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EFL CupFT

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa result, stats & H2H

Bournemouth

3–0
FT

Aston Villa

28/10/2026 21:45

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap -0.25Bournemouth -0.25
2.00Won

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Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
EFL Cup
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap -0.25Bournemouth -0.2565%Confidence2.00won

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 2.00 means bookmakers give it 50%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+15 pts)
  • Bournemouth won 4 of their last 5 (goals 12–5); Aston Villa won 4 (goals 14–4)
  • In 14 meetings Bournemouth won 5, Aston Villa won 6, 3 were drawn

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Aston Villa
Confidence63%
Price1.66Lost

Double chance: Draw or Aston Villa: our confidence is 63%, 3 points above the 60% the best price of 1.66 implies.

Asian handicap -0.25Bournemouth -0.25High confidence
Confidence65%
Price2.00Won

Asian handicap: Bournemouth -0.25: our confidence is 65%, 15 points above the 50% the best price of 2.00 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

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About this match

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa preview

Final score in the EFL Cup on Wed, 28 Oct 2026: Bournemouth 3–0 Aston Villa.