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Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction & odds

Bayer Leverkusen

22:00

Kick-off Thu 5 Nov, 22:00

Marseille

Odds 1X2

1Bayer Leverkusen1.43XDraw5.142Marseille6.61

BayArena

Bayer LeverkusenvsMarseille

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Europa League
Kick-off: Thu 5 Nov 22:00 EET
Stadium: BayArena
Capacity: 30,210
City: Leverkusen

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Bayer Leverkusen67%1.43

Draw19%5.14

Marseille14%6.61

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.5%

Bayer Leverkusen1.4367%Draw5.1419%Marseille6.6114%

Double chance

Bayer Leverkusen or Draw1.07Bayer Leverkusen or Marseille1.13Draw or Marseille2.72

Total goals 2.5margin 5.5%

Over 2.51.4764%Under 2.52.6736%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 14.9%

Bayer Leverkusen1.8248%Draw2.5235%Marseille4.9418%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.7%

Bayer Leverkusen1.9150%Marseille1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Bayer Leverkusen

28.10.26DFB-PokalBayer LeverkusenNurnberg52W
25.10.26BundesligaHoffenheimBayer Leverkusen30L
22.10.26Europa LeagueOFI CreteBayer Leverkusen02W
18.10.26BundesligaBayer LeverkusenFreiburg21W
15.10.26Europa LeagueLech PoznanBayer Leverkusen04W

Last matches: Marseille

25.10.26Ligue 1MarseilleLe Havre43W
22.10.26Europa LeagueSturm GrazMarseille10L
18.10.26Ligue 1AngersMarseille25W
15.10.26Europa LeagueMarseilleOlympiacos Piraeus01L
11.10.26Ligue 1TroyesMarseille02W

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Bayer Leverkusen4W 0D 1L · goals 13–6

W28.10DFB-PokalHNurnberg5–2
L25.10BundesligaAHoffenheim0–3
W22.10Europa LeagueAOFI Crete2–0
W18.10BundesligaHFreiburg2–1
W15.10Europa LeagueALech Poznan4–0

Marseille3W 0D 2L · goals 11–7

W25.10Ligue 1HLe Havre4–3
L22.10Europa LeagueASturm Graz0–1
W18.10Ligue 1AAngers5–2
L15.10Europa LeagueHOlympiacos Piraeus0–1
W11.10Ligue 1ATroyes2–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Bayer LeverkusenMarseille

2.7Goals scored per game1.5

1.1Goals conceded per game1.9

40%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

5Clean sheets1

10%Failed to score40%

5-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-0-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Bayer LeverkusenMarseille

Bundesliga 2026/2027 · 5 gamesLigue 1 2026/2027 · 3 games

2.8Goals scored2.0

1.6Goals conceded1.7

8.0Corners5.0

21.2Shots13.7

59%Possession64%

1.6Yellow cards0.3

40%Clean sheets33%

0%Failed to score33%

2-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)0-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · UEFA Europa League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Benfica	3	+8	9	WWW
2	Bayer Leverkusen	3	+8	9	WWW
3	Bournemouth	3	+7	9	WWW
33	Plzen	3	-5	0	LLL
34	Marseille	3	-5	0	LLL
35	Celtic	3	-6	0	LLL

About this match

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille preview

On Thu, 5 Nov 2026 at 22:00, Bayer Leverkusen take on Marseille in the Europa League.

Form · last 5 matches

Bayer LeverkusenWLWWW13 scored · 6 conceded

MarseilleWLWLW11 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Bayer LeverkusenMarseille

2.7Goals scored per game1.5

1.1Goals conceded per game1.9

40%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

5Clean sheets1

What's at stake

Bayer Leverkusen2nd9 pts · 3 played

Marseille34th0 pts · 3 played

Bayer Leverkusen lead by 9 pts

Read the full match preview

BayArena hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 1.43 (67% implied), with the draw at 5.14 (19%).

Bayer Leverkusen come into the game with WLWWW in their last 5 (13 scored, 6 conceded), while Marseille have WLWLW (11 scored, 7 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Bayer Leverkusen's recent games and 50% of Marseille's, with both teams scoring in 40% and 50%.

Per game, Bayer Leverkusen average 2.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Marseille 1.5 and 1.9 (clean sheets: 1).

In the table, Bayer Leverkusen are 2nd (9 pts from 3 games) and Marseille are 34th (0 pts from 3).

Nito explains: Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille mean?

The best prices are 1.43 for a Bayer Leverkusen win, 5.14 for a draw and 6.61 for a Marseille win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.43 returns 14.30 if Bayer Leverkusen win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.5% removed) that is 67% Bayer Leverkusen, 19% draw and 14% Marseille.

How often do Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 matches and 50% of Marseille's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Bayer Leverkusen reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Marseille in 50% of their last 10.

What does the form guide WLWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Bayer Leverkusen, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (13 scored, 6 conceded). Marseille, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (11 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille stand in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen are 2nd with 9 points from 3 games. Marseille are 34th with 0 points from 3 games. The gap between them is 9 points.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: questions & answers

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Bookmaker odds imply Bayer Leverkusen 67%, draw 19%, Marseille 14%.

Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Bayer Leverkusen's matches and 50% of Marseille's.

What are the odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Odds: Bayer Leverkusen 1.43, draw 5.14, Marseille 6.61.

When is the Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kick-off?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kicks off on Thu, 5 Nov 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2) at BayArena.

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction & odds

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Match information

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Our picks for this match

Win probability

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