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Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction & odds

Benfica

22:00

Kick-off Thu 5 Nov, 22:00

Lech Poznan

Odds 1X2

1Benfica1.17XDraw8.202Lech Poznan14.00

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz)

BenficavsLech Poznan

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Europa League
Kick-off: Thu 5 Nov 22:00 EET
Stadium: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz)
Capacity: 65,647

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Benfica82%1.17

Draw12%8.20

Lech Poznan7%14.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.8%

Benfica1.1782%Draw8.2012%Lech Poznan14.007%

Double chance

Benfica or Draw–Benfica or Lech Poznan1.05Draw or Lech Poznan4.29

Total goals 2.5margin 10.9%

Over 2.51.2870%Under 2.53.0530%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 14.8%

Benfica1.4958%Draw2.9130%Lech Poznan7.5312%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.7%

Benfica1.9150%Lech Poznan1.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2Benfica wins

0Draws

0Lech Poznan wins

Last matches: Benfica

29.10.26League CupBenficaGil Vicente41W
26.10.26Primeira LigaSanta ClaraBenfica12W
22.10.26Europa LeagueOmoniaBenfica14W
15.10.26Europa LeagueBenficaCeltic41W
11.10.26Primeira LigaBenficaVitoria Guimaraes20W

Last matches: Lech Poznan

28.10.26Polish CupSiarka TarnobrzegLech Poznan10L
25.10.26EkstraklasaLegiaLech Poznan12W
22.10.26Europa LeagueLech PoznanSunderland11D
18.10.26EkstraklasaLech PoznanKorona Kielce61W
15.10.26Europa LeagueLech PoznanBayer Leverkusen04L

Head-to-head matches

03.12.20UEFA Europa LeagueBenficaLech Poznan40W
22.10.20UEFA Europa LeagueLech PoznanBenfica24W

5.00Avg goals50%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Benfica vs Lech Poznan: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2020: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2Benfica wins

0Draws

0Lech Poznan wins

8:2Goals (Benfica : Lech Poznan)

5.00Goals per match

50%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

100%Over 3.5

Benfica at home: 1-0-04:0 goals in 1 games
Lech Poznan at home: 0-0-12:4 goals in 1 games
Benfica's biggest win: 4–0Benfica 4–0 Lech Poznan, 3 Dec 2020

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
3 Dec 2020	UEFA Europa League	Benfica	4–0	Lech Poznan
22 Oct 2020	UEFA Europa League	Lech Poznan	2–4	Benfica

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Benfica5W 0D 0L · goals 16–4

W29.10League CupHGil Vicente4–1
W26.10Primeira LigaASanta Clara2–1
W22.10Europa LeagueAOmonia4–1
W15.10Europa LeagueHCeltic4–1
W11.10Primeira LigaHVitoria Guimaraes2–0

Lech Poznan2W 1D 2L · goals 9–8

L28.10Polish CupASiarka Tarnobrzeg0–1
W25.10EkstraklasaALegia2–1
D22.10Europa LeagueHSunderland1–1
W18.10EkstraklasaHKorona Kielce6–1
L15.10Europa LeagueHBayer Leverkusen0–4

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BenficaLech Poznan

2.9Goals scored per game2.0

0.8Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals70%

4Clean sheets1

0%Failed to score30%

4-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-0-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

BenficaLech Poznan

Primeira Liga 2026/2027 · 7 gamesEkstraklasa 2025/2026 · 25 games

3.1Goals scored1.9

1.0Goals conceded1.4

7.3Corners6.3

19.1Shots18.2

63%Possession59%

1.9Yellow cards1.7

43%Clean sheets28%

0%Failed to score12%

2-1-0Home / away record (W-D-L)6-3-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · UEFA Europa League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Benfica	3	+8	9	WWW
2	Bayer Leverkusen	3	+8	9	WWW
31	Lillestrom	3	-7	1	LDL
32	Lech Poznan	3	-8	1	DLL
33	Plzen	3	-5	0	LLL

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About this match

Benfica vs Lech Poznan preview

Europa League fixture: Benfica welcome Lech Poznan on Thu, 5 Nov 2026 (22:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

BenficaWWWWW16 scored · 4 conceded

Lech PoznanLWDWL9 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BenficaLech Poznan

2.9Goals scored per game2.0

0.8Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals70%

4Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

2Benfica wins

0Draws

0Lech Poznan wins

2 meetings · 5.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Benfica1st9 pts · 3 played

Lech Poznan32nd1 pts · 3 played

Benfica lead by 8 pts

Read the full match preview

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Benfica the favourite at 1.17 (82% implied), with the draw at 8.20 (12%).

Benfica come into the game with WWWWW in their last 5 (16 scored, 4 conceded), while Lech Poznan have LWDWL (9 scored, 8 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 80% of Benfica's recent games and 70% of Lech Poznan's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 60%.

Per game, Benfica average 2.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Lech Poznan 2.0 and 1.6 (clean sheets: 1).

Head-to-head over 2 previous meetings: Benfica 2 wins, Lech Poznan 0 wins, draws 0.

Those 2 games averaged 5.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2020-12-03) ended Benfica 4–0 Lech Poznan.

In the table, Benfica are 1st (9 pts from 3 games) and Lech Poznan are 32nd (1 pts from 3).

Nito explains: Benfica vs Lech Poznan

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Benfica vs Lech Poznan mean?

The best prices are 1.17 for a Benfica win, 8.20 for a draw and 14.00 for a Lech Poznan win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.17 returns 11.70 if Benfica win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.8% removed) that is 82% Benfica, 12% draw and 7% Lech Poznan.

How often do Benfica and Lech Poznan matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Benfica's last 10 matches and 60% of Lech Poznan's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Benfica reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Lech Poznan in 70% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 5.0 goals (100% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Benfica, last 5: 5 W · 0 D · 0 L (16 scored, 4 conceded). Lech Poznan, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (9 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Benfica and Lech Poznan stand in the table?

Benfica are 1st with 9 points from 3 games. Lech Poznan are 32nd with 1 points from 3 games. The gap between them is 8 points.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan: questions & answers

Who will win Benfica vs Lech Poznan?

Bookmaker odds imply Benfica 82%, draw 12%, Lech Poznan 7%.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Lech Poznan?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Benfica's matches and 60% of Lech Poznan's.

What are the odds for Benfica vs Lech Poznan?

Odds: Benfica 1.17, draw 8.20, Lech Poznan 14.00.

When is the Benfica vs Lech Poznan kick-off?

Benfica vs Lech Poznan kicks off on Thu, 5 Nov 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz).

What is the head-to-head record between Benfica and Lech Poznan?

2 meetings: Benfica 2 wins, 0 draws, Lech Poznan 0 wins. Those 2 games averaged 5.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

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Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction & odds

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Our picks for this match

Win probability

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