins

Last matches: Albirex

25.10.26J2-LeagueAlbirexVegalta Sendai21W
17.10.26J2-LeagueOitaAlbirex51L
11.10.26J2-LeagueShonanAlbirex11D
03.10.26J2-LeagueAlbirexTokushima21W
29.09.26Nabisco CupYamagaAlbirex10L

Last matches: Sagan

28.10.26Nabisco CupSaganKawasaki02L
25.10.26J2-LeagueSaganVanraure20W
17.10.26J2-LeagueSaganOmiya Ardija21W
14.10.26Nabisco CupSaganAvispa21W
10.10.26J2-LeagueSaganFujieda10W

Head-to-head matches

21.10.26J2-LeagueAlbirexSagan21W
06.07.24J-LeagueAlbirexSagan34L
24.02.24J-LeagueSaganAlbirex12W
21.10.23J-LeagueAlbirexSagan11D
20.05.23J-LeagueSaganAlbirex20L
08.04.17J-LeagueSaganAlbirex30L

2.52Avg goals48%Both scored48%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Albirex vs Sagan: head-to-head record

21 meetings since 2003: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

12Albirex wins

1Draws

8Sagan wins

28:25Goals (Albirex : Sagan)

2.52Goals per match

48%BTTS

67%Over 1.5

48%Over 2.5

19%Over 3.5

Albirex at home: 7-1-318:14 goals in 11 games
Sagan at home: 5-0-511:10 goals in 10 games
Albirex's biggest win: 0–2Sagan 0–2 Albirex, 26 Oct 2014
Sagan's biggest win: 3–0Sagan 3–0 Albirex, 8 Apr 2017

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Oct 2026	J2-League	Albirex	2–1	Sagan
6 Jul 2024	J-League	Albirex	3–4	Sagan
24 Feb 2024	J-League	Sagan	1–2	Albirex
21 Oct 2023	J-League	Albirex	1–1	Sagan
20 May 2023	J-League	Sagan	2–0	Albirex
8 Apr 2017	J-League	Sagan	3–0	Albirex
27 Aug 2016	J-League	Sagan	1–0	Albirex
25 Jun 2016	J-League	Albirex	1–0	Sagan
19 Jul 2015	J-League	Albirex	1–0	Sagan
7 Mar 2015	J-League	Sagan	2–1	Albirex
26 Oct 2014	J-League	Sagan	0–2	Albirex
23 Mar 2014	J-League	Albirex	1–0	Sagan
5 Oct 2013	J-League	Albirex	3–1	Sagan
11 May 2013	J-League	Sagan	1–3	Albirex
27 Oct 2012	J-League	Albirex	0–2	Sagan
21 Apr 2012	J-League	Sagan	1–0	Albirex
3 Nov 2007	Cup	Albirex	2–3	Sagan
26 Sept 2003	J2-League	Albirex	2–1	Sagan
18 Jul 2003	J2-League	Sagan	0–1	Albirex
13 Jun 2003	J2-League	Albirex	2–1	Sagan

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Albirex2W 1D 2L · goals 6–9

W25.10J2-LeagueHVegalta Sendai2–1
L17.10J2-LeagueAOita1–5
D11.10J2-LeagueAShonan1–1
W03.10J2-LeagueHTokushima2–1
L29.09Nabisco CupAYamaga0–1

Sagan4W 0D 1L · goals 7–4

L28.10Nabisco CupHKawasaki0–2
W25.10J2-LeagueHVanraure2–0
W17.10J2-LeagueHOmiya Ardija2–1
W14.10Nabisco CupHAvispa2–1
W10.10J2-LeagueHFujieda1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

AlbirexSagan

1.3Goals scored per game1.0

1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets2

20%Failed to score40%

4-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-0-3

Match stats

Team and player statistics from the match feed

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · J2 League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Vegalta Sendai	13	+11	27	LWDWW
2	Albirex Niigata	13	-2	26	WWLDW
3	Toyama	13	+11	22	LWDDW
9	Iwaki	13	+1	17	DDWWL
10	Sagan Tosu	13	-1	17	WLWWL
11	Tokushima	13	-2	17	WLDLL

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

18+ · No links or advertising · Comments are moderated.

No comments yet. Start the conversation.

About this match

Albirex vs Sagan preview

Final score in the J2-League on Wed, 21 Oct 2026: Albirex 2–1 Sagan.

Form · last 5 matches

AlbirexWLDWL6 scored · 9 conceded

SaganLWWWW7 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

AlbirexSagan

1.3Goals scored per game1.0

1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

12Albirex wins

1Draws

8Sagan wins

21 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 48%

League table

Albirex2nd26 pts · 13 played

Sagan10th17 pts · 13 played

Albirex lead by 9 pts

Our pick

Asian handicapAlbirex +0.565%Confidence1.87won

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Our top pick, Asian handicap: Albirex +0.5 at 1.87 (65% confidence), won.

Our other picks were Asian handicap: Albirex +0.25 (60%, 2.18).

Albirex come into the game with WLDWL in their last 5 (6 scored, 9 conceded), while Sagan have LWWWW (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Albirex's recent games and 40% of Sagan's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 40%.

Per game, Albirex average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Sagan 1.0 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 21 previous meetings: Albirex 12 wins, Sagan 8 wins, draws 1.

Those 21 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.

In the table, Albirex are 2nd (26 pts from 13 games) and Sagan are 10th (17 pts from 13).

Nito explains: Albirex vs Sagan

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

How often do Albirex and Sagan matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Albirex's last 10 matches and 40% of Sagan's last 10. In their 21 recorded meetings it was 48%. In this match it landed (Albirex 2-1 Sagan).

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Albirex reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Sagan in 40% of their last 10. Their 21 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (48% over 2.5). This match had 3 goals: over.

What does the form guide WLDWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Albirex, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 9 conceded). Sagan, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Albirex and Sagan stand in the table?

Albirex are 2nd with 26 points from 13 games. Sagan are 10th with 17 points from 13 games. The gap between them is 9 points.

Albirex vs Sagan: questions & answers

Who won Albirex vs Sagan?

Albirex won 2–1.

Did both teams score in Albirex vs Sagan?

Yes, the match finished 2–1.

When was Albirex vs Sagan played?

Albirex vs Sagan was played on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (GMT+3) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between Albirex and Sagan?

21 meetings: Albirex 12 wins, 1 draws, Sagan 8 wins. Those 21 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.

Albirex vs Sagan result, stats & H2H

Albirex

Sagan

Key events

Key events

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Closing odds