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Manchester City vs Brighton prediction & odds

Manchester City

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Brighton

Odds 1X2

1Manchester City1.56XDraw4.052Brighton4.20

Manchester CityvsBrighton

Nito’s pick1.91

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap -0.75Manchester City -0.75

1.91

65%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap -0.75Manchester City -0.7565%Confidence1.91Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.91 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+13 pts)
Manchester City won 2 of their last 5 (goals 13–11); Brighton won 2 (goals 11–4)
In the table Manchester City are 1st with 21 pts, Brighton 3rd with 16 pts
In 29 meetings Manchester City won 17, Brighton won 5, 7 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Manchester City

Confidence64%

Indicative price1.56

Manchester City to win: our confidence is 64% at a best price of 1.56.

Asian handicap -0.75Manchester City -0.75High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.91

Asian handicap: Manchester City -0.75: our confidence is 65%, 13 points above the 52% the best price of 1.91 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Manchester City57%1.56

Draw22%4.05

Brighton21%4.20

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 12.6%

Manchester City1.5657%Draw4.0522%Brighton4.2021%

Double chance

Manchester City or Draw1.16Manchester City or Brighton1.17Draw or Brighton2.19

1st-half resultmargin 15.2%

Manchester City2.0942%Draw2.4136%Brighton3.8622%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Manchester City1.9450%Brighton1.9450%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

17Manchester City wins

7Draws

5Brighton wins

Last matches: Manchester City

28.10.26EFL CupManchester CityBrighton22D
24.10.26Premier LeagueAston VillaManchester City21L
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueManchester CityAEK Athens51W
17.10.26Premier LeagueManchester CityIpswich32W
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueManchester CityPSG24L

Last matches: Brighton

28.10.26EFL CupManchester CityBrighton22D
25.10.26Premier LeagueLiverpoolBrighton20L
22.10.26Conference LeagueJablonecBrighton00D
18.10.26Premier LeagueBrightonCrystal Palace50W
15.10.26Conference LeagueBrightonKauno Zalgiris40W

Head-to-head matches

28.10.26EFL CupManchester CityBrighton22D
07.01.26Premier LeagueManchester CityBrighton11D
31.08.25Premier LeagueBrightonManchester City21L
15.03.25Premier LeagueManchester CityBrighton22D
09.11.24Premier LeagueBrightonManchester City21L
25.04.24Premier LeagueBrightonManchester City04W

3.28Avg goals66%Both scored66%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Manchester City vs Brighton: head-to-head record

29 meetings since 1979: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

17Manchester City wins

7Draws

5Brighton wins

63:32Goals (Manchester City : Brighton)

3.28Goals per match

66%BTTS

90%Over 1.5

66%Over 2.5

48%Over 3.5

Manchester City at home: 10-5-033:12 goals in 15 games
Brighton at home: 5-2-720:30 goals in 14 games
Manchester City's biggest win: 0–5Brighton 0–5 Manchester City, 11 Jul 2020
Brighton's biggest win: 4–1Brighton 4–1 Manchester City, 2 Oct 1981

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
28 Oct 2026	EFL Cup	Manchester City	2–2	Brighton
7 Jan 2026	Premier League	Manchester City	1–1	Brighton
31 Aug 2025	Premier League	Brighton	2–1	Manchester City
15 Mar 2025	Premier League	Manchester City	2–2	Brighton
9 Nov 2024	Premier League	Brighton	2–1	Manchester City
25 Apr 2024	Premier League	Brighton	0–4	Manchester City
21 Oct 2023	Premier League	Manchester City	2–1	Brighton
24 May 2023	Premier League	Brighton	1–1	Manchester City
22 Oct 2022	Premier League	Manchester City	3–1	Brighton
20 Apr 2022	Premier League	Manchester City	3–0	Brighton
23 Oct 2021	Premier League	Brighton	1–4	Manchester City
18 May 2021	Premier League	Brighton	3–2	Manchester City
13 Jan 2021	Premier League	Manchester City	1–0	Brighton
11 Jul 2020	Premier League	Brighton	0–5	Manchester City
31 Aug 2019	Premier League	Manchester City	4–0	Brighton
12 May 2019	Premier League	Brighton	1–4	Manchester City
6 Apr 2019	FA Cup	Manchester City	1–0	Brighton
29 Sept 2018	Premier League	Manchester City	2–0	Brighton
9 May 2018	Premier League	Manchester City	3–1	Brighton
12 Aug 2017	Premier League	Brighton	0–2	Manchester City

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Manchester City2W 1D 2L · goals 13–11

D28.10EFL CupHBrighton2–2
L24.10Premier LeagueAAston Villa1–2
W20.10UEFA Champions LeagueHAEK Athens5–1
W17.10Premier LeagueHIpswich3–2
L14.10UEFA Champions LeagueHPSG2–4

Brighton2W 2D 1L · goals 11–4

D28.10EFL CupAManchester City2–2
L25.10Premier LeagueALiverpool0–2
D22.10Conference LeagueAJablonec0–0
W18.10Premier LeagueHCrystal Palace5–0
W15.10Conference LeagueHKauno Zalgiris4–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Manchester CityBrighton

2.9Goals scored per game2.5

1.4Goals conceded per game0.7

60%Both teams scored30%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

4Clean sheets6

0%Failed to score20%

4-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-2-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Manchester CityBrighton

Premier League 2025/2026 · 38 gamesPremier League 2026/2027 · 5 games

2.0Goals scored3.2

0.9Goals conceded1.0

6.4Corners5.4

15.7Shots19.0

60%Possession64%

1.8Yellow cards2.4

42%Clean sheets60%

11%Failed to score0%

14-3-2Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Manchester City	8	+11	21	LWWWW
2	Arsenal	8	+8	21	WWWLW
3	Brighton	8	+16	16	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	8	+3	15	WWLWD

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Manchester City

✕A. SemenyoKnee Injury
?M. NunesKnock

Brighton

✕F. AzeezAbdominal strain
✕E. FergusonAnkle Injury
✕K. MitomaHamstring Injury
✕P. StruijkRest
✕S. TzimasKnee Injury
✕Z. YohannaInjury
?C. AndresMuscle Injury
?F. KadiogluHip Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

About this match

Manchester City vs Brighton preview

Manchester City host Brighton in the Premier League on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

Manchester CityDLWWL13 scored · 11 conceded

BrightonDLDWW11 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Manchester CityBrighton

2.9Goals scored per game2.5

1.4Goals conceded per game0.7

60%Both teams scored30%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

4Clean sheets6

Head-to-head in numbers

17Manchester City wins

7Draws

5Brighton wins

29 meetings · 3.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 66%

What's at stake

Manchester City1st21 pts · 8 played

Brighton3rd16 pts · 8 played

Manchester City lead by 5 pts

Our pick

Asian handicapManchester City -0.7565%Confidence1.91Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.56 on Manchester City, 4.05 on the draw and 4.20 on Brighton, which is roughly 57%, 22% and 21% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Asian handicap: Manchester City -0.75: 65% confidence, priced at 1.91.

We also have Manchester City to win (64%, 1.56).

Recent form over the last 5: Manchester City DLWWL (goals 13–11), Brighton DLDWW (goals 11–4).

Both teams scored in 60% of Manchester City's recent games and 30% of Brighton's; over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Manchester City average 2.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Brighton 2.5 and 0.7 (clean sheets: 6).

Across 29 head-to-head games the record reads 17–7–5 (wins–draws–losses) from Manchester City's side.

Those 29 games averaged 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.

The last meeting (2026-10-28) ended Manchester City 2–2 Brighton.

Manchester City sit 1st on 21 pts after 8 games, Brighton 3rd on 16 pts.

Nito explains: Manchester City vs Brighton

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Manchester City vs Brighton mean?

The best prices are 1.56 for a Manchester City win, 4.05 for a draw and 4.20 for a Brighton win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.56 returns 15.60 if Manchester City win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 12.6% removed) that is 57% Manchester City, 22% draw and 21% Brighton.

What does Nito's pick "Asian handicap: Manchester City -0.75" mean?

Asian handicap: -0.75 goals are added to Manchester City's final score, and the bet wins if Manchester City are still ahead after that. A quarter line splits the stake over the two nearest lines. At 1.91, the price implies a 52% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Manchester City and Brighton matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Manchester City's last 10 matches and 30% of Brighton's last 10. In their 29 recorded meetings it was 66%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Manchester City reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Brighton in 60% of their last 10. Their 29 meetings averaged 3.3 goals (66% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLWWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Manchester City, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (13 scored, 11 conceded). Brighton, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (11 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Manchester City and Brighton stand in the table?

Manchester City are 1st with 21 points from 8 games. Brighton are 3rd with 16 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 5 points.

Manchester City vs Brighton: questions & answers

Who will win Manchester City vs Brighton?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Manchester City -0.75 with 65% confidence (best price 1.91). Bookmaker odds imply Manchester City 57%, draw 22%, Brighton 21%.

Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Brighton?

Both teams scored in 66% of their 29 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Manchester City's matches and 30% of Brighton's.

What are the odds for Manchester City vs Brighton?

Odds: Manchester City 1.56, draw 4.05, Brighton 4.20. Our pick Asian handicap: Manchester City -0.75 is available at 1.91.

When is the Manchester City vs Brighton kick-off?

Manchester City vs Brighton kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Brighton?

29 meetings: Manchester City 17 wins, 7 draws, Brighton 5 wins. Those 29 games averaged 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.

Other Premier League matches on 31 Oct

All Premier League fixtures

Manchester City vs Brighton prediction & odds

Manchester City

Brighton

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds