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Lorient vs Brest prediction & odds

Lorient

21:45

Kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 21:45

Brest

Odds 1X2

1Lorient2.54XDraw3.312Brest2.99

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

LorientvsBrest

Nito’s pick1.81

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap 0Lorient 0

1.81

69%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 69% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Ligue 1
Kick-off: Mon 2 Nov 21:45 EET
Stadium: Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat
Capacity: 18,970
City: Lorient

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap 0Lorient 069%Confidence1.81Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.81 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 69% (+14 pts)
Lorient won 2 of their last 5 (goals 5–4); Brest won 1 (goals 8–7)
In the table Lorient are 9th with 12 pts, Brest 13th with 9 pts
In 27 meetings Lorient won 13, Brest won 9, 5 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 69% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Lorient38%2.54

Draw29%3.31

Brest32%2.99

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.0%

Lorient2.5438%Draw3.3129%Brest2.9932%

Double chance

Lorient or Draw1.35Lorient or Brest1.26Draw or Brest1.53

Total goals 2.5margin 2.9%

Over 2.52.1445%Under 2.51.7855%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.2%

Lorient 01.8154%Brest 02.1346%

1st-half resultmargin 3.8%

Lorient3.2230%Draw2.1944%Brest3.6926%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Lorient1.9649%Brest1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

13Lorient wins

5Draws

9Brest wins

Last matches: Lorient

25.10.26Ligue 1AngersLorient00D
18.10.26Ligue 1LorientMonaco10W
10.10.26Ligue 1LorientParis FC10W
19.09.26Ligue 1Le MansLorient21L
12.09.26Ligue 1LorientToulouse22D

Last matches: Brest

23.10.26Ligue 1BrestNice12L
17.10.26Ligue 1

Lorient vs Brest: head-to-head record

27 meetings since 2004: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

13Lorient wins

5Draws

9Brest wins

42:33Goals (Lorient : Brest)

2.78Goals per match

41%BTTS

74%Over 1.5

56%Over 2.5

30%Over 3.5

Lorient at home: 10-3-233:12 goals in 15 games
Brest at home: 7-2-321:9 goals in 12 games
Lorient's biggest win: 5–0Lorient 5–0 Brest, 16 Apr 2006
Brest's biggest win: 4–0Brest 4–0 Lorient, 20 Dec 2023

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
7 Feb 2026	Ligue 1	Brest	2–0	Lorient
19 Oct 2025	Ligue 1	Lorient	3–3

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Lorient2W 2D 1L · goals 5–4

D25.10Ligue 1AAngers0–0
W18.10Ligue 1HMonaco1–0
W10.10Ligue 1HParis FC1–0
L19.09Ligue 1ALe Mans1–2
D12.09Ligue 1HToulouse2–2

Brest1W 1D 3L · goals 8–7

L23.10Ligue 1HNice1–2
D17.10Ligue 1ALille1–1
W10.10Ligue 1HAngers5–1
L20.09Ligue 1AAuxerre1–2
L13.09

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LorientBrest

0.9Goals scored per game1.6

1.2Goals conceded per game1.6

50%Both teams scored80%

50%Over 2.5 goals70%

5Clean sheets0

20%Failed to score20%

2-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-2-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

LorientBrest

Ligue 1 2026/2027 · 5 gamesLigue 1 2026/2027 · 5 games

1.0Goals scored1.4

1.2Goals conceded1.6

2.4Corners5.6

10.4Shots19.2

48%Possession46%

1.0Yellow cards1.2

40%Clean sheets0%

20%Failed to score20%

0-1-1Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Ligue 1

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Marseille	8	+5	12	WWWLL
9	Lorient	8	+1	12	DWWLD
10	Nice	8	-2	11	WLWWL
12	Auxerre	8	-6	10	DWLWW
13	Brest	8	+2	9	LDWLL
14	Angers	8	-6	8

Comments

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About this match

Lorient vs Brest preview

Lorient host Brest in the Ligue 1 on Mon, 2 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 21:45.

Form · last 5 matches

LorientDWWLD5 scored · 4 conceded

BrestLDWLL8 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LorientBrest

0.9Goals scored per game1.6

1.2Goals conceded per game1.6

50%Both teams scored80%

50%Over 2.5 goals70%

5Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

13Lorient wins

5Draws

9Brest wins

27 meetings · 2.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 41%

What's at stake

Lorient9th12 pts · 8 played

Brest13th

Nito explains: Lorient vs Brest

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Lorient vs Brest mean?

The best prices are 2.54 for a Lorient win, 3.31 for a draw and 2.99 for a Brest win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.54 returns 25.40 if Lorient win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.0% removed) that is 38% Lorient, 29% draw and 32% Brest.

What does Nito's pick "Asian handicap: Lorient 0" mean?

Asian handicap: 0 goals are added to Lorient's final score, and the bet wins if Lorient are still ahead after that. If it is level after the handicap, the stake is returned. At 1.81, the price implies a 55% chance; Nito's data rates it at 69%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Lorient and Brest matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Lorient's last 10 matches and 80% of Brest's last 10. In their 27 recorded meetings it was 41%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Lorient reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Brest in 70% of their last 10. Their 27 meetings averaged 2.8 goals (56% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Lorient, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (5 scored, 4 conceded). Brest, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (8 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Lorient and Brest stand in the table?

Lorient are 9th with 12 points from 8 games. Brest are 13th with 9 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

Lorient vs Brest: questions & answers

Who will win Lorient vs Brest?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Lorient 0 with 69% confidence (best price 1.81). Bookmaker odds imply Lorient 38%, draw 29%, Brest 32%.

Will both teams score in Lorient vs Brest?

Both teams scored in 41% of their 27 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Lorient's matches and 80% of Brest's.

What are the odds for Lorient vs Brest?

Odds: Lorient 2.54, draw 3.31, Brest 2.99. Our pick Asian handicap: Lorient 0 is available at 1.81.

When is the Lorient vs Brest kick-off?

Lorient vs Brest kicks off on Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 21:45 (GMT+2) at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat.

What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Brest?

27 meetings: Lorient 13 wins, 5 draws, Brest 9 wins. Those 27 games averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.

Lorient vs Brest prediction & odds

Lorient

Brest

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds