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Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction & odds

Augsburg

16:30

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 16:30

Freiburg

Odds 1X2

1Augsburg3.00XDraw3.802Freiburg2.30

AugsburgvsFreiburg

Nito’s pick1.32

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Freiburg

1.32

73%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 73% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 16:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Freiburg73%Confidence1.32Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.32 means bookmakers give it 76%; Nito's confidence is 73% (-3 pts)
Freiburg won 2 of their last 5 (goals 8–12); Augsburg won 1 (goals 12–12)
In the table Freiburg are 3rd with 13 pts, Augsburg 9th with 9 pts
In 36 meetings Freiburg won 17, Augsburg won 9, 10 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 73% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Augsburg32%3.00

Draw25%3.80

Freiburg42%2.29

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.1%

Augsburg3.0032%Draw3.8026%Freiburg2.3042%

Double chance

Augsburg or Draw1.71Augsburg or Freiburg1.20Draw or Freiburg1.32

Total goals 2.5margin 5.0%

Over 2.51.4964%Under 2.52.6436%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.4%

Augsburg +0.251.9051%Freiburg -0.252.0149%

1st-half resultmargin 3.9%

Augsburg3.4128%Draw2.6137%Freiburg2.7635%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Augsburg1.9550%Freiburg1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

9Augsburg wins

10Draws

17Freiburg wins

Last matches: Augsburg

27.10.26DFB-PokalGrossaspachAugsburg24W
24.10.26BundesligaAugsburgUnion Berlin11D
17.10.26BundesligaElversbergAugsburg43L
10.10.26BundesligaAugsburgBayern Munich22D
19.09.26BundesligaWerder BremenAugsburg32L

Last matches: Freiburg

28.10.26DFB-PokalFreiburgWolfsburg32W

Augsburg vs Freiburg: head-to-head record

36 meetings since 2006: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

9Augsburg wins

10Draws

17Freiburg wins

42:59Goals (Augsburg : Freiburg)

2.81Goals per match

56%BTTS

86%Over 1.5

47%Over 2.5

31%Over 3.5

Augsburg at home: 6-9-327:24 goals in 18 games
Freiburg at home: 14-1-335:15 goals in 18 games
Augsburg's biggest win: 4–1Augsburg 4–1 Freiburg, 30 Sept 2018
Freiburg's biggest win: 0–4Augsburg 0–4 Freiburg, 6 Aug 2022

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Bundesliga	Augsburg	2–2	Freiburg
23 Aug 2025	Bundesliga	Freiburg	1–3

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Augsburg1W 2D 2L · goals 12–12

W27.10DFB-PokalAGrossaspach4–2
D24.10BundesligaHUnion Berlin1–1
L17.10BundesligaAElversberg3–4
D10.10BundesligaHBayern Munich2–2
L19.09BundesligaAWerder Bremen2–3

Freiburg2W 0D 3L · goals 8–12

W28.10DFB-PokalHWolfsburg3–2
L25.10BundesligaHBayern Munich1–3
L22.10Conference LeagueAMonaco0–3
L18.10BundesligaABayer Leverkusen

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

AugsburgFreiburg

2.3Goals scored per game2.2

1.9Goals conceded per game1.6

70%Both teams scored70%

80%Over 2.5 goals90%

2Clean sheets2

10%Failed to score10%

1-3-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

AugsburgFreiburg

Bundesliga 2025/2026 · 35 gamesBundesliga 2026/2027 · 5 games

1.3Goals scored2.8

1.8Goals conceded0.8

4.5Corners5.6

13.1Shots17.2

43%Possession52%

2.4Yellow cards1.8

14%Clean sheets40%

26%Failed to score0%

7-5-5Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Dortmund	7	+8	17	WDDWW
3	Freiburg	7	+7	13	LLWDW
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	+4	13	LWWWD
8	Elversberg	7	-3	10	LWLDL
9	Augsburg	7	+4	9	DLDLD
10	Hoffenheim	7	0

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Augsburg

✕J. BahRed Card
✕N. BanksKnee Injury
✕C. BrackelmannConcussion
✕S. MounieInjury

Freiburg

?P. TreuAnkle Injury
?B. YilmazLacking Match Fitness

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Augsburg vs Freiburg preview

Bundesliga fixture: Augsburg welcome Freiburg on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (16:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

AugsburgWDLDL12 scored · 12 conceded

FreiburgWLLLW8 scored · 12 conceded

Key facts · last 5

AugsburgFreiburg

2.3Goals scored per game2.2

1.9Goals conceded per game1.6

70%Both teams scored70%

80%Over 2.5 goals90%

2Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

9Augsburg wins

10Draws

17Freiburg wins

36 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 56%

What's at stake

Augsburg9th9 pts · 7 played

Nito explains: Augsburg vs Freiburg

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Augsburg vs Freiburg mean?

The best prices are 3.00 for a Augsburg win, 3.80 for a draw and 2.29 for a Freiburg win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.00 returns 30.00 if Augsburg win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.3% removed) that is 32% Augsburg, 25% draw and 42% Freiburg.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Freiburg" mean?

It wins if Freiburg win or draw; it loses only if Augsburg win. At 1.32, the price implies a 76% chance; Nito's data rates it at 73%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Augsburg and Freiburg matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Augsburg's last 10 matches and 70% of Freiburg's last 10. In their 36 recorded meetings it was 56%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Augsburg reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Freiburg in 90% of their last 10. Their 36 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (47% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDLDL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Augsburg, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (12 scored, 12 conceded). Freiburg, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (8 scored, 12 conceded).

Where do Augsburg and Freiburg stand in the table?

Augsburg are 9th with 9 points from 7 games. Freiburg are 3rd with 13 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Augsburg vs Freiburg: questions & answers

Who will win Augsburg vs Freiburg?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Freiburg with 73% confidence (best price 1.32). Bookmaker odds imply Augsburg 32%, draw 25%, Freiburg 42%.

Will both teams score in Augsburg vs Freiburg?

Both teams scored in 56% of their 36 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Augsburg's matches and 70% of Freiburg's.

What are the odds for Augsburg vs Freiburg?

Odds: Augsburg 3.00, draw 3.80, Freiburg 2.29. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Freiburg is available at 1.32.

When is the Augsburg vs Freiburg kick-off?

Augsburg vs Freiburg kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 16:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Augsburg and Freiburg?

36 meetings: Augsburg 9 wins, 10 draws, Freiburg 17 wins. Those 36 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

Other Bundesliga matches on 31 Oct

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Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction & odds

Augsburg

Freiburg

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds