Estrela vs Casa Pia result, stats & H2H

Estrela

Casa Pia
Key events
Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute
Key events
Nito’s pick
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Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price
Match information
Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee
Match information
- Competition
Primeira Liga- Kick-off
- Stadium
- Estádio José Gomes
- Capacity
- 9,288
- City
- Amadora
Our pick: why Nito chose it
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Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.The pick, the price and the numbers behind it
Why?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.
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Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.- Best price 1.88 means bookmakers give it 53%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+10 pts)
- 3+ goals in 80% of Estrela's last 5 and 40% of Casa Pia's
- Goals per game in the last 5: Estrela matches 3.8, Casa Pia matches 2.9
- Their 10 meetings average 2.8 goals; both teams scored in 30%
All our picks for this match
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Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.Every market where our confidence is at least 60%
Our picks for this match
Estrela to win: our confidence is 62%, 7 points above the 55% the best price of 1.82 implies.
Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 63%, 10 points above the 53% the best price of 1.88 implies.
Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+
Estrela vs Casa Pia preview
Final score in the Primeira Liga on Sat, 24 Oct 2026: Estrela 0–2 Casa Pia.

Comments
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