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Elche vs Valencia prediction & odds

Elche

19:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 19:30

Valencia

Odds 1X2

1Elche2.38XDraw3.432Valencia3.20

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

ElchevsValencia

Nito’s pick1.33

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceElche or Draw

1.33

74%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: La Liga
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 19:30 EET
Stadium: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Capacity: 31,388
City: Elche

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceElche or Draw74%Confidence1.33Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.33 means bookmakers give it 75%; Nito's confidence is 74% (-1 pts)
Elche won 3 of their last 5 (goals 9–2); Valencia won 1 (goals 6–7)
In the table Elche are 15th with 10 pts, Valencia 19th with 6 pts
In 12 meetings Elche won 3, Valencia won 7, 2 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceElche or DrawHigh confidence

Confidence74%

Indicative price1.33

Double chance: Elche or Draw: our confidence is 74% at a best price of 1.33.

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price2.10

We rate Both teams to score: No at 65% — the price of 2.10 implies only 48%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.93

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 62% — the price of 1.93 implies only 52%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Elche41%2.38

Draw28%3.43

Valencia31%3.20

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.4%

Elche2.3841%Draw3.4328%Valencia3.2031%

Double chance

Elche or Draw1.33Elche or Valencia1.28Draw or Valencia1.57

1st-half resultmargin 15.1%

Elche2.7432%Draw2.0842%Valencia3.2826%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Elche1.9749%Valencia1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

3Elche wins

2Draws

7Valencia wins

Last matches: Elche

27.10.26Spanish CupPinatarElche13W
24.10.26La LigaRayo VallecanoElche03W
17.10.26La LigaVillarrealElche00D
11.10.26La LigaElcheCelta Vigo00D
18.09.26La LigaEspanyolElche13W

Last matches: Valencia

24.10.26La LigaValenciaVillarreal12L
17.10.26La LigaValenciaAth Bilbao00D
11.10.26La LigaRacing SantanderValencia22D
20.09.26La LigaValenciaReal Sociedad23L
15.09.26La LigaAlavesValencia01W

Head-to-head matches

11.04.26La LigaElcheValencia10W
10.01.26La LigaValenciaElche11D
23.04.23PrimeraElcheValencia02L
15.10.22PrimeraValenciaElche22D
19.03.22PrimeraElcheValencia01L
11.12.21PrimeraValenciaElche21L

2.58Avg goals58%Both scored58%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Elche vs Valencia: head-to-head record

12 meetings since 2013: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

3Elche wins

2Draws

7Valencia wins

11:20Goals (Elche : Valencia)

2.58Goals per match

58%BTTS

75%Over 1.5

58%Over 2.5

25%Over 3.5

Elche at home: 3-0-35:9 goals in 6 games
Valencia at home: 4-2-011:6 goals in 6 games
Elche's biggest win: 1–0Elche 1–0 Valencia, 11 Apr 2026
Valencia's biggest win: 0–4Elche 0–4 Valencia, 20 Mar 2015

Meetings (12 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	La Liga	Elche	1–0	Valencia
10 Jan 2026	La Liga	Valencia	1–1	Elche
23 Apr 2023	Primera	Elche	0–2	Valencia
15 Oct 2022	Primera	Valencia	2–2	Elche
19 Mar 2022	Primera	Elche	0–1	Valencia
11 Dec 2021	Primera	Valencia	2–1	Elche
30 Jan 2021	Primera	Valencia	1–0	Elche
23 Oct 2020	Primera	Elche	2–1	Valencia
20 Mar 2015	Primera	Elche	0–4	Valencia
25 Oct 2014	Primera	Valencia	3–1	Elche
13 Apr 2014	Primera	Valencia	2–1	Elche
24 Nov 2013	Primera	Elche	2–1	Valencia

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Elche3W 2D 0L · goals 9–2

W27.10Spanish CupAPinatar3–1
W24.10La LigaARayo Vallecano3–0
D17.10La LigaAVillarreal0–0
D11.10La LigaHCelta Vigo0–0
W18.09La LigaAEspanyol3–1

Valencia1W 2D 2L · goals 6–7

L24.10La LigaHVillarreal1–2
D17.10La LigaHAth Bilbao0–0
D11.10La LigaARacing Santander2–2
L20.09La LigaHReal Sociedad2–3
W15.09La LigaAAlaves1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ElcheValencia

1.6Goals scored per game0.7

1.7Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets3

30%Failed to score50%

0-1-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

ElcheValencia

La Liga 2025/2026 · 37 gamesLa Liga 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.3Goals scored0.6

1.5Goals conceded1.9

3.8Corners4.4

10.8Shots10.6

58%Possession47%

2.1Yellow cards2.0

22%Clean sheets29%

11%Failed to score57%

9-8-2Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera División

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
14	Levante	10	-3	10	LWDDL
15	Elche	10	-3	10	WDDWL
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	-8	9	LDDW
18	Espanyol	10	-2	8	LLDLL
19	Valencia	10	-10	6	LDDLW
20	Malaga	10	-12	5	DLDLL

About this match

Elche vs Valencia preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 19:30, Elche take on Valencia in the La Liga.

Form · last 5 matches

ElcheWWDDW9 scored · 2 conceded

ValenciaLDDLW6 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ElcheValencia

1.6Goals scored per game0.7

1.7Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

3Elche wins

2Draws

7Valencia wins

12 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 58%

What's at stake

Elche15th10 pts · 10 played

Valencia19th6 pts · 10 played

Elche lead by 4 pts

Our pick

Double chanceElche or Draw74%Confidence1.33Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.

The best available prices are 2.38 on Elche, 3.43 on the draw and 3.20 on Valencia, which is roughly 41%, 28% and 31% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Double chance: Elche or Draw is our top pick for this game (74% confidence, best price 1.33).

We also have Both teams to score: No (65%, 2.10) and Under 2.5 goals (62%, 1.93).

Recent form over the last 5: Elche WWDDW (goals 9–2), Valencia LDDLW (goals 6–7).

Both teams scored in 60% of Elche's recent games and 40% of Valencia's; over 2.5 goals landed in 70% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Elche average 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Valencia 0.7 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 12 head-to-head games the record reads 3–2–7 (wins–draws–losses) from Elche's side.

Those 12 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-11) ended Elche 1–0 Valencia.

Elche sit 15th on 10 pts after 10 games, Valencia 19th on 6 pts.

Nito explains: Elche vs Valencia

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Elche vs Valencia mean?

The best prices are 2.38 for a Elche win, 3.43 for a draw and 3.20 for a Valencia win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.38 returns 23.80 if Elche win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.4% removed) that is 41% Elche, 28% draw and 31% Valencia.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Elche or Draw" mean?

It wins if Elche win or draw; it loses only if Valencia win. At 1.33, the price implies a 75% chance; Nito's data rates it at 74%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Elche and Valencia matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Elche's last 10 matches and 40% of Valencia's last 10. In their 12 recorded meetings it was 58%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Elche reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Valencia in 50% of their last 10. Their 12 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (58% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWDDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Elche, last 5: 3 W · 2 D · 0 L (9 scored, 2 conceded). Valencia, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (6 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Elche and Valencia stand in the table?

Elche are 15th with 10 points from 10 games. Valencia are 19th with 6 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Elche vs Valencia: questions & answers

Who will win Elche vs Valencia?

Our pick is Double chance: Elche or Draw with 74% confidence (best price 1.33). Bookmaker odds imply Elche 41%, draw 28%, Valencia 31%.

Will both teams score in Elche vs Valencia?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (65% confidence, 2.10). Both teams scored in 58% of their 12 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Elche's matches and 40% of Valencia's.

What are the odds for Elche vs Valencia?

Odds: Elche 2.38, draw 3.43, Valencia 3.20. Our pick Double chance: Elche or Draw is available at 1.33.

When is the Elche vs Valencia kick-off?

Elche vs Valencia kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 19:30 (GMT+2) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.

What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Valencia?

12 meetings: Elche 3 wins, 2 draws, Valencia 7 wins. Those 12 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

Other La Liga matches on 1 Nov

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Elche vs Valencia prediction & odds

Elche

Valencia

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds