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Recoleta vs Ameliano prediction & odds

Recoleta

22:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 22:00

Ameliano

Odds 1X2

1Recoleta2.82XDraw3.392Ameliano2.44

RecoletavsAmeliano

Nito’s pick1.45

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceRecoleta or Draw

1.45

70%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Copa De Primera - Clausura
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 22:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceRecoleta or Draw70%Confidence1.45Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.45 means bookmakers give it 69%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+1 pts)
Recoleta won 2 of their last 5 (goals 5–4); Ameliano won 0 (goals 6–9)
In the table Recoleta are 9th with 40 pts, Ameliano 7th with 52 pts
In 7 meetings Recoleta won 3, Ameliano won 2, 2 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceRecoleta or DrawHigh confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.45

Double chance: Recoleta or Draw: our confidence is 70% at a best price of 1.45.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

Confidence63%

Indicative price1.78

We rate Over 2.5 goals at 63% — the price of 1.78 implies only 56%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Recoleta33%2.82

Draw28%3.39

Ameliano39%2.44

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.9%

Recoleta2.8233%Draw3.3928%Ameliano2.4439%

Double chance

Recoleta or Draw1.45Recoleta or Ameliano1.24Draw or Ameliano1.35

Total goals 2.5margin 5.7%

Over 2.51.7853%Under 2.52.0247%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.7%

Recoleta 02.0646%Ameliano 01.7854%

1st-half resultmargin 7.1%

Recoleta3.3428%Draw2.2841%Ameliano3.0031%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Recoleta1.9549%Ameliano1.8951%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

3Recoleta wins

2Draws

2Ameliano wins

Last matches: Recoleta

28.10.26Copa ParaguaySp. LuquenoRecoleta02W
24.10.26Primera Division2 de MayoRecoleta11D
16.10.26Primera DivisionRecoletaRubio Nu10W
12.10.26Primera DivisionNacional AsuncionRecoleta10L
05.10.26Primera DivisionRecoletaLibertad12L

Last matches: Ameliano

25.10.26Primera DivisionAmelianoOlimpia Asuncion23L
18.10.26Primera DivisionCerro PortenoAmeliano22D
12.10.26Primera Division2 de MayoAmeliano10L
06.10.26Primera DivisionAmelianoRubio Nu12L
25.09.26Primera DivisionNacional AsuncionAmeliano11D

Head-to-head matches

22.08.26Primera DivisionAmelianoRecoleta31L
11.05.26Primera DivisionAmelianoRecoleta32L
09.03.26Primera DivisionRecoletaAmeliano11D
29.09.25AperturaAmelianoRecoleta14W
21.07.25AperturaRecoletaAmeliano31W
10.05.25AperturaAmelianoRecoleta12W

3.57Avg goals100%Both scored71%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Recoleta vs Ameliano: head-to-head record

7 meetings since 2025: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

3Recoleta wins

2Draws

2Ameliano wins

14:11Goals (Recoleta : Ameliano)

3.57Goals per match

100%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

71%Over 2.5

57%Over 3.5

Recoleta at home: 1-2-05:3 goals in 3 games
Ameliano at home: 2-0-28:9 goals in 4 games
Recoleta's biggest win: 1–4Ameliano 1–4 Recoleta, 29 Sept 2025
Ameliano's biggest win: 3–1Ameliano 3–1 Recoleta, 22 Aug 2026

Meetings (7 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Primera Division	Ameliano	3–1	Recoleta
11 May 2026	Primera Division	Ameliano	3–2	Recoleta
9 Mar 2026	Primera Division	Recoleta	1–1	Ameliano
29 Sept 2025	Apertura	Ameliano	1–4	Recoleta
21 Jul 2025	Apertura	Recoleta	3–1	Ameliano
10 May 2025	Apertura	Ameliano	1–2	Recoleta
28 Feb 2025	Apertura	Recoleta	1–1	Ameliano

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Recoleta2W 1D 2L · goals 5–4

W28.10Copa ParaguayASp. Luqueno2–0
D24.10Primera DivisionA2 de Mayo1–1
W16.10Primera DivisionHRubio Nu1–0
L12.10Primera DivisionANacional Asuncion0–1
L05.10Primera DivisionHLibertad1–2

Ameliano0W 2D 3L · goals 6–9

L25.10Primera DivisionHOlimpia Asuncion2–3
D18.10Primera DivisionACerro Porteno2–2
L12.10Primera DivisionA2 de Mayo0–1
L06.10Primera DivisionHRubio Nu1–2
D25.09Primera DivisionANacional Asuncion1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

RecoletaAmeliano

0.9Goals scored per game1.1

1.1Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets1

40%Failed to score20%

2-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-4-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

RecoletaAmeliano

Division Profesional 2025 · 22 gamesDivision Profesional 2025 · 21 games

1.6Goals scored1.0

1.4Goals conceded1.9

4.0Corners4.0

9.6Shots11.0

46%Possession45%

2.1Yellow cards3.0

27%Clean sheets14%

27%Failed to score33%

4-3-4Home / away record (W-D-L)2-1-7

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Guarani	38	+8	54	WLDDW
7	Ameliano	38	+4	52	LDLLD
8	2 de Mayo	38	-16	51	DLWWD
9	Recoleta	38	-9	40	DWLLD
10	Sp. Luqueno	38	-22	36	LWLLL

About this match

Recoleta vs Ameliano preview

Recoleta host Ameliano in the Copa De Primera - Clausura on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 22:00.

Form · last 5 matches

RecoletaWDWLL5 scored · 4 conceded

AmelianoLDLLD6 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

RecoletaAmeliano

0.9Goals scored per game1.1

1.1Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

3Recoleta wins

2Draws

2Ameliano wins

7 meetings · 3.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 100%

What's at stake

Recoleta9th40 pts · 38 played

Ameliano7th52 pts · 38 played

Ameliano lead by 12 pts

Our pick

Double chanceRecoleta or Draw70%Confidence1.45Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Recoleta 2.82 (33%), draw 3.39 (28%), Ameliano 2.44 (39%).

Double chance: Recoleta or Draw is our top pick for this game (70% confidence, best price 1.45).

We also have Over 2.5 goals (63%, 1.78).

Recent form over the last 5: Recoleta WDWLL (goals 5–4), Ameliano LDLLD (goals 6–9).

Both teams scored in 40% of Recoleta's recent games and 70% of Ameliano's; over 2.5 goals landed in 30% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Recoleta average 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Ameliano 1.1 and 1.5 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 7 head-to-head games the record reads 3–2–2 (wins–draws–losses) from Recoleta's side.

Those 7 games averaged 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-22) ended Ameliano 3–1 Recoleta.

Recoleta sit 9th on 40 pts after 38 games, Ameliano 7th on 52 pts.

Nito explains: Recoleta vs Ameliano

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Recoleta vs Ameliano mean?

The best prices are 2.82 for a Recoleta win, 3.39 for a draw and 2.44 for a Ameliano win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.82 returns 28.20 if Recoleta win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.9% removed) that is 33% Recoleta, 28% draw and 39% Ameliano.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Recoleta or Draw" mean?

It wins if Recoleta win or draw; it loses only if Ameliano win. At 1.45, the price implies a 69% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Recoleta and Ameliano matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Recoleta's last 10 matches and 70% of Ameliano's last 10. In their 7 recorded meetings it was 100%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Recoleta reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Ameliano in 50% of their last 10. Their 7 meetings averaged 3.6 goals (71% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDWLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Recoleta, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (5 scored, 4 conceded). Ameliano, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (6 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Recoleta and Ameliano stand in the table?

Recoleta are 9th with 40 points from 38 games. Ameliano are 7th with 52 points from 38 games. The gap between them is 12 points.

Recoleta vs Ameliano: questions & answers

Who will win Recoleta vs Ameliano?

Our pick is Double chance: Recoleta or Draw with 70% confidence (best price 1.45). Bookmaker odds imply Recoleta 33%, draw 28%, Ameliano 39%.

Will both teams score in Recoleta vs Ameliano?

Both teams scored in 100% of their 7 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Recoleta's matches and 70% of Ameliano's.

What are the odds for Recoleta vs Ameliano?

Odds: Recoleta 2.82, draw 3.39, Ameliano 2.44. Our pick Double chance: Recoleta or Draw is available at 1.45.

When is the Recoleta vs Ameliano kick-off?

Recoleta vs Ameliano kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Recoleta and Ameliano?

7 meetings: Recoleta 3 wins, 2 draws, Ameliano 2 wins. Those 7 games averaged 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Other Copa De Primera - Clausura matches on 31 Oct

All Copa De Primera - Clausura fixtures

Recoleta vs Ameliano prediction & odds

Recoleta

Ameliano

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds