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Primeira LigaFT

Estrela vs Casa Pia result, stats & H2H

Estrela

0–2
FT

Casa Pia

24/10/2026 17:30 · Estádio José Gomes

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half0 - 1
31′0-1J. Rego
2nd half0 - 1
60′H. Araujo
60′J. Livolant
B. Souza61′
L. Mincarelli61′
68′P. Sequeira
J. Encada72′
T. Moustier72′
78′Gabi
78′S. Clua
Alisson Souza83′
83′K. Prieto
90′0-2L. Ofori
J. Encada90′
90′P. Rosas

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
1.88Won

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Primeira Liga
Kick-off
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
Capacity
9,288
City
Amadora

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.563%Confidence1.88won

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.88 means bookmakers give it 53%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+10 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 80% of Estrela's last 5 and 40% of Casa Pia's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Estrela matches 3.8, Casa Pia matches 2.9
  • Their 10 meetings average 2.8 goals; both teams scored in 30%

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Estrela
Confidence62%
Price1.82Lost

Estrela to win: our confidence is 62%, 7 points above the 55% the best price of 1.82 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
Confidence63%
Price1.88Won

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 63%, 10 points above the 53% the best price of 1.88 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

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About this match

Estrela vs Casa Pia preview

Final score in the Primeira Liga on Sat, 24 Oct 2026: Estrela 0–2 Casa Pia.