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Atalanta vs Parma prediction & odds

Atalanta

21:45

Kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 21:45

Parma

Odds 1X2

1Atalanta1.52XDraw4.702Parma6.20

Gewiss Stadium

AtalantavsParma

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie A
Kick-off: Mon 2 Nov 21:45 EET
Stadium: Gewiss Stadium
Capacity: 24,950
City: Bergamo

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Atalanta64%1.52

Draw21%4.70

Parma16%6.20

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.2%

Atalanta1.5264%Draw4.7021%Parma6.2016%

Double chance

Atalanta or Draw1.09Atalanta or Parma1.17Draw or Parma2.45

Total goals 2.5margin 3.7%

Over 2.51.6558%Under 2.52.3242%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 14.7%

Atalanta1.9445%Draw2.3138%Parma5.0317%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Atalanta1.9450%Parma1.9450%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

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Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

16Atalanta wins

11Draws

13Parma wins

Last matches: Atalanta

29.10.26Serie AFiorentinaAtalanta22D
25.10.26Serie AAtalantaFrosinone44D
22.10.26Conference LeagueAjaxAtalanta20L
18.10.26Serie AAC MilanAtalanta32L
15.10.26Conference LeagueAtalantaPafos31W

Last matches: Parma

28.10.26Serie AParmaUdinese00D
24.10.26Serie ALazioParma21L
19.10.26Serie AParmaTorino03L
10.10.26Serie AInterParma30L
20.09.26Serie AParmaGenoa21W

Head-to-head matches

25.01.26Serie AAtalantaParma40W
30.08.25Serie AParmaAtalanta11D
25.05.25Serie AAtalantaParma23L
23.11.24Serie AParmaAtalanta13W
09.05.21Serie AParmaAtalanta25W
06.01.21Serie AAtalantaParma30W

2.85Avg goals55%Both scored55%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Atalanta vs Parma: head-to-head record

40 meetings since 1993: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

16Atalanta wins

11Draws

13Parma wins

64:50Goals (Atalanta : Parma)

2.85Goals per match

55%BTTS

80%Over 1.5

55%Over 2.5

35%Over 3.5

Atalanta at home: 10-5-534:18 goals in 20 games
Parma at home: 8-6-632:30 goals in 20 games
Atalanta's biggest win: 5–0Atalanta 5–0 Parma, 6 Jan 2020
Parma's biggest win: 0–4Atalanta 0–4 Parma, 16 Feb 2014

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2026	Serie A	Atalanta	4–0	Parma
30 Aug 2025	Serie A	Parma	1–1	Atalanta
25 May 2025	Serie A	Atalanta	2–3	Parma
23 Nov 2024	Serie A	Parma	1–3	Atalanta
9 May 2021	Serie A	Parma	2–5	Atalanta
6 Jan 2021	Serie A	Atalanta	3–0	Parma
28 Jul 2020	Serie A	Parma	1–2	Atalanta
6 Jan 2020	Serie A	Atalanta	5–0	Parma
31 Mar 2019	Serie A	Parma	1–3	Atalanta
27 Oct 2018	Serie A	Atalanta	3–0	Parma
8 Mar 2015	Serie A	Parma	0–0	Atalanta
19 Oct 2014	Serie A	Atalanta	1–0	Parma
16 Feb 2014	Serie A	Atalanta	0–4	Parma
25 Sept 2013	Serie A	Parma	4–3	Atalanta
5 May 2013	Serie A	Parma	2–0	Atalanta
8 Dec 2012	Serie A	Atalanta	2–1	Parma
11 Mar 2012	Serie A	Atalanta	1–1	Parma
23 Oct 2011	Serie A	Parma	1–2	Atalanta
14 Mar 2010	Serie A	Parma	1–0	Atalanta
25 Oct 2009	Serie A	Atalanta	3–1	Parma

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Atalanta1W 2D 2L · goals 11–12

D29.10Serie AAFiorentina2–2
D25.10Serie AHFrosinone4–4
L22.10Conference LeagueAAjax0–2
L18.10Serie AAAC Milan2–3
W15.10Conference LeagueHPafos3–1

Parma1W 1D 3L · goals 3–9

D28.10Serie AHUdinese0–0
L24.10Serie AALazio1–2
L19.10Serie AHTorino0–3
L10.10Serie AAInter0–3
W20.09Serie AHGenoa2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

AtalantaParma

1.7Goals scored per game0.5

1.9Goals conceded per game1.7

70%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

1Clean sheets1

20%Failed to score60%

3-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-0-4

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
11	Bologna	9	0	11	WWLWD
12	Atalanta	9	-1	11	DDLWL
13	Genoa	9	-5	10	WWLWL
18	Fiorentina	9	-10	5	DLLLD
19	Parma	9	-10	5	DLLLW
20	Venezia	9	-13	3	LLWLL

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About this match

Atalanta vs Parma preview

On Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 21:45, Atalanta take on Parma in the Serie A.

Form · last 5 matches

AtalantaDDLLW11 scored · 12 conceded

ParmaDLLLW3 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

AtalantaParma

1.7Goals scored per game0.5

1.9Goals conceded per game1.7

70%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

1Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

16Atalanta wins

11Draws

13Parma wins

40 meetings · 2.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 55%

What's at stake

Atalanta12th11 pts · 9 played

Parma19th5 pts · 9 played

Atalanta lead by 6 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Gewiss Stadium.

The best available prices are 1.52 on Atalanta, 4.70 on the draw and 6.20 on Parma, which is roughly 64%, 21% and 16% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Recent form over the last 5: Atalanta DDLLW (goals 11–12), Parma DLLLW (goals 3–9).

Both teams scored in 70% of Atalanta's recent games and 40% of Parma's; over 2.5 goals landed in 70% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Atalanta average 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Parma 0.5 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 40 head-to-head games the record reads 16–11–13 (wins–draws–losses) from Atalanta's side.

Those 40 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-25) ended Atalanta 4–0 Parma.

Atalanta sit 12th on 11 pts after 9 games, Parma 19th on 5 pts.

Nito explains: Atalanta vs Parma

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Atalanta vs Parma mean?

The best prices are 1.52 for a Atalanta win, 4.70 for a draw and 6.20 for a Parma win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.52 returns 15.20 if Atalanta win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.2% removed) that is 64% Atalanta, 21% draw and 16% Parma.

How often do Atalanta and Parma matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Atalanta's last 10 matches and 40% of Parma's last 10. In their 40 recorded meetings it was 55%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Atalanta reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Parma in 50% of their last 10. Their 40 meetings averaged 2.9 goals (55% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DDLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Atalanta, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (11 scored, 12 conceded). Parma, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (3 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Atalanta and Parma stand in the table?

Atalanta are 12th with 11 points from 9 games. Parma are 19th with 5 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

Atalanta vs Parma: questions & answers

Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?

Bookmaker odds imply Atalanta 64%, draw 21%, Parma 16%.

Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Parma?

Both teams scored in 55% of their 40 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Atalanta's matches and 40% of Parma's.

What are the odds for Atalanta vs Parma?

Odds: Atalanta 1.52, draw 4.70, Parma 6.20.

When is the Atalanta vs Parma kick-off?

Atalanta vs Parma kicks off on Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 21:45 (GMT+2) at Gewiss Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Parma?

40 meetings: Atalanta 16 wins, 11 draws, Parma 13 wins. Those 40 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.

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Atalanta vs Parma prediction & odds

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