Home / Portugal: Primeira Liga / Nacional vs Braga

Primeira LigaFT

Nacional vs Braga result, stats & H2H

Nacional

1–0

Braga

M. Baeza 19′

25/10/2026 20:00 · Estádio da Madeira

Nacional1–0Braga

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half1 - 0

1-0M. Baeza19′

C. Goncalves33′

2nd half0 - 0

46′G. Martinez

46′J. Moutinho

46′M. Dorgeles

62′F. Navarro

Deivison68′

M. Djalo68′

76′D. Huseinbasic

D. Dongmo78′

Pablo Ruan78′

79′Sergio Barcia

Daniel Junior86′

S. Gavriel86′

90′G. Lagerbielke

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Braga

1.48Lost

72%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Primeira Liga
Kick-off: Sun 25 Oct 20:00 EET
Stadium: Estádio da Madeira
Capacity: 5,200
City: Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Braga72%Confidence1.48lost

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.48 means bookmakers give it 68%; Nito's confidence is 72% (+4 pts)
Braga won 1 of their last 5 (goals 6–10); Nacional won 0 (goals 3–13)
In the table Braga are 9th with 11 pts, Nacional 15th with 7 pts
In 43 meetings Braga won 25, Nacional won 9, 9 were drawn

Best price 1.48 means bookmakers give it 68%; Nito's confidence is 72% (+4 pts)

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)BragaHigh confidence

Confidence72%

Price1.48Lost

Braga to win: our confidence is 72%, 4 points above the 68% the best price of 1.48 implies.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5High confidence

Confidence68%

Price1.90Lost

Over 2.5 goals: our confidence is 68%, 15 points above the 53% the best price of 1.90 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Closing odds

	Nacional	Draw	Braga
1X2	6.93 6.67	4.43 4.38	1.51 1.53

Last pre-match price before kick-off (bold) and the opening price (grey), recorded by Tipnito.

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

9Nacional wins

9Draws

25Braga wins

Last matches: Nacional

17.10.26Taça de PortugalSanjoanenseNacional10L
11.10.26Primeira LigaRio AveNacional32L
19.09.26Primeira LigaNacionalFamalicao04L
12.09.26Primeira LigaNacionalAlverca13L
05.09.26Primeira LigaSporting CPNacional20L

Last matches: Braga

29.10.26League CupBragaFamalicao22D
22.10.26Conference LeagueBragaGent20W
19.10.26Primeira LigaBragaGil Vicente12L
15.10.26Conference LeagueFC CopenhagenBraga30L
09.10.26Primeira LigaBragaSporting CP13L

Head-to-head matches

25.10.26Primeira LigaNacionalBraga10W
28.02.26Primeira LigaNacionalBraga12L
23.11.25Taça de PortugalBragaNacional42L
28.09.25Primeira LigaBragaNacional01W
21.02.25Portuguese LigaBragaNacional10L
20.09.24Portuguese LigaNacionalBraga03L

2.65Avg goals49%Both scored49%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Nacional vs Braga: head-to-head record

43 meetings since 2002: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

9Nacional wins

9Draws

25Braga wins

42:72Goals (Nacional : Braga)

2.65Goals per match

49%BTTS

67%Over 1.5

49%Over 2.5

30%Over 3.5

Nacional at home: 7-7-824:29 goals in 22 games
Braga at home: 17-2-243:18 goals in 21 games
Nacional's biggest win: 5–1Nacional 5–1 Braga, 24 Jan 2004
Braga's biggest win: 0–5Nacional 0–5 Braga, 12 Apr 2023

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
25 Oct 2026	Primeira Liga	Nacional	1–0	Braga
28 Feb 2026	Primeira Liga	Nacional	1–2	Braga
23 Nov 2025	Taça de Portugal	Braga	4–2	Nacional
28 Sept 2025	Primeira Liga	Braga	0–1	Nacional
21 Feb 2025	Portuguese Liga	Braga	1–0	Nacional
20 Sept 2024	Portuguese Liga	Nacional	0–3	Braga
25 Apr 2023	Cup	Braga	2–2	Nacional
12 Apr 2023	Cup	Nacional	0–5	Braga
28 Feb 2021	Portuguese Liga	Nacional	1–2	Braga
17 Oct 2020	Portuguese Liga	Braga	2–1	Nacional
18 Jan 2019	Portuguese Liga	Nacional	0–3	Braga
12 Aug 2018	Portuguese Liga	Braga	4–2	Nacional
14 May 2017	Portuguese Liga	Braga	4–0	Nacional
7 Jan 2017	Portuguese Liga	Nacional	0–0	Braga
17 Jan 2016	Portuguese Liga	Nacional	2–3	Braga
16 Aug 2015	Portuguese Liga	Braga	2–1	Nacional
21 Feb 2015	Portuguese Liga	Braga	3–1	Nacional
20 Sept 2014	Portuguese Liga	Nacional	1–1	Braga
8 Mar 2014	Portuguese Liga	Braga	2–1	Nacional
6 Oct 2013	Portuguese Liga	Nacional	3–0	Braga

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Nacional0W 0D 5L · goals 3–13

L17.10Taça de PortugalASanjoanense0–1
L11.10Primeira LigaARio Ave2–3
L19.09Primeira LigaHFamalicao0–4
L12.09Primeira LigaHAlverca1–3
L05.09Primeira LigaASporting CP0–2

Braga1W 1D 3L · goals 6–10

D29.10League CupHFamalicao2–2
W22.10Conference LeagueHGent2–0
L19.10Primeira LigaHGil Vicente1–2
L15.10Conference LeagueAFC Copenhagen0–3
L09.10Primeira LigaHSporting CP1–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

NacionalBraga

1.0Goals scored per game1.1

2.0Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets4

40%Failed to score20%

1-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

NacionalBraga

Primeira Liga 2025/2026 · 34 gamesPrimeira Liga 2026/2027 · 4 games

1.1Goals scored1.5

1.3Goals conceded1.3

4.4Corners3.8

12.6Shots11.8

46%Possession62%

2.8Yellow cards2.3

24%Clean sheets25%

32%Failed to score0%

6-2-9Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-1

Match stats

Team and player statistics from the match feed

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primeira Liga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Alverca	9	0	11	LWWWL
9	Braga	9	-2	11	LLLDW
10	Moreirense	9	-5	11	WLDWL
14	Maritimo	9	-10	8	LLDLL
15	Nacional	9	-8	7	WLLLL
16	Casa Pia	9	-12	7	WLWLD

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

18+ · No links or advertising · Comments are moderated.

No comments yet. Start the conversation.

About this match

Nacional vs Braga preview

Final score in the Primeira Liga on Sun, 25 Oct 2026: Nacional 1–0 Braga.

Form · last 5 matches

NacionalLLLLL3 scored · 13 conceded

BragaDWLLL6 scored · 10 conceded

Key facts · last 5

NacionalBraga

1.0Goals scored per game1.1

2.0Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Both teams scored50%

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

9Nacional wins

9Draws

25Braga wins

43 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 49%

League table

Nacional15th7 pts · 9 played

Braga9th11 pts · 9 played

Braga lead by 4 pts

Our pick

Braga to winBraga72%Confidence1.48lost

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Our top pick, Braga to win at 1.48 (72% confidence), lost.

Our other picks were Over 2.5 goals (68%, 1.90).

Nacional come into the game with LLLLL in their last 5 (3 scored, 13 conceded), while Braga have DWLLL (6 scored, 10 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Nacional's recent games and 60% of Braga's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 50%.

Per game, Nacional average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Braga 1.1 and 1.3 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 43 previous meetings: Nacional 9 wins, Braga 25 wins, draws 9.

Those 43 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.

In the table, Nacional are 15th (7 pts from 9 games) and Braga are 9th (11 pts from 9).

Nito explains: Nacional vs Braga

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

How often do Nacional and Braga matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Nacional's last 10 matches and 50% of Braga's last 10. In their 43 recorded meetings it was 49%. In this match it did not (Nacional 1-0 Braga).

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Nacional reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Braga in 60% of their last 10. Their 43 meetings averaged 2.7 goals (49% over 2.5). This match had 1 goals: under.

What does the form guide LLLLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Nacional, last 5: 0 W · 0 D · 5 L (3 scored, 13 conceded). Braga, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (6 scored, 10 conceded).

Where do Nacional and Braga stand in the table?

Nacional are 15th with 7 points from 9 games. Braga are 9th with 11 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Nacional vs Braga: questions & answers

Who won Nacional vs Braga?

Nacional won 1–0.

Did both teams score in Nacional vs Braga?

No, the match finished 1–0.

When was Nacional vs Braga played?

Nacional vs Braga was played on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (GMT+2) at Estádio da Madeira.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Braga?

43 meetings: Nacional 9 wins, 9 draws, Braga 25 wins. Those 43 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.

Other Primeira Liga matches on 25 Oct

All Primeira Liga fixtures

Nacional vs Braga result, stats & H2H

Nacional

Braga

Key events

Key events

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Closing odds