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Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction & odds

Ath Bilbao

22:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 22:00

Real Sociedad

Odds 1X2

1Ath Bilbao2.19XDraw3.702Real Sociedad3.34

Estadio de San Mamés

Ath BilbaovsReal Sociedad

Nito’s pick1.73

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Real Sociedad

1.73

65%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: La Liga
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 22:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio de San Mamés
Capacity: 53,289
City: Bilbao

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Real Sociedad65%Confidence1.73Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.73 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+7 pts)
Real Sociedad won 4 of their last 5 (goals 17–6); Ath Bilbao won 2 (goals 11–4)
In the table Real Sociedad are 5th with 19 pts, Ath Bilbao 8th with 12 pts
In 50 meetings Real Sociedad won 19, Ath Bilbao won 18, 13 were drawn

Best price 1.73 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+7 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Real SociedadHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.73

We rate Double chance: Draw or Real Sociedad at 65% — the price of 1.73 implies only 58%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.20

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 2.20 implies only 45%.

Asian handicap -0.5Real Sociedad +0.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.79

We rate Asian handicap: Real Sociedad +0.5 at 62% — the price of 1.79 implies only 56%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Ath Bilbao44%2.19

Draw26%3.70

Real Sociedad29%3.34

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.6%

Ath Bilbao2.1944%Draw3.7026%Real Sociedad3.3429%

Double chance

Ath Bilbao or Draw1.28Ath Bilbao or Real Sociedad1.23Draw or Real Sociedad1.73

Total goals 2.5margin 3.6%

Over 2.51.7256%Under 2.52.2044%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 15.0%

Ath Bilbao2.4835%Draw2.1540%Real Sociedad3.5524%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Ath Bilbao1.9649%Real Sociedad1.9251%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

18Ath Bilbao wins

13Draws

19Real Sociedad wins

Last matches: Ath Bilbao

29.10.26Spanish CupPratAth Bilbao16W
25.10.26La LigaAth BilbaoGetafe40W
21.10.26La LigaLevanteAth Bilbao31L
17.10.26La LigaValenciaAth Bilbao00D
19.09.26La LigaAth BilbaoAlaves00D

Last matches: Real Sociedad

25.10.26La LigaReal SociedadLevante21W
22.10.26Europa LeagueLillestromReal Sociedad06W
18.10.26La LigaMalagaReal Sociedad25W
15.10.26Europa LeagueRoyale Union SGReal Sociedad11D
11.10.26La LigaReal SociedadDep. La Coruna32W

Head-to-head matches

04.03.26Spanish CupReal SociedadAth Bilbao10L
11.02.26Spanish CupAth BilbaoReal Sociedad01L
01.02.26La LigaAth BilbaoReal Sociedad11D
01.11.25La LigaReal SociedadAth Bilbao32L
04.05.25PrimeraReal SociedadAth Bilbao00D
24.11.24PrimeraAth BilbaoReal Sociedad10W

2.64Avg goals54%Both scored46%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1999: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

18Ath Bilbao wins

13Draws

19Real Sociedad wins

67:65Goals (Ath Bilbao : Real Sociedad)

2.64Goals per match

54%BTTS

82%Over 1.5

46%Over 2.5

26%Over 3.5

Ath Bilbao at home: 13-6-638:22 goals in 25 games
Real Sociedad at home: 13-7-543:29 goals in 25 games
Ath Bilbao's biggest win: 4–0Ath Bilbao 4–0 Real Sociedad, 20 Feb 2022
Real Sociedad's biggest win: 3–0Real Sociedad 3–0 Ath Bilbao, 30 Sept 2023

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
4 Mar 2026	Spanish Cup	Real Sociedad	1–0	Ath Bilbao
11 Feb 2026	Spanish Cup	Ath Bilbao	0–1	Real Sociedad
1 Feb 2026	La Liga	Ath Bilbao	1–1	Real Sociedad
1 Nov 2025	La Liga	Real Sociedad	3–2	Ath Bilbao
4 May 2025	Primera	Real Sociedad	0–0	Ath Bilbao
24 Nov 2024	Primera	Ath Bilbao	1–0	Real Sociedad
13 Jan 2024	Primera	Ath Bilbao	2–1	Real Sociedad
30 Sept 2023	Primera	Real Sociedad	3–0	Ath Bilbao
15 Apr 2023	Primera	Ath Bilbao	2–0	Real Sociedad
14 Jan 2023	Primera	Real Sociedad	3–1	Ath Bilbao
20 Feb 2022	Primera	Ath Bilbao	4–0	Real Sociedad
31 Oct 2021	Primera	Real Sociedad	1–1	Ath Bilbao
7 Apr 2021	Primera	Real Sociedad	1–1	Ath Bilbao
31 Dec 2020	Primera	Ath Bilbao	0–1	Real Sociedad
9 Feb 2020	Primera	Real Sociedad	2–1	Ath Bilbao
30 Aug 2019	Primera	Ath Bilbao	2–0	Real Sociedad
2 Feb 2019	Primera	Real Sociedad	2–1	Ath Bilbao
5 Oct 2018	Primera	Ath Bilbao	1–3	Real Sociedad
28 Apr 2018	Primera	Real Sociedad	3–1	Ath Bilbao
16 Dec 2017	Primera	Ath Bilbao	0–0	Real Sociedad

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Ath Bilbao2W 2D 1L · goals 11–4

W29.10Spanish CupAPrat6–1
W25.10La LigaHGetafe4–0
L21.10La LigaALevante1–3
D17.10La LigaAValencia0–0
D19.09La LigaHAlaves0–0

Real Sociedad4W 1D 0L · goals 17–6

W25.10La LigaHLevante2–1
W22.10Europa LeagueALillestrom6–0
W18.10La LigaAMalaga5–2
D15.10Europa LeagueARoyale Union SG1–1
W11.10La LigaHDep. La Coruna3–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Ath BilbaoReal Sociedad

1.8Goals scored per game2.4

1.0Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

5Clean sheets2

30%Failed to score20%

2-2-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-1-0

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Ath BilbaoReal Sociedad

La Liga 2026/2027 · 6 gamesLa Liga 2025/2026 · 38 games

1.2Goals scored1.6

1.0Goals conceded1.6

6.2Corners5.5

15.7Shots12.3

52%Possession51%

2.0Yellow cards2.3

50%Clean sheets8%

33%Failed to score13%

1-2-1Home / away record (W-D-L)3-8-8

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera División

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Betis	10	+2	20	DLWDW
5	Real Sociedad	10	+1	19	WWWWL
6	Sevilla	10	0	17	WLDLW
7	Alaves	10	+3	12	DLLDL
8	Ath Bilbao	9	+3	12	WLDD
9	Celta Vigo	10	+3	12	DWDWD

About this match

Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad preview

Ath Bilbao host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 22:00.

Form · last 5 matches

Ath BilbaoWWLDD11 scored · 4 conceded

Real SociedadWWWDW17 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Ath BilbaoReal Sociedad

1.8Goals scored per game2.4

1.0Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

5Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

18Ath Bilbao wins

13Draws

19Real Sociedad wins

50 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 54%

What's at stake

Ath Bilbao8th12 pts · 9 played

Real Sociedad5th19 pts · 10 played

Real Sociedad lead by 7 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Real Sociedad65%Confidence1.73Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio de San Mamés.

The best available prices are 2.19 on Ath Bilbao, 3.70 on the draw and 3.34 on Real Sociedad, which is roughly 44%, 26% and 29% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Double chance: Draw or Real Sociedad: 65% confidence, priced at 1.73.

We also have Asian handicap: Real Sociedad +0.5 (62%, 1.79) and Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.20).

Recent form over the last 5: Ath Bilbao WWLDD (goals 11–4), Real Sociedad WWWDW (goals 17–6).

Both teams scored in 40% of Ath Bilbao's recent games and 70% of Real Sociedad's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 80% respectively.

Per game, Ath Bilbao average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Real Sociedad 2.4 and 1.5 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 50 head-to-head games the record reads 18–13–19 (wins–draws–losses) from Ath Bilbao's side.

Those 50 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-04) ended Real Sociedad 1–0 Ath Bilbao.

Ath Bilbao sit 8th on 12 pts after 9 games, Real Sociedad 5th on 19 pts.

Nito explains: Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad mean?

The best prices are 2.19 for a Ath Bilbao win, 3.70 for a draw and 3.34 for a Real Sociedad win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.19 returns 21.90 if Ath Bilbao win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.6% removed) that is 44% Ath Bilbao, 26% draw and 29% Real Sociedad.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Real Sociedad" mean?

It wins if Real Sociedad win or draw; it loses only if Ath Bilbao win. At 1.73, the price implies a 58% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Ath Bilbao and Real Sociedad matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Ath Bilbao's last 10 matches and 70% of Real Sociedad's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 54%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Ath Bilbao reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Real Sociedad in 80% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (46% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLDD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Ath Bilbao, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (11 scored, 4 conceded). Real Sociedad, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (17 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Ath Bilbao and Real Sociedad stand in the table?

Ath Bilbao are 8th with 12 points from 9 games. Real Sociedad are 5th with 19 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 7 points.

Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: questions & answers

Who will win Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Real Sociedad with 65% confidence (best price 1.73). Bookmaker odds imply Ath Bilbao 44%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad 29%.

Will both teams score in Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?

Both teams scored in 54% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Ath Bilbao's matches and 70% of Real Sociedad's.

What are the odds for Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?

Odds: Ath Bilbao 2.19, draw 3.70, Real Sociedad 3.34. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Real Sociedad is available at 1.73.

When is the Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad kick-off?

Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio de San Mamés.

What is the head-to-head record between Ath Bilbao and Real Sociedad?

50 meetings: Ath Bilbao 18 wins, 13 draws, Real Sociedad 19 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.

Other La Liga matches on 1 Nov

All La Liga fixtures

Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction & odds

Ath Bilbao

Real Sociedad

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds