Home / Germany: Bundesliga / Mainz vs Bayern Munich

BundesligaUpcoming

Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction & odds

Mainz

16:30

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 16:30

Bayern Munich

Odds 1X2

1Mainz5.60XDraw6.092Bayern Munich1.47

MEWA ARENA

MainzvsBayern Munich

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 16:30 EET
Stadium: MEWA ARENA
Capacity: 34,034
City: Mainz

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Mainz17%5.60

Draw16%6.09

Bayern Munich66%1.47

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.3%

Mainz5.6017%Draw6.0916%Bayern Munich1.4766%

Double chance

Mainz or Draw2.75Mainz or Bayern Munich1.11Draw or Bayern Munich1.09

Total goals 4margin 4.6%

Over 41.8552%Under 41.9848%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.9%

Mainz +1.251.9649%Bayern Munich -1.251.8951%

1st-half resultmargin 5.8%

Mainz4.9919%Draw3.1530%Bayern Munich1.8551%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Mainz1.9450%Bayern Munich1.9450%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

8Mainz wins

5Draws

30Bayern Munich wins

Last matches: Mainz

30.10.26BundesligaElversbergMainz41L
27.10.26DFB-PokalBochumMainz20L
24.10.26BundesligaMainzWerder Bremen23L
17.10.26BundesligaSchalkeMainz01W
10.10.26BundesligaMainzBayer Leverkusen34L

Last matches: Bayern Munich

28.10.26DFB-PokalBayern MunichMagdeburg61W
25.10.26BundesligaFreiburgBayern Munich13W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueBayern MunichArsenal22D
17.10.26BundesligaBayern MunichRB Leipzig61W
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueVikingBayern Munich33D

Head-to-head matches

25.04.26BundesligaMainzBayern Munich34L
14.12.25BundesligaBayern MunichMainz22D
26.04.25BundesligaBayern MunichMainz30L
14.12.24BundesligaMainzBayern Munich21W
30.10.24CupMainzBayern Munich04L
09.03.24BundesligaBayern MunichMainz81L

4.09Avg goals70%Both scored88%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Mainz vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head record

43 meetings since 2004: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

8Mainz wins

5Draws

30Bayern Munich wins

51:125Goals (Mainz : Bayern Munich)

4.09Goals per match

70%BTTS

98%Over 1.5

88%Over 2.5

58%Over 3.5

Mainz at home: 6-1-1528:55 goals in 22 games
Bayern Munich at home: 15-4-270:23 goals in 21 games
Mainz's biggest win: 3–1Mainz 3–1 Bayern Munich, 22 Apr 2023
Bayern Munich's biggest win: 8–1Bayern Munich 8–1 Mainz, 9 Mar 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Bundesliga	Mainz	3–4	Bayern Munich
14 Dec 2025	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	2–2	Mainz
26 Apr 2025	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	3–0	Mainz
14 Dec 2024	Bundesliga	Mainz	2–1	Bayern Munich
30 Oct 2024	Cup	Mainz	0–4	Bayern Munich
9 Mar 2024	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	8–1	Mainz
21 Oct 2023	Bundesliga	Mainz	1–3	Bayern Munich
22 Apr 2023	Bundesliga	Mainz	3–1	Bayern Munich
1 Feb 2023	Cup	Mainz	0–4	Bayern Munich
29 Oct 2022	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	6–2	Mainz
30 Apr 2022	Bundesliga	Mainz	3–1	Bayern Munich
11 Dec 2021	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	2–1	Mainz
24 Apr 2021	Bundesliga	Mainz	2–1	Bayern Munich
3 Jan 2021	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	5–2	Mainz
1 Feb 2020	Bundesliga	Mainz	1–3	Bayern Munich
31 Aug 2019	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	6–1	Mainz
17 Mar 2019	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	6–0	Mainz
27 Oct 2018	Bundesliga	Mainz	1–2	Bayern Munich
3 Feb 2018	Bundesliga	Mainz	0–2	Bayern Munich
16 Sept 2017	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	4–0	Mainz

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Mainz1W 0D 4L · goals 7–13

L30.10BundesligaAElversberg1–4
L27.10DFB-PokalABochum0–2
L24.10BundesligaHWerder Bremen2–3
W17.10BundesligaASchalke1–0
L10.10BundesligaHBayer Leverkusen3–4

Bayern Munich3W 2D 0L · goals 20–8

W28.10DFB-PokalHMagdeburg6–1
W25.10BundesligaAFreiburg3–1
D21.10UEFA Champions LeagueHArsenal2–2
W17.10BundesligaHRB Leipzig6–1
D13.10UEFA Champions LeagueAViking3–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

MainzBayern Munich

2.6Goals scored per game3.6

1.9Goals conceded per game1.1

50%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals90%

4Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score10%

0-1-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-3-0

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

MainzBayern Munich

Bundesliga 2025/2026 · 35 gamesBundesliga 2026/2027 · 4 games

1.3Goals scored3.5

1.5Goals conceded0.5

5.1Corners9.5

12.3Shots21.8

44%Possession70%

2.0Yellow cards1.0

11%Clean sheets50%

31%Failed to score25%

4-5-9Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern Munich	7	+19	17	WWDWW
2	Dortmund	7	+8	17	WDDWW
6	Werder Bremen	7	+1	12	WDDWD
7	Mainz	7	+3	10	LWLWL
8	Elversberg	7	-3	10	LWLDL

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

18+ · No links or advertising · Comments are moderated.

No comments yet. Start the conversation.

About this match

Mainz vs Bayern Munich preview

On Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 16:30, Mainz take on Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga.

Form · last 5 matches

MainzLLLWL7 scored · 13 conceded

Bayern MunichWWDWD20 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

MainzBayern Munich

2.6Goals scored per game3.6

1.9Goals conceded per game1.1

50%Both teams scored70%

70%Over 2.5 goals90%

4Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

8Mainz wins

5Draws

30Bayern Munich wins

43 meetings · 4.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 70%

What's at stake

Mainz7th10 pts · 7 played

Bayern Munich1st17 pts · 7 played

Bayern Munich lead by 7 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at MEWA ARENA.

The best available prices are 5.60 on Mainz, 6.09 on the draw and 1.47 on Bayern Munich, which is roughly 17%, 16% and 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Recent form over the last 5: Mainz LLLWL (goals 7–13), Bayern Munich WWDWD (goals 20–8).

Both teams scored in 50% of Mainz's recent games and 70% of Bayern Munich's; over 2.5 goals landed in 70% and 90% respectively.

Per game, Mainz average 2.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Bayern Munich 3.6 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 43 head-to-head games the record reads 8–5–30 (wins–draws–losses) from Mainz's side.

Those 43 games averaged 4.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-25) ended Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich.

Mainz sit 7th on 10 pts after 7 games, Bayern Munich 1st on 17 pts.

Nito explains: Mainz vs Bayern Munich

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Mainz vs Bayern Munich mean?

The best prices are 5.60 for a Mainz win, 6.09 for a draw and 1.47 for a Bayern Munich win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 5.60 returns 56.00 if Mainz win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.3% removed) that is 17% Mainz, 16% draw and 66% Bayern Munich.

How often do Mainz and Bayern Munich matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Mainz's last 10 matches and 70% of Bayern Munich's last 10. In their 43 recorded meetings it was 70%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Mainz reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Bayern Munich in 90% of their last 10. Their 43 meetings averaged 4.1 goals (88% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLLWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Mainz, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (7 scored, 13 conceded). Bayern Munich, last 5: 3 W · 2 D · 0 L (20 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Mainz and Bayern Munich stand in the table?

Mainz are 7th with 10 points from 7 games. Bayern Munich are 1st with 17 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 7 points.

Mainz vs Bayern Munich: questions & answers

Who will win Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Bookmaker odds imply Mainz 17%, draw 16%, Bayern Munich 66%.

Will both teams score in Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Both teams scored in 70% of their 43 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Mainz's matches and 70% of Bayern Munich's.

What are the odds for Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Odds: Mainz 5.60, draw 6.09, Bayern Munich 1.47.

When is the Mainz vs Bayern Munich kick-off?

Mainz vs Bayern Munich kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 16:30 (GMT+2) at MEWA ARENA.

What is the head-to-head record between Mainz and Bayern Munich?

43 meetings: Mainz 8 wins, 5 draws, Bayern Munich 30 wins. Those 43 games averaged 4.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.

Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction & odds

Mainz

Bayern Munich

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds