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Lecce vs Genoa prediction & odds

Lecce

19:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 19:00

Genoa

Odds 1X2

1Lecce3.38XDraw3.102Genoa2.45

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

LeccevsGenoa

Nito’s pick1.57

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceLecce or Draw

1.57

72%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 72% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie A
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 19:00 EET
Stadium: Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
Capacity: 33,876
City: Lecce

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceLecce or Draw72%Confidence1.57Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.57 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 72% (+8 pts)
Lecce won 1 of their last 5 (goals 5–12); Genoa won 3 (goals 6–5)
In the table Lecce are 14th with 9 pts, Genoa 13th with 10 pts
In 24 meetings Lecce won 6, Genoa won 11, 7 were drawn

Best price 1.57 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 72% (+8 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 72% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceLecce or DrawHigh confidence

Confidence72%

Indicative price1.57

We rate Double chance: Lecce or Draw at 72% — the price of 1.57 implies only 64%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.58

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 70% — the price of 1.58 implies only 63%.

Asian handicap 0Lecce 0

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.31

We rate Asian handicap: Lecce 0 at 60% — the price of 2.31 implies only 43%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Lecce29%3.38

Draw31%3.10

Genoa40%2.45

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.7%

Lecce3.3829%Draw3.1031%Genoa2.4540%

Double chance

Lecce or Draw1.57Lecce or Genoa1.31Draw or Genoa1.30

Total goals 2.5margin 4.1%

Over 2.52.4539%Under 2.51.5861%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.4%

Lecce +0.251.8553%Genoa -0.252.0747%

1st-half resultmargin 4.0%

Lecce4.1223%Draw2.0746%Genoa3.1830%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Lecce1.9749%Genoa1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

6Lecce wins

7Draws

11Genoa wins

Last matches: Lecce

29.10.26Serie AFrosinoneLecce51L
25.10.26Serie ALecceJuventus02L
18.10.26Serie AUdineseLecce03W
11.10.26Serie ALecceBologna12L
20.09.26Serie AAC MilanLecce30L

Last matches: Genoa

28.10.26Serie AGenoaJuventus20W
25.10.26Serie AGenoaVenezia10W
17.10.26Serie AAS RomaGenoa20L
10.10.26Serie AGenoaFiorentina21W
20.09.26Serie AParmaGenoa21L

Head-to-head matches

24.05.26Serie ALecceGenoa10W
23.08.25Serie AGenoaLecce00D
14.03.25Serie AGenoaLecce21L
05.01.25Serie ALecceGenoa00D
28.01.24Serie AGenoaLecce21L
22.09.23Serie ALecceGenoa10W

2.54Avg goals50%Both scored54%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Lecce vs Genoa: head-to-head record

24 meetings since 1993: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

6Lecce wins

7Draws

11Genoa wins

24:37Goals (Lecce : Genoa)

2.54Goals per match

50%BTTS

63%Over 1.5

54%Over 2.5

38%Over 3.5

Lecce at home: 5-4-215:13 goals in 11 games
Genoa at home: 9-3-124:9 goals in 13 games
Lecce's biggest win: 3–1Lecce 3–1 Genoa, 6 Feb 1999
Genoa's biggest win: 4–0Genoa 4–0 Lecce, 11 Aug 2018

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2026	Serie A	Lecce	1–0	Genoa
23 Aug 2025	Serie A	Genoa	0–0	Lecce
14 Mar 2025	Serie A	Genoa	2–1	Lecce
5 Jan 2025	Serie A	Lecce	0–0	Genoa
28 Jan 2024	Serie A	Genoa	2–1	Lecce
22 Sept 2023	Serie A	Lecce	1–0	Genoa
19 Jul 2020	Serie A	Genoa	2–1	Lecce
8 Dec 2019	Serie A	Lecce	2–2	Genoa
11 Aug 2018	Cup	Genoa	4–0	Lecce
12 Aug 2016	Cup	Genoa	3–2	Lecce
4 Mar 2012	Serie A	Lecce	2–2	Genoa
16 Oct 2011	Serie A	Genoa	0–0	Lecce
23 Apr 2011	Serie A	Genoa	4–2	Lecce
5 Dec 2010	Serie A	Lecce	1–3	Genoa
31 May 2009	Serie A	Genoa	4–1	Lecce
18 Jan 2009	Serie A	Lecce	0–2	Genoa
3 Mar 2007	Serie B	Genoa	1–0	Lecce
29 Sept 2006	Serie B	Lecce	3–2	Genoa
29 Mar 2003	Serie B	Lecce	2–1	Genoa
25 Oct 2002	Serie B	Genoa	0–0	Lecce

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Lecce1W 0D 4L · goals 5–12

L29.10Serie AAFrosinone1–5
L25.10Serie AHJuventus0–2
W18.10Serie AAUdinese3–0
L11.10Serie AHBologna1–2
L20.09Serie AAAC Milan0–3

Genoa3W 0D 2L · goals 6–5

W28.10Serie AHJuventus2–0
W25.10Serie AHVenezia1–0
L17.10Serie AAAS Roma0–2
W10.10Serie AHFiorentina2–1
L20.09Serie AAParma1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LecceGenoa

1.0Goals scored per game0.9

2.1Goals conceded per game1.3

30%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals30%

2Clean sheets3

50%Failed to score30%

1-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-0-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

LecceGenoa

Serie A 2026/2027 · 6 gamesSerie A 2026/2027 · 5 games

1.0Goals scored0.6

2.0Goals conceded2.0

4.5Corners5.0

10.2Shots11.8

41%Possession47%

2.2Yellow cards2.2

17%Clean sheets0%

50%Failed to score40%

1-0-2Home / away record (W-D-L)0-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
12	Atalanta	9	-1	11	DDLWL
13	Genoa	9	-5	10	WWLWL
14	Lecce	9	-9	9	LLWLL
15	Sassuolo	9	-8	8	LLLDL

About this match

Lecce vs Genoa preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 19:00, Lecce take on Genoa in the Serie A.

Form · last 5 matches

LecceLLWLL5 scored · 12 conceded

GenoaWWLWL6 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LecceGenoa

1.0Goals scored per game0.9

2.1Goals conceded per game1.3

30%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals30%

2Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

6Lecce wins

7Draws

11Genoa wins

24 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Lecce14th9 pts · 9 played

Genoa13th10 pts · 9 played

Genoa lead by 1 pts

Our pick

Double chanceLecce or Draw72%Confidence1.57Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare.

The best available prices are 3.38 on Lecce, 3.10 on the draw and 2.45 on Genoa, which is roughly 29%, 31% and 40% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Double chance: Lecce or Draw with 72% confidence at a best price of 1.57.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (70%, 1.58) and Asian handicap: Lecce 0 (60%, 2.31).

Recent form over the last 5: Lecce LLWLL (goals 5–12), Genoa WWLWL (goals 6–5).

Both teams scored in 30% of Lecce's recent games and 40% of Genoa's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 30% respectively.

Per game, Lecce average 1.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Genoa 0.9 and 1.3 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 24 head-to-head games the record reads 6–7–11 (wins–draws–losses) from Lecce's side.

Those 24 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-24) ended Lecce 1–0 Genoa.

Lecce sit 14th on 9 pts after 9 games, Genoa 13th on 10 pts.

Nito explains: Lecce vs Genoa

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Lecce vs Genoa mean?

The best prices are 3.38 for a Lecce win, 3.10 for a draw and 2.45 for a Genoa win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.38 returns 33.80 if Lecce win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.7% removed) that is 29% Lecce, 31% draw and 40% Genoa.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Lecce or Draw" mean?

It wins if Lecce win or draw; it loses only if Genoa win. At 1.57, the price implies a 64% chance; Nito's data rates it at 72%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Lecce and Genoa matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of Lecce's last 10 matches and 40% of Genoa's last 10. In their 24 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Lecce reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Genoa in 30% of their last 10. Their 24 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (54% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLWLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Lecce, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (5 scored, 12 conceded). Genoa, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (6 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Lecce and Genoa stand in the table?

Lecce are 14th with 9 points from 9 games. Genoa are 13th with 10 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Lecce vs Genoa: questions & answers

Who will win Lecce vs Genoa?

Our pick is Double chance: Lecce or Draw with 72% confidence (best price 1.57). Bookmaker odds imply Lecce 29%, draw 31%, Genoa 40%.

Will both teams score in Lecce vs Genoa?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 24 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 30% of Lecce's matches and 40% of Genoa's.

What are the odds for Lecce vs Genoa?

Odds: Lecce 3.38, draw 3.10, Genoa 2.45. Our pick Double chance: Lecce or Draw is available at 1.57.

When is the Lecce vs Genoa kick-off?

Lecce vs Genoa kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (GMT+2) at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare.

What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Genoa?

24 meetings: Lecce 6 wins, 7 draws, Genoa 11 wins. Those 24 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Other Serie A matches on 1 Nov

All Serie A fixtures

Lecce vs Genoa prediction & odds

Lecce

Genoa

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds