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Apollon vs Pafos prediction & odds

Apollon

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Pafos

Odds 1X2

1Apollon2.53XDraw3.302Pafos2.76

Alphamega Stadium

ApollonvsPafos

Nito’s pick1.39

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceApollon or Draw

1.39

76%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 76% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Cypriot First Division
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET
Stadium: Alphamega Stadium
Capacity: 10,700
City: Kolossi

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceApollon or Draw76%Confidence1.39Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.39 means bookmakers give it 72%; Nito's confidence is 76% (+4 pts)
Apollon won 3 of their last 5 (goals 14–5); Pafos won 1 (goals 5–5)
In the table Apollon are 2nd with 15 pts, Pafos 5th with 12 pts
In 21 meetings Apollon won 6, Pafos won 9, 6 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 76% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceApollon or DrawHigh confidence

Confidence76%

Indicative price1.39

We rate Double chance: Apollon or Draw at 76% — the price of 1.39 implies only 72%.

Asian handicap -0.25Apollon -0.25

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.16

We rate Asian handicap: Apollon -0.25 at 60% — the price of 2.16 implies only 46%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Apollon37%2.53

Draw29%3.30

Pafos34%2.76

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.1%

Apollon2.5337%Draw3.3029%Pafos2.7634%

Total goals 2.5margin 5.2%

Over 2.51.8152%Under 2.52.0048%

Asian handicapmargin 4.6%

Apollon 01.8352%Pafos 02.0048%

More markets (1)

1st-half resultmargin 9.1%

Apollon2.9531%Draw2.2940%Pafos3.1729%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

6Apollon wins

6Draws

9Pafos wins

Last matches: Apollon

25.10.26Cypriot First DivisionKarmiotissaApollon05W
17.10.26Cypriot First DivisionApollonNea Salamis42W
10.10.26Cypriot First DivisionKrasavaApollon13W
19.09.26Cypriot First DivisionApollonAPOEL22D
12.09.26Cypriot First DivisionOmoniaApollon00D

Last matches: Pafos

26.10.26Cypriot First DivisionNea SalamisPafos00D
22.10.26Conference LeaguePafosRiga FC11D
19.10.26Cypriot First DivisionPafosAPOEL00D
15.10.26Conference LeagueAtalantaPafos31L
11.10.26Cypriot First DivisionAnorthosisPafos13W

Head-to-head matches

29.05.26Cyprus CupApollonPafos02L
03.05.26Cypriot First DivisionApollonPafos21W
22.03.26Cypriot First DivisionPafosApollon11D
04.01.26Cypriot First DivisionApollonPafos21W
13.09.25Cypriot First DivisionPafosApollon01W
22.04.251-divisionPafosApollon20L

1.95Avg goals43%Both scored29%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Apollon vs Pafos: head-to-head record

21 meetings since 2020: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

6Apollon wins

6Draws

9Pafos wins

17:24Goals (Apollon : Pafos)

1.95Goals per match

43%BTTS

67%Over 1.5

29%Over 2.5

5%Over 3.5

Apollon at home: 4-1-69:14 goals in 11 games
Pafos at home: 3-5-210:8 goals in 10 games
Apollon's biggest win: 2–0Apollon 2–0 Pafos, 23 Oct 2021
Pafos's biggest win: 0–3Apollon 0–3 Pafos, 29 Oct 2023

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
29 May 2026	Cyprus Cup	Apollon	0–2	Pafos
3 May 2026	Cypriot First Division	Apollon	2–1	Pafos
22 Mar 2026	Cypriot First Division	Pafos	1–1	Apollon
4 Jan 2026	Cypriot First Division	Apollon	2–1	Pafos
13 Sept 2025	Cypriot First Division	Pafos	0–1	Apollon
22 Apr 2025	1-division	Pafos	2–0	Apollon
16 Mar 2025	1-division	Apollon	1–2	Pafos
16 Feb 2025	1-division	Pafos	1–0	Apollon
10 Nov 2024	1-division	Apollon	0–1	Pafos
31 Jan 2024	1-division	Pafos	1–1	Apollon
29 Oct 2023	1-division	Apollon	0–3	Pafos
28 May 2023	1-division	Pafos	2–1	Apollon
21 Apr 2023	1-division	Apollon	0–1	Pafos
8 Jan 2023	1-division	Pafos	2–2	Apollon
1 Oct 2022	1-division	Apollon	1–1	Pafos
16 Apr 2022	1-division	Apollon	0–2	Pafos
7 Mar 2022	1-division	Pafos	0–0	Apollon
22 Jan 2022	1-division	Pafos	0–1	Apollon
23 Oct 2021	1-division	Apollon	2–0	Pafos
23 Dec 2020	1-division	Pafos	1–1	Apollon

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Apollon3W 2D 0L · goals 14–5

W25.10Cypriot First DivisionAKarmiotissa5–0
W17.10Cypriot First DivisionHNea Salamis4–2
W10.10Cypriot First DivisionAKrasava3–1
D19.09Cypriot First DivisionHAPOEL2–2
D12.09Cypriot First DivisionAOmonia0–0

Pafos1W 3D 1L · goals 5–5

D26.10Cypriot First DivisionANea Salamis0–0
D22.10Conference LeagueHRiga FC1–1
D19.10Cypriot First DivisionHAPOEL0–0
L15.10Conference LeagueAAtalanta1–3
W11.10Cypriot First DivisionAAnorthosis3–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ApollonPafos

2.3Goals scored per game1.0

1.5Goals conceded per game0.7

70%Both teams scored30%

80%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets6

10%Failed to score40%

2-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · 1-division

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	AEK Larnaca	7	+8	16	WDWWL
2	Apollon	7	+11	15	WWWDD
3	AEL Limassol	7	0	15	LWWWW
4	Omonia	7	+7	12	LDWWD
5	Pafos	7	+4	12	DDWLW
6	Aris	7	+1	12	WDWDW

Comments

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About this match

Apollon vs Pafos preview

Cypriot First Division fixture: Apollon welcome Pafos on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (17:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

ApollonWWWDD14 scored · 5 conceded

PafosDDDLW5 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ApollonPafos

2.3Goals scored per game1.0

1.5Goals conceded per game0.7

70%Both teams scored30%

80%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets6

Head-to-head in numbers

6Apollon wins

6Draws

9Pafos wins

21 meetings · 1.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 43%

What's at stake

Apollon2nd15 pts · 7 played

Pafos5th12 pts · 7 played

Apollon lead by 3 pts

Our pick

Double chanceApollon or Draw76%Confidence1.39Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Alphamega Stadium.

The market sees little between the sides: Apollon 2.53 (37%), draw 3.30 (29%), Pafos 2.76 (34%).

Double chance: Apollon or Draw is our top pick for this game (76% confidence, best price 1.39).

We also have Asian handicap: Apollon -0.25 (60%, 2.16).

Recent form over the last 5: Apollon WWWDD (goals 14–5), Pafos DDDLW (goals 5–5).

Both teams scored in 70% of Apollon's recent games and 30% of Pafos's; over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 30% respectively.

Per game, Apollon average 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Pafos 1.0 and 0.7 (clean sheets: 6).

Across 21 head-to-head games the record reads 6–6–9 (wins–draws–losses) from Apollon's side.

Those 21 games averaged 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-29) ended Apollon 0–2 Pafos.

Apollon sit 2nd on 15 pts after 7 games, Pafos 5th on 12 pts.

Nito explains: Apollon vs Pafos

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Apollon vs Pafos mean?

The best prices are 2.53 for a Apollon win, 3.30 for a draw and 2.76 for a Pafos win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.53 returns 25.30 if Apollon win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 6.1% removed) that is 37% Apollon, 29% draw and 34% Pafos.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Apollon or Draw" mean?

It wins if Apollon win or draw; it loses only if Pafos win. At 1.39, the price implies a 72% chance; Nito's data rates it at 76%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Apollon and Pafos matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Apollon's last 10 matches and 30% of Pafos's last 10. In their 21 recorded meetings it was 43%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Apollon reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Pafos in 30% of their last 10. Their 21 meetings averaged 2.0 goals (29% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWDD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Apollon, last 5: 3 W · 2 D · 0 L (14 scored, 5 conceded). Pafos, last 5: 1 W · 3 D · 1 L (5 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Apollon and Pafos stand in the table?

Apollon are 2nd with 15 points from 7 games. Pafos are 5th with 12 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

Apollon vs Pafos: questions & answers

Who will win Apollon vs Pafos?

Our pick is Double chance: Apollon or Draw with 76% confidence (best price 1.39). Bookmaker odds imply Apollon 37%, draw 29%, Pafos 34%.

Will both teams score in Apollon vs Pafos?

Both teams scored in 43% of their 21 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Apollon's matches and 30% of Pafos's.

What are the odds for Apollon vs Pafos?

Odds: Apollon 2.53, draw 3.30, Pafos 2.76. Our pick Double chance: Apollon or Draw is available at 1.39.

When is the Apollon vs Pafos kick-off?

Apollon vs Pafos kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2) at Alphamega Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between Apollon and Pafos?

21 meetings: Apollon 6 wins, 6 draws, Pafos 9 wins. Those 21 games averaged 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

Other Cypriot First Division matches on 31 Oct

All Cypriot First Division fixtures

Apollon vs Pafos prediction & odds

Apollon

Pafos

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds