Bournemouth vs Aston Villa result, stats & H2H

Bournemouth

Aston Villa
Key events
Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute
Nito’s pick
?
Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price
Match information
Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee
Match information
- Competition
EFL Cup- Kick-off
Our pick: why Nito chose it
?
Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.The pick, the price and the numbers behind it
Why?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.- Best price 2.00 means bookmakers give it 50%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+15 pts)
- Bournemouth won 4 of their last 5 (goals 12–5); Aston Villa won 4 (goals 14–4)
- In 14 meetings Bournemouth won 5, Aston Villa won 6, 3 were drawn
All our picks for this match
?
Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.Every market where our confidence is at least 60%
Our picks for this match
Double chance: Draw or Aston Villa: our confidence is 63%, 3 points above the 60% the best price of 1.66 implies.
Asian handicap: Bournemouth -0.25: our confidence is 65%, 15 points above the 50% the best price of 2.00 implies.
Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa preview
Final score in the EFL Cup on Wed, 28 Oct 2026: Bournemouth 3–0 Aston Villa.

Comments
What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.