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Braga vs Famalicao prediction & odds

Braga

22:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 22:30

Famalicao

Odds 1X2

1Braga1.87XDraw3.502Famalicao4.85

BragavsFamalicao

Nito’s pick1.94

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreYes

1.94

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga Portugal
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 22:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreYes70%Confidence1.94Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.94 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+18 pts)
Both teams scored in 50% of Braga's last 5 and 50% of Famalicao's
Goals per game in the last 5: Braga matches 2.4, Famalicao matches 2.8
Their 15 meetings average 3.4 goals; both teams scored in 80%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Braga52%1.87

Draw28%3.50

Famalicao20%4.85

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.7%

Braga1.8752%Draw3.5028%Famalicao4.8520%

Double chance

Braga or Draw1.14Braga or Famalicao1.24Draw or Famalicao1.95

Total goals 2.5margin 4.5%

Over 2.52.2842%Under 2.51.6558%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.9%

Braga -0.51.8353%Famalicao +0.52.0347%

1st-half resultmargin 5.8%

Braga2.4539%Draw2.1544%Famalicao5.4117%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Braga1.9549%Famalicao1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

5Braga wins

8Draws

2Famalicao wins

Last matches: Braga

29.10.26League CupBragaFamalicao22D
25.10.26Primeira LigaNacionalBraga10L
22.10.26Conference LeagueBragaGent20W
19.10.26Primeira LigaBragaGil Vicente12L
15.10.26Conference LeagueFC CopenhagenBraga30L

Last matches: Famalicao

29.10.26League CupBragaFamalicao22D

Braga vs Famalicao: head-to-head record

15 meetings since 2019: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

5Braga wins

8Draws

2Famalicao wins

29:22Goals (Braga : Famalicao)

3.40Goals per match

80%BTTS

87%Over 1.5

80%Over 2.5

53%Over 3.5

Braga at home: 2-5-117:14 goals in 8 games
Famalicao at home: 1-3-38:12 goals in 7 games
Braga's biggest win: 4–1Braga 4–1 Famalicao, 5 Feb 2023
Famalicao's biggest win: 1–2Braga 1–2 Famalicao, 11 Aug 2023

Meetings (15 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
29 Oct 2026	League Cup	Braga	2–2	Famalicao
19 Apr 2026	Primeira Liga	Braga	2–2

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Braga1W 1D 3L · goals 5–8

D29.10League CupHFamalicao2–2
L25.10Primeira LigaANacional0–1
W22.10Conference LeagueHGent2–0
L19.10Primeira LigaHGil Vicente1–2
L15.10Conference LeagueAFC Copenhagen0–3

Famalicao2W 1D 2L · goals 11–7

D29.10League CupABraga2–2
W25.10Primeira LigaARio Ave4–0
L18.10Taça de PortugalAParedes0–1
L12.10Primeira LigaHAlverca1–4

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BragaFamalicao

1.0Goals scored per game1.5

1.4Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets3

30%Failed to score30%

2-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

BragaFamalicao

Primeira Liga 2026/2027 · 4 gamesPrimeira Liga 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.5Goals scored1.3

1.3Goals conceded1.0

3.8Corners5.4

11.8Shots9.6

62%Possession53%

2.3Yellow cards2.1

25%Clean sheets29%

0%Failed to score29%

1-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-2-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primeira Liga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Alverca	9	0	11	LWWWL
9	Braga	9	-2	11	LLLDW
10	Moreirense	9	-5	11	WLDWL
11	Famalicao	9	+3	10	WLWDD
12	Estrela	9	-3	10	LLLDW

Comments

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About this match

Braga vs Famalicao preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 22:30, Braga take on Famalicao in the Liga Portugal.

Form · last 5 matches

BragaDLWLL5 scored · 8 conceded

FamalicaoDWLLW11 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BragaFamalicao

1.0Goals scored per game1.5

1.4Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

5Braga wins

8Draws

2Famalicao wins

15 meetings · 3.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 80%

What's at stake

Braga9th11 pts · 9 played

Nito explains: Braga vs Famalicao

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Braga vs Famalicao mean?

The best prices are 1.87 for a Braga win, 3.50 for a draw and 4.85 for a Famalicao win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.87 returns 18.70 if Braga win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.7% removed) that is 52% Braga, 28% draw and 20% Famalicao.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: Yes" mean?

It wins if both teams score at least once, whatever the result. At 1.94, the price implies a 52% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Braga and Famalicao matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Braga's last 10 matches and 50% of Famalicao's last 10. In their 15 recorded meetings it was 80%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Braga reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Famalicao in 60% of their last 10. Their 15 meetings averaged 3.4 goals (80% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLWLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Braga, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (5 scored, 8 conceded). Famalicao, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (11 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Braga and Famalicao stand in the table?

Braga are 9th with 11 points from 9 games. Famalicao are 11th with 10 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Braga vs Famalicao: questions & answers

Who will win Braga vs Famalicao?

Bookmaker odds imply Braga 52%, draw 28%, Famalicao 20%.

Will both teams score in Braga vs Famalicao?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (70% confidence, 1.94). Both teams scored in 80% of their 15 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Braga's matches and 50% of Famalicao's.

What are the odds for Braga vs Famalicao?

Odds: Braga 1.87, draw 3.50, Famalicao 4.85. Our pick Both teams to score: Yes is available at 1.94.

When is the Braga vs Famalicao kick-off?

Braga vs Famalicao kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 22:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Braga and Famalicao?

15 meetings: Braga 5 wins, 8 draws, Famalicao 2 wins. Those 15 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

Other Liga Portugal matches on 1 Nov

All Liga Portugal fixtures

Braga vs Famalicao prediction & odds

Braga

Famalicao

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds