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Lazio vs Cagliari prediction & odds

Lazio

16:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 16:00

Cagliari

Odds 1X2

1Lazio1.46Nito’s pickXDraw4.702Cagliari7.21

LaziovsCagliari

Nito’s pick1.46

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Lazio

1.46

72%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 72% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie A
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 16:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Lazio72%Confidence1.46Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.46 means bookmakers give it 68%; Nito's confidence is 72% (+4 pts)
Lazio won 4 of their last 5 (goals 14–4); Cagliari won 1 (goals 4–11)
In the table Lazio are 2nd with 25 pts, Cagliari 10th with 13 pts
In 50 meetings Lazio won 32, Cagliari won 7, 11 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 72% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)LazioHigh confidence

Confidence72%

Indicative price1.46

Lazio to win: our confidence is 72%, 4 points above the 68% the best price of 1.46 implies.

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.74

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 65%, 8 points above the 57% the best price of 1.74 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price2.08

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 62%, 14 points above the 48% the best price of 2.08 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Lazio66%1.46

Draw21%4.70

Cagliari13%7.21

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.6%

Lazio1.4666%Draw4.7021%Cagliari7.2113%

Double chance

Lazio or Draw1.06Lazio or Cagliari1.17Draw or Cagliari2.68

Total goals 2.5margin 2.7%

Over 2.51.8353%Under 2.52.0847%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.6%

Lazio -1.252.0647%Cagliari +1.251.8553%

1st-half resultmargin 4.1%

Lazio1.9749%Draw2.5238%Cagliari7.3213%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Lazio1.9550%Cagliari1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

32Lazio wins

11Draws

7Cagliari wins

Last matches: Lazio

27.10.26Serie ASassuoloLazio26W
24.10.26Serie ALazioParma21W
18.10.26Serie AJuventusLazio03W
11.10.26Serie ALazioMonza31W
27.09.26Club FriendliesLazioArezzo00D

Last matches: Cagliari

27.10.26Serie AAS RomaCagliari42L
24.10.26Serie ACagliariBologna02L
19.10.26Serie AMonzaCagliari40L
11.10.26Serie ACagliariJuventus11D
19.09.26Serie AUdineseCagliari01W

Head-to-head matches

21.02.26Serie ACagliariLazio00D
03.11.25Serie ALazioCagliari20W
03.02.25Serie ACagliariLazio12W
04.11.24Serie ALazioCagliari21W
10.02.24Serie ACagliariLazio13W
02.12.23Serie ALazioCagliari10W

2.48Avg goals50%Both scored52%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Lazio vs Cagliari: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1995: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

32Lazio wins

11Draws

7Cagliari wins

86:38Goals (Lazio : Cagliari)

2.48Goals per match

50%BTTS

72%Over 1.5

52%Over 2.5

24%Over 3.5

Lazio at home: 19-3-350:23 goals in 25 games
Cagliari at home: 4-8-1315:36 goals in 25 games
Lazio's biggest win: 4–0Lazio 4–0 Cagliari, 27 Jan 1996
Cagliari's biggest win: 1–4Lazio 1–4 Cagliari, 25 Jan 2009

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Serie A	Cagliari	0–0	Lazio
3 Nov 2025	Serie A	Lazio	2–0	Cagliari
3 Feb 2025	Serie A	Cagliari	1–2	Lazio
4 Nov 2024	Serie A	Lazio	2–1	Cagliari
10 Feb 2024	Serie A	Cagliari	1–3	Lazio
2 Dec 2023	Serie A	Lazio	1–0	Cagliari
5 Mar 2022	Serie A	Cagliari	0–3	Lazio
19 Sept 2021	Serie A	Lazio	2–2	Cagliari
7 Feb 2021	Serie A	Lazio	1–0	Cagliari
26 Sept 2020	Serie A	Cagliari	0–2	Lazio
23 Jul 2020	Serie A	Lazio	2–1	Cagliari
16 Dec 2019	Serie A	Cagliari	1–2	Lazio
11 May 2019	Serie A	Cagliari	1–2	Lazio
22 Dec 2018	Serie A	Lazio	3–1	Cagliari
11 Mar 2018	Serie A	Cagliari	2–2	Lazio
22 Oct 2017	Serie A	Lazio	3–0	Cagliari
19 Mar 2017	Serie A	Cagliari	0–0	Lazio
26 Oct 2016	Serie A	Lazio	4–1	Cagliari
4 Apr 2015	Serie A	Cagliari	1–3	Lazio
3 Nov 2014	Serie A	Lazio	4–2	Cagliari

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Lazio4W 1D 0L · goals 14–4

W27.10Serie AASassuolo6–2
W24.10Serie AHParma2–1
W18.10Serie AAJuventus3–0
W11.10Serie AHMonza3–1
D27.09Club FriendliesHArezzo0–0

Cagliari1W 1D 3L · goals 4–11

L27.10Serie AAAS Roma2–4
L24.10Serie AHBologna0–2
L19.10Serie AAMonza0–4
D11.10Serie AHJuventus1–1
W19.09Serie AAUdinese1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LazioCagliari

2.2Goals scored per game0.9

0.7Goals conceded per game1.5

50%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

5Clean sheets3

10%Failed to score30%

3-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

LazioCagliari

Serie A 2025/2026 · 38 gamesSerie A 2025/2026 · 38 games

1.1Goals scored1.1

1.1Goals conceded1.4

3.7Corners3.8

11.0Shots10.9

50%Possession45%

2.0Yellow cards2.1

39%Clean sheets21%

45%Failed to score37%

8-6-5Home / away record (W-D-L)4-6-9

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	9	+15	25	WWWWD
2	Lazio	9	+15	25	WWWWW
3	AS Roma	9	+15	21	WDWDD
9	Torino	9	0	13	LWWWD
10	Cagliari	9	-5	13	LLLDW
11	Bologna	9	0	11	WWLWD

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Lazio

✕A. FurlanettoKnee Injury
✕A. GudmundssonShoulder Injury
?A. MarusicMuscle Injury
?N. RovellaCalf Injury

Cagliari

✕M. FeliciKnee Injury
✕R. IdrissiKnee Injury
?H. WinksBack Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Lazio vs Cagliari preview

Lazio host Cagliari in the Serie A on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 16:00.

Form · last 5 matches

LazioWWWWD14 scored · 4 conceded

CagliariLLLDW4 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LazioCagliari

2.2Goals scored per game0.9

0.7Goals conceded per game1.5

50%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

5Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

32Lazio wins

11Draws

7Cagliari wins

50 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Lazio2nd25 pts · 9 played

Cagliari10th13 pts · 9 played

Lazio lead by 12 pts

Our pick

Lazio to winLazio72%Confidence1.46Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Lazio the favourite at 1.46 (66% implied), with the draw at 4.70 (21%).

The selection we rate highest is Lazio to win: 72% confidence, priced at 1.46.

We also have Both teams to score: No (65%, 1.74) and Under 2.5 goals (62%, 2.08).

Lazio come into the game with WWWWD in their last 5 (14 scored, 4 conceded), while Cagliari have LLLDW (4 scored, 11 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Lazio's recent games and 40% of Cagliari's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 40%.

Per game, Lazio average 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Cagliari 0.9 and 1.5 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Lazio 32 wins, Cagliari 7 wins, draws 11.

Those 50 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-21) ended Cagliari 0–0 Lazio.

In the table, Lazio are 2nd (25 pts from 9 games) and Cagliari are 10th (13 pts from 9).

Nito explains: Lazio vs Cagliari

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Lazio vs Cagliari mean?

The best prices are 1.46 for a Lazio win, 4.70 for a draw and 7.21 for a Cagliari win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.46 returns 14.60 if Lazio win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.6% removed) that is 66% Lazio, 21% draw and 13% Cagliari.

What does Nito's pick "Lazio to win" mean?

It wins only if Lazio win; a draw or a Cagliari win loses. At 1.46, the price implies a 68% chance; Nito's data rates it at 72%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Lazio and Cagliari matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Lazio's last 10 matches and 40% of Cagliari's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Lazio reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Cagliari in 40% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (52% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Lazio, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (14 scored, 4 conceded). Cagliari, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (4 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do Lazio and Cagliari stand in the table?

Lazio are 2nd with 25 points from 9 games. Cagliari are 10th with 13 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 12 points.

Lazio vs Cagliari: questions & answers

Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?

Our pick is Lazio to win with 72% confidence (best price 1.46). Bookmaker odds imply Lazio 66%, draw 21%, Cagliari 13%.

Will both teams score in Lazio vs Cagliari?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (65% confidence, 1.74). Both teams scored in 50% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Lazio's matches and 40% of Cagliari's.

What are the odds for Lazio vs Cagliari?

Odds: Lazio 1.46, draw 4.70, Cagliari 7.21. Our pick Lazio to win is available at 1.46.

When is the Lazio vs Cagliari kick-off?

Lazio vs Cagliari kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 16:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Cagliari?

50 meetings: Lazio 32 wins, 11 draws, Cagliari 7 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Other Serie A matches on 1 Nov

All Serie A fixtures

Lazio vs Cagliari prediction & odds

Lazio

Cagliari

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds