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Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction & odds

Bournemouth

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Leeds

Odds 1X2

1Bournemouth2.18XDraw3.452Leeds3.59

BournemouthvsLeeds

Nito’s pick1.99

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.99

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence1.99Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.99 means bookmakers give it 50%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+10 pts)
3+ goals in 80% of Bournemouth's last 5 and 30% of Leeds's
Goals per game in the last 5: Bournemouth matches 3.2, Leeds matches 2.6
Their 10 meetings average 3.9 goals; both teams scored in 80%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Bournemouth45%2.18

Draw28%3.45

Leeds27%3.59

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.7%

Bournemouth2.1845%Draw3.4528%Leeds3.5927%

Double chance

Bournemouth or Draw1.26Bournemouth or Leeds1.25Draw or Leeds1.72

Total goals 2.5margin 2.9%

Over 2.51.9051%Under 2.51.9949%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 15.1%

Bournemouth2.4436%Draw2.1441%Leeds3.6524%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Bournemouth1.9649%Leeds1.9251%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2Bournemouth wins

2Draws

6Leeds wins

Last matches: Bournemouth

28.10.26EFL CupBournemouthAston Villa30W
25.10.26Premier LeagueManchester UtdBournemouth03W
22.10.26Europa LeagueBournemouthAC Milan30W
18.10.26Premier LeagueBournemouthSunderland20W
15.10.26Europa LeagueBournemouthSturm Graz30W

Last matches: Leeds

25.10.26Premier LeagueSunderlandLeeds00D

Bournemouth vs Leeds: head-to-head record

10 meetings since 2007: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2Bournemouth wins

2Draws

6Leeds wins

18:21Goals (Bournemouth : Leeds)

3.90Goals per match

80%BTTS

90%Over 1.5

80%Over 2.5

70%Over 3.5

Bournemouth at home: 2-1-212:10 goals in 5 games
Leeds at home: 4-1-011:6 goals in 5 games
Bournemouth's biggest win: 4–1Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds, 30 Apr 2023
Leeds's biggest win: 1–3Bournemouth 1–3 Leeds, 16 Sept 2014

Meetings (10 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
22 Apr 2026	Premier League	Bournemouth	2–2	Leeds
27 Sept 2025	Premier League	Leeds	2–2

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Bournemouth5W 0D 0L · goals 14–0

W28.10EFL CupHAston Villa3–0
W25.10Premier LeagueAManchester Utd3–0
W22.10Europa LeagueHAC Milan3–0
W18.10Premier LeagueHSunderland2–0
W15.10Europa LeagueHSturm Graz3–0

Leeds1W 3D 1L · goals 6–4

D25.10Premier LeagueASunderland0–0
D18.10Premier LeagueHManchester Utd1–1
L10.10Premier LeagueAArsenal1–2
D20.09Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BournemouthLeeds

2.3Goals scored per game1.4

0.9Goals conceded per game1.2

30%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals30%

6Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score20%

5-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

BournemouthLeeds

Premier League 2026/2027 · 5 gamesPremier League 2026/2027 · 5 games

1.2Goals scored1.4

1.6Goals conceded0.6

4.2Corners4.4

13.6Shots12.2

47%Possession45%

2.8Yellow cards1.4

0%Clean sheets40%

20%Failed to score20%

0-2-1Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Brentford	8	+5	11	DLDWD
7	Leeds	8	+3	11	DDLDW
8	Newcastle	8	-2	11	WLLWL
12	Ipswich	8	-4	10	DLWLW
13	Bournemouth	8	-1	9	WWLLD
14	Tottenham	8	-2	9

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Bournemouth

✕J. AraujoThigh Injury
✕A. ScottThigh Injury
✕A. TothMuscle Injury

Leeds

✕M. JosephKnee Injury
✕J. RodonMuscle Injury
?D. JamesBack Injury
?A. StachFoot Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Bournemouth vs Leeds preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00, Bournemouth take on Leeds in the Premier League.

Form · last 5 matches

BournemouthWWWWW14 scored · 0 conceded

LeedsDDLDW6 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BournemouthLeeds

2.3Goals scored per game1.4

0.9Goals conceded per game1.2

30%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals30%

6Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

2Bournemouth wins

2Draws

6Leeds wins

10 meetings · 3.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 80%

What's at stake

Bournemouth13th9 pts · 8 played

Nito explains: Bournemouth vs Leeds

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Bournemouth vs Leeds mean?

The best prices are 2.18 for a Bournemouth win, 3.45 for a draw and 3.59 for a Leeds win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.18 returns 21.80 if Bournemouth win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.7% removed) that is 45% Bournemouth, 28% draw and 27% Leeds.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.99, the price implies a 50% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Bournemouth and Leeds matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of Bournemouth's last 10 matches and 60% of Leeds's last 10. In their 10 recorded meetings it was 80%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Bournemouth reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Leeds in 30% of their last 10. Their 10 meetings averaged 3.9 goals (80% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Bournemouth, last 5: 5 W · 0 D · 0 L (14 scored, 0 conceded). Leeds, last 5: 1 W · 3 D · 1 L (6 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Bournemouth and Leeds stand in the table?

Bournemouth are 13th with 9 points from 8 games. Leeds are 7th with 11 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

Bournemouth vs Leeds: questions & answers

Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?

Bookmaker odds imply Bournemouth 45%, draw 28%, Leeds 27%.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Leeds?

Both teams scored in 80% of their 10 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 30% of Bournemouth's matches and 60% of Leeds's.

What are the odds for Bournemouth vs Leeds?

Odds: Bournemouth 2.18, draw 3.45, Leeds 3.59. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.99.

When is the Bournemouth vs Leeds kick-off?

Bournemouth vs Leeds kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Leeds?

10 meetings: Bournemouth 2 wins, 2 draws, Leeds 6 wins. Those 10 games averaged 3.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

Latest newsAll news →

Alex Scott transfer: Chelsea and Liverpool circle Bournemouth star22 Oct 2026

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Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction & odds

Bournemouth

Leeds

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds