Home / England: EFL Cup / Fleetwood vs Arsenal
EFL CupPen. 5–3

Fleetwood vs Arsenal result, stats & H2H

Fleetwood

1–1
Pen. 5–3
Fleetwood win 5–3 on penalties

Arsenal

27/10/2026 22:00 · Highbury Stadium

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

Penalties · kick-by-kick not in the feed
Fleetwood5
Arsenal3
1st half1 - 0
1-0A. Loupalo-Bi21′
2nd half0 - 1
46′B. White
46′M. Odegaard
50′1-1V. Gyokeres
C. McLean54′
A. Murphy66′
R. Coughlan66′
66′E. Eze
J. Batty74′
A. Cannon74′
82′E. Konsa
82′Bruno Guimaraes
W. Davies82′
85′M. Dowman
A. Cannon86′

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 3.5Over 3.5
1.85Lost

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
EFL Cup
Kick-off
Stadium
Highbury Stadium
Capacity
5,327
City
Fleetwood, Lancashire

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 3.5Over 3.575%Confidence1.85lost

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.85 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+21 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 50% of Fleetwood's last 5 and 60% of Arsenal's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Fleetwood matches 2.8, Arsenal matches 2.9

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreYes
Confidence60%
Price2.65Won

We rate Both teams to score: Yes at 60% — the price of 2.65 implies only 38%.

Total goals 3.5Over 3.5High confidence
Confidence75%
Price1.85Lost

Over 3.5 goals: our confidence is 75%, 21 points above the 54% the best price of 1.85 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

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About this match

Fleetwood vs Arsenal preview

Fleetwood and Arsenal met in the EFL Cup on Tue, 27 Oct 2026, and the match finished 1–1.